Pawel Adrjan
@paweladrjan.bsky.social
Economist at Indeed
Research fellow at Regent's Park College, Oxford
📈 Using data to make the world of work better for all 🌈
https://sites.google.com/site/paweladrjaneconomics/
Sevilla, España
Research fellow at Regent's Park College, Oxford
📈 Using data to make the world of work better for all 🌈
https://sites.google.com/site/paweladrjaneconomics/
Sevilla, España
🚨 New paper alert: Exclusionary political rhetoric alone can drive people to leave their hometowns
In Poland, anti-LGBTQ resolutions by 100 local governments caused a rise in migration intentions, reflected in job search
Here’s what @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I found: 🧵
In Poland, anti-LGBTQ resolutions by 100 local governments caused a rise in migration intentions, reflected in job search
Here’s what @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I found: 🧵
November 1, 2025 at 7:35 PM
🚨 New paper alert: Exclusionary political rhetoric alone can drive people to leave their hometowns
In Poland, anti-LGBTQ resolutions by 100 local governments caused a rise in migration intentions, reflected in job search
Here’s what @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I found: 🧵
In Poland, anti-LGBTQ resolutions by 100 local governments caused a rise in migration intentions, reflected in job search
Here’s what @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I found: 🧵
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
New IZA paper by @jangromadzki.bsky.social and @paweladrjan.bsky.social shows anti-LGBTQ resolutions in Poland increased migration intentions. Their findings nicely echo our own (osf.io/preprints/os...) from the same case: even symbolic exclusionary politics can shape people’s choices on the ground.
October 31, 2025 at 6:29 PM
New IZA paper by @jangromadzki.bsky.social and @paweladrjan.bsky.social shows anti-LGBTQ resolutions in Poland increased migration intentions. Their findings nicely echo our own (osf.io/preprints/os...) from the same case: even symbolic exclusionary politics can shape people’s choices on the ground.
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
Anti-LGBTQ resolutions aka "LGBT-free zones" in Poland have increased residents’ intentions to migrate, both within the country and abroad. Together with @paweladrjan.bsky.social, we use unique data on all clicks on the global job site Indeed.
Link: docs.iza.org/dp18217.pdf
Main findings ⬇️
1/7
Link: docs.iza.org/dp18217.pdf
Main findings ⬇️
1/7
October 31, 2025 at 4:37 PM
Anti-LGBTQ resolutions aka "LGBT-free zones" in Poland have increased residents’ intentions to migrate, both within the country and abroad. Together with @paweladrjan.bsky.social, we use unique data on all clicks on the global job site Indeed.
Link: docs.iza.org/dp18217.pdf
Main findings ⬇️
1/7
Link: docs.iza.org/dp18217.pdf
Main findings ⬇️
1/7
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
Thanks to the shutdown, we didn't get the first estimate of Q3 GDP today. And private-sector data offer no good substitute for official GDP.
The shutdown offers lots of lessons about what private sector data can and can't do.
New at @piie.com : www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
The shutdown offers lots of lessons about what private sector data can and can't do.
New at @piie.com : www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
What the government shutdown teaches us about private sector data
The government shutdown provides an unexpected test case for an increasingly urgent question: What would happen if official economic statistics became less useful, whether through declining resources,...
www.piie.com
October 30, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Thanks to the shutdown, we didn't get the first estimate of Q3 GDP today. And private-sector data offer no good substitute for official GDP.
The shutdown offers lots of lessons about what private sector data can and can't do.
New at @piie.com : www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
The shutdown offers lots of lessons about what private sector data can and can't do.
New at @piie.com : www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
Con ganas de volver a México para compartir nuestra investigación sobre el mercado laboral y hablar de las tendencias que vemos en los datos de Indeed. ¿Alguien de mi red estará en CDMX la semana que viene?
October 27, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Con ganas de volver a México para compartir nuestra investigación sobre el mercado laboral y hablar de las tendencias que vemos en los datos de Indeed. ¿Alguien de mi red estará en CDMX la semana que viene?
2-3 days a week in the office has become the norm in hybrid job postings. Attendance requirements have tightened over the last few years, but there's no evidence of any significant shift beyond 3 days in the office.
UK data:
UK data:
September 25, 2025 at 6:13 PM
2-3 days a week in the office has become the norm in hybrid job postings. Attendance requirements have tightened over the last few years, but there's no evidence of any significant shift beyond 3 days in the office.
UK data:
UK data:
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
Time for a new pinned post. Out now in the UK, coming January 6th in the US.
August 25, 2025 at 7:19 AM
Time for a new pinned post. Out now in the UK, coming January 6th in the US.
Europe's labour markets are converging, as hiring demand is strong in the South while falling in the North.
As of late August, job postings in Spain are 46% and Italy 53% above pre-pandemic levels.
Guillermo Gallacher and I wrote a blog post about Eurozone's four largest economies 👇
As of late August, job postings in Spain are 46% and Italy 53% above pre-pandemic levels.
Guillermo Gallacher and I wrote a blog post about Eurozone's four largest economies 👇
September 8, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Europe's labour markets are converging, as hiring demand is strong in the South while falling in the North.
As of late August, job postings in Spain are 46% and Italy 53% above pre-pandemic levels.
Guillermo Gallacher and I wrote a blog post about Eurozone's four largest economies 👇
As of late August, job postings in Spain are 46% and Italy 53% above pre-pandemic levels.
Guillermo Gallacher and I wrote a blog post about Eurozone's four largest economies 👇
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
❓Why do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French?
➡️ New Working Paper:
Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek
www.nber.org/papers/w33984
A 🧵 1/12
➡️ New Working Paper:
Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek
www.nber.org/papers/w33984
A 🧵 1/12
July 7, 2025 at 6:33 AM
❓Why do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French?
➡️ New Working Paper:
Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek
www.nber.org/papers/w33984
A 🧵 1/12
➡️ New Working Paper:
Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek
www.nber.org/papers/w33984
A 🧵 1/12
Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data.
We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.
The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since
🧵
We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.
The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since
🧵
July 10, 2025 at 7:14 AM
Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data.
We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.
The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since
🧵
We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.
The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since
🧵
📉 New job posting data shows a growing North-South divide in Europe’s labour market as of mid-April:
🇪🇸 Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels
🇮🇹 Italy high & holding steady
🇩🇪 Germany & 🇬🇧 UK sliding
No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence
🇪🇸 Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels
🇮🇹 Italy high & holding steady
🇩🇪 Germany & 🇬🇧 UK sliding
No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence
April 24, 2025 at 8:56 AM
📉 New job posting data shows a growing North-South divide in Europe’s labour market as of mid-April:
🇪🇸 Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels
🇮🇹 Italy high & holding steady
🇩🇪 Germany & 🇬🇧 UK sliding
No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence
🇪🇸 Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels
🇮🇹 Italy high & holding steady
🇩🇪 Germany & 🇬🇧 UK sliding
No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence
📢 New data from the #Indeed Hiring Lab! 📈 Ahead of this week’s ECB Governing Council meetings, we’ve released December data from our Wage Tracker.
In a new blog post, @rlydon.bsky.social, Vahagn Galstyan and I dive into euro area wage trends and their implications for monetary policy. 🇪🇺🧵 1/
In a new blog post, @rlydon.bsky.social, Vahagn Galstyan and I dive into euro area wage trends and their implications for monetary policy. 🇪🇺🧵 1/
January 28, 2025 at 8:55 AM
📢 New data from the #Indeed Hiring Lab! 📈 Ahead of this week’s ECB Governing Council meetings, we’ve released December data from our Wage Tracker.
In a new blog post, @rlydon.bsky.social, Vahagn Galstyan and I dive into euro area wage trends and their implications for monetary policy. 🇪🇺🧵 1/
In a new blog post, @rlydon.bsky.social, Vahagn Galstyan and I dive into euro area wage trends and their implications for monetary policy. 🇪🇺🧵 1/
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
📉📈 via @ckrafftc
Research in Labor Economics (RLE) is planning a volume highlighting research on New Developments in Labor Economics. The editors Solomon Polachek and @ben_elsner are soliciting up to ten new papers showcasing new developments in #laborEconomics. … 1/2
Research in Labor Economics (RLE) is planning a volume highlighting research on New Developments in Labor Economics. The editors Solomon Polachek and @ben_elsner are soliciting up to ten new papers showcasing new developments in #laborEconomics. … 1/2
October 24, 2024 at 6:00 PM
📉📈 via @ckrafftc
Research in Labor Economics (RLE) is planning a volume highlighting research on New Developments in Labor Economics. The editors Solomon Polachek and @ben_elsner are soliciting up to ten new papers showcasing new developments in #laborEconomics. … 1/2
Research in Labor Economics (RLE) is planning a volume highlighting research on New Developments in Labor Economics. The editors Solomon Polachek and @ben_elsner are soliciting up to ten new papers showcasing new developments in #laborEconomics. … 1/2
Excited to share that my paper with Reamonn Lydon is now published in Research in Labor Economics!
Main insights:
✅ Online job postings offer timely insights into wage trends
✅ Post-pandemic wage growth surged, especially for lower-paid jobs — signalling strong labour demand
Main insights:
✅ Online job postings offer timely insights into wage trends
✅ Post-pandemic wage growth surged, especially for lower-paid jobs — signalling strong labour demand
December 17, 2024 at 12:00 PM
Excited to share that my paper with Reamonn Lydon is now published in Research in Labor Economics!
Main insights:
✅ Online job postings offer timely insights into wage trends
✅ Post-pandemic wage growth surged, especially for lower-paid jobs — signalling strong labour demand
Main insights:
✅ Online job postings offer timely insights into wage trends
✅ Post-pandemic wage growth surged, especially for lower-paid jobs — signalling strong labour demand
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
Today’s JOLTS report was reasonably good!
- Job openings ticked up to 7.7 million (from 7.4).
- The quits rate rose for the first time in 17 months.
- Layoff rate = 1.0 -> Below pre-pandemic all-time lows.
Hires rate weak at 3.3%, but could be a blip given slight pickup in recent months.
- Job openings ticked up to 7.7 million (from 7.4).
- The quits rate rose for the first time in 17 months.
- Layoff rate = 1.0 -> Below pre-pandemic all-time lows.
Hires rate weak at 3.3%, but could be a blip given slight pickup in recent months.
December 3, 2024 at 3:40 PM
Today’s JOLTS report was reasonably good!
- Job openings ticked up to 7.7 million (from 7.4).
- The quits rate rose for the first time in 17 months.
- Layoff rate = 1.0 -> Below pre-pandemic all-time lows.
Hires rate weak at 3.3%, but could be a blip given slight pickup in recent months.
- Job openings ticked up to 7.7 million (from 7.4).
- The quits rate rose for the first time in 17 months.
- Layoff rate = 1.0 -> Below pre-pandemic all-time lows.
Hires rate weak at 3.3%, but could be a blip given slight pickup in recent months.
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
Trying something new:
A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?"
It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social
🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...
A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?"
It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social
🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...
November 20, 2024 at 5:09 PM
Trying something new:
A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?"
It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social
🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...
A 🧵 on a topic I find many students struggle with: "why do their 📊 look more professional than my 📊?"
It's *lots* of tiny decisions that aren't the defaults in many libraries, so let's break down 1 simple graph by @jburnmurdoch.bsky.social
🔗 www.ft.com/content/73a1...
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
🚨New research🚨
Official labour market data has ‘lost’ almost a million workers and is over-stating the scale of Britain’s economic inactivity challenge.
More➡️https://buff.ly/4fz1ifQ
Official labour market data has ‘lost’ almost a million workers and is over-stating the scale of Britain’s economic inactivity challenge.
More➡️https://buff.ly/4fz1ifQ
November 20, 2024 at 8:10 AM
🚨New research🚨
Official labour market data has ‘lost’ almost a million workers and is over-stating the scale of Britain’s economic inactivity challenge.
More➡️https://buff.ly/4fz1ifQ
Official labour market data has ‘lost’ almost a million workers and is over-stating the scale of Britain’s economic inactivity challenge.
More➡️https://buff.ly/4fz1ifQ
I've always thought of #France as a country particularly fixated on formal diplomas. But French employers are gradually placing less emphasis on degrees in job postings. Is this a shift towards valuing #skills over formal #qualifications?
New research by #HiringLab's Lisa Feist 👇
New research by #HiringLab's Lisa Feist 👇
November 18, 2024 at 4:33 PM
I've always thought of #France as a country particularly fixated on formal diplomas. But French employers are gradually placing less emphasis on degrees in job postings. Is this a shift towards valuing #skills over formal #qualifications?
New research by #HiringLab's Lisa Feist 👇
New research by #HiringLab's Lisa Feist 👇
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
Escribo hoy en @cincodias.bsky.social sobre brecha de género en el mercado de trabajo y por qué, según la evidencia, hemos puesto el ojo en las políticas menos adecuadas.
La conciliación, los horarios laborales y la educación deben ser los territorios a trabajar.
t.co/EXYrddCy4M
La conciliación, los horarios laborales y la educación deben ser los territorios a trabajar.
t.co/EXYrddCy4M
https://cincodias.elpais.com/economia/2024-11-18/redisenar-las-politicas-de-igualdad-maternidad-y-empleo.html
t.co
November 18, 2024 at 8:22 AM
Escribo hoy en @cincodias.bsky.social sobre brecha de género en el mercado de trabajo y por qué, según la evidencia, hemos puesto el ojo en las políticas menos adecuadas.
La conciliación, los horarios laborales y la educación deben ser los territorios a trabajar.
t.co/EXYrddCy4M
La conciliación, los horarios laborales y la educación deben ser los territorios a trabajar.
t.co/EXYrddCy4M
Excited to present new research on the labour market impact of Poland's "LGBT-free zones" at @econupo.bsky.social tomorrow.
This is early work in progress with @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I look forward to the feedback.
Details: www.upo.es/area-analisi...
This is early work in progress with @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I look forward to the feedback.
Details: www.upo.es/area-analisi...
November 17, 2024 at 7:23 PM
Excited to present new research on the labour market impact of Poland's "LGBT-free zones" at @econupo.bsky.social tomorrow.
This is early work in progress with @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I look forward to the feedback.
Details: www.upo.es/area-analisi...
This is early work in progress with @jangromadzki.bsky.social and I look forward to the feedback.
Details: www.upo.es/area-analisi...
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
🚨Next #EconUpo #Seminar🚨
📄"Exclusionary Government Rhetoric and Migration Intentions"
🗣️Pawel Adrjan (Indeed)
📅Monday 18, Nov.
🕛12 noon
📍Boardroom. Building 3. #pablodeolavide
📄"Exclusionary Government Rhetoric and Migration Intentions"
🗣️Pawel Adrjan (Indeed)
📅Monday 18, Nov.
🕛12 noon
📍Boardroom. Building 3. #pablodeolavide
November 12, 2024 at 4:31 PM
🚨Next #EconUpo #Seminar🚨
📄"Exclusionary Government Rhetoric and Migration Intentions"
🗣️Pawel Adrjan (Indeed)
📅Monday 18, Nov.
🕛12 noon
📍Boardroom. Building 3. #pablodeolavide
📄"Exclusionary Government Rhetoric and Migration Intentions"
🗣️Pawel Adrjan (Indeed)
📅Monday 18, Nov.
🕛12 noon
📍Boardroom. Building 3. #pablodeolavide
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
We are hiring! You will work on a series of exciting papers with me, @emilynix100.bsky.social, Kristiina H, Ning Zhang & Martti Kaila while developing your own research agenda. Please reach out with any questions!
Job ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11218
#EconSky #EconJM
Job ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11218
#EconSky #EconJM
EJM - Econ Job Market
econjobmarket.org
November 15, 2024 at 11:45 PM
We are hiring! You will work on a series of exciting papers with me, @emilynix100.bsky.social, Kristiina H, Ning Zhang & Martti Kaila while developing your own research agenda. Please reach out with any questions!
Job ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11218
#EconSky #EconJM
Job ad: econjobmarket.org/positions/11218
#EconSky #EconJM
Reposted by Pawel Adrjan
I put together a quick starter pack of people working on migration economics! Check it out: go.bsky.app/39gHy57
Feel free to nominate yourself or others to add to the list!
Feel free to nominate yourself or others to add to the list!
November 13, 2024 at 9:33 AM
I put together a quick starter pack of people working on migration economics! Check it out: go.bsky.app/39gHy57
Feel free to nominate yourself or others to add to the list!
Feel free to nominate yourself or others to add to the list!
🚨 The final Indeed Wage Tracker update before the ECB's December meetings is here
🇪🇺 Wage growth across the euro area continued its steady decline through October, broadly in line with ECB expectations.
📉 Latest charts, including individual country trends 👇
🇪🇺 Wage growth across the euro area continued its steady decline through October, broadly in line with ECB expectations.
📉 Latest charts, including individual country trends 👇
November 16, 2024 at 8:51 AM
🚨 The final Indeed Wage Tracker update before the ECB's December meetings is here
🇪🇺 Wage growth across the euro area continued its steady decline through October, broadly in line with ECB expectations.
📉 Latest charts, including individual country trends 👇
🇪🇺 Wage growth across the euro area continued its steady decline through October, broadly in line with ECB expectations.
📉 Latest charts, including individual country trends 👇