Philipp Markolin, PhD
@philippmarkolin.bsky.social
4.2K followers 580 following 1.8K posts
Science blogger and communicator: www.protagonist-science.com Mein investigatives Buch über die Insider-Geschichte hinter der COVID-19 Ursprungskontroverse jetzt exklusiv auf Deutsch erhältlich: www.lab-leak-fever.com
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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Happy August.

Here is a little surprise for everybody: The english version of my book is finally available. You can get it on Amazon. You can also read and listen to it on my blog, where I will release the book as freely accessible serialized novel.

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www.protagonist-science.com/p/lab-leak-f...
Lab Leak Fever
The COVID-19 Origin Theory that Sabotaged Science and Society
www.protagonist-science.com
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
This is an important report for EU countries: Make sure to safeguard your institutions now while you can, because the anti-science juggernaut that came for the US science will not stop.

The UK’s independent scientific bodies are highly vulnerable to politicisation
open.substack.com/pub/christin...
The UK’s independent scientific bodies are highly vulnerable to politicisation
My newly launched report on how we can safeguard the independence of our important scientific and evidence-generating institutions - not least so they can hold government to account
open.substack.com
Reposted by Philipp Markolin, PhD
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Pielke… Ridley… lab leak fanatics and climate deniers that attack ordinary scientists are often the same players.

Imagine the media would, instead of framing the science or scientists as the problem, rather wake up to the same old anti-science actors, tactics and agendas.
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Pielke… Ridley… lab leak fanatics and climate deniers that attack ordinary scientists are often the same players.

Imagine the media would, instead of framing the science or scientists as the problem, rather wake up to the same old anti-science actors, tactics and agendas.
Reposted by Philipp Markolin, PhD
amymaxmen.bsky.social
When I was reporting in Sudan several years ago, a driver warned me not to tell government officials when I was leaving because the airport is where they stop and detain writers.

So, yeah, this is a very bad sign. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
US anti-fascism expert blocked from flying to Spain at airport
Rutgers University professor who published book on antifa was informed at boarding gate that his trip was cancelled
www.theguardian.com
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Highly relevant indeed, thanks again for sharing.

I certainly think better when I am writing, and the idea of proof of thought is a beautiful way of putting it.
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Now that is, like I said, an observation; but it largely tracks with some of the reporting below ⬇️; as for the cyber-security risk of vibe-coded stuff; that is a whole different beast I might think about another time but it seems apocalyptically bad.

Cheers
shinycroak.blogspot.com/2025/09/ai-a...
shinycroak.blogspot.com
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
..or more likely, they can´t do their jobs well unless they have to go back to their managers to discuss exactly what needs to happen, rendering the previous LLM step superfluous for both managers and experts, i.e an overall productivity loss.

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
So managers improving "their ouput with LLMs" (w/o intangibles) increases workload on experts who need to spend time and effort to become their own managers with cross-business overview (often, they might not even have all the relevant business information given social networks to do that well);

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
This leads to overall productivity losses because of instruction interpretation and implementation gaps;
--> LLM-produced output might provide sufficient detail for high-level summaries, but not expert-level decision making.

Pre-LLM, managers had to work harder but created these intangibles

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
But my observation & suspicion is that AI is not really increasing overall efficiency for that demographic either, as it shifts a decisive part of managerial work one (or multiple) layers lower; onto the people and teammembers who have to turn language-driven direction into action

It´s a mirage

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Because it seemingly works extremely well for that powerful demographic (and client media follows their cues & sway public) many assume these productivity gains will "trickle down" the same way to other sociodemographic and functional layers in business/ society

This fuels the current AI bubble

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Which is that the (superhuman probabilistic) aggregation and summary functions of token-manipulating generative models produce buzzworld-ladden, coherent sounding output not all that different from the socialcultural content these top-level executives produce and investors primarily consume.

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
AI seems to add productivity for a very specific demographic, mostly the hype- and vibe sensitive investor class and their primary interactors, the managerial class with a language-driven leadership style.

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Not a hot take, but I will note a personal observation based on @ravenonthill.bsky.social blog ⬇️

From errors, hallucinations and workslop and vibe-coded security risks, AI seemingly often eats into productivity and takes experts more time and effort to fix things than doing it from scratch.

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philippmarkolin.bsky.social
@ravenonthill.bsky.social collected some reporting that puts a big questionmark around the myth of productivity gains with AI

The evidence seems not only lacking despite people and companies searching hard for use cases; but from workslop to vibe-coded security risks, AI seemingly eats productivity
ravenonthill.bsky.social
I've been collecting articles on the negative productivity impacts of "AI" for a while, and Philipp Markolin finally got me to gather them up and write a post about them. This is mostly about the productivity claims for "AI;" the technology has other problems, but I'm not addressing them in the post
Reposted by Philipp Markolin, PhD
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
"Selbst Qualitätszeitungen veröffentlichen immer wieder einschlägige Meinungsartikel [...], sagt Markolin."

"Sie geben konträren Stimmen und Randfiguren eine Plattform, um den Eindruck einer lebhaften Debatte und grosser Unsicherheit unter den Experten zu erwecken."

🔽🔽
 (AFP)

Die vorliegenden Daten sprechen ganz klar für einen Zusammenhang mit dem Wildtiermarkt, sagt Philipp Markolin, ein junger österreichischer Molekularbiologe und Wissenschaftsblogger, der in der Schweiz lebt und die Geschehnisse rund um den Ursprung der Pandemie im 600-seitigen Werk «Das Laborfieber» aufgearbeitet hat.

Kein anderer Wissenschaftskommunikator hat das Thema so gründlich recherchiert wie er. «Wir wissen, dass auf dem Huanan-Markt Wildtiere gehandelt wurden, die für das Virus anfällig sind. Epidemiologische Daten belegen zudem, dass der Ausbruch am Markt begann. Genetische Untersuchungen zeigen, dass das Virus nur kurze Zeit zirkulierte, bevor die ersten Fälle bekannt wurden.»

Einzeln betrachtet ist keine dieser Studien frei von Kritik oder stark genug, den Ursprung der Pandemie zweifelsfrei zu klären, sagt er. «In der Summe zeigen sie jedoch alle in die gleiche Richtung.» Und genau darin liegt die Stärke der wissenschaftlichen Methode, man nennt es «Triangulation»: «Verschiedene Beweislinien, die von Forschern mit unterschiedlichen Hintergründen und Methoden geliefert werden, liefern ein schlüssiges Bild.» Es ist paradox: Je mehr wissenschaftliche Studien die Marktthese stärken, desto mehr Menschen glauben an die Laborthese. «In den USA sind es Umfragen zufolge etwa zwei Drittel der Bevölkerung, in Europa dürfte es ähnlich aussehen», sagt Markolin. Die Medien spielen dabei keine unerhebliche Rolle.

Evidenzbasierte wissenschaftliche Erkenntnisse verlieren zunehmend ihre Rolle als Leitprinzip, während Spekulationen auf der Grundlage von Geheimdienstberichten an Bedeutung gewinnen. «Selbst Qualitätszeitungen veröffentlichen immer wieder einschlägige Meinungsartikel, um die Berichterstattung ihrer eigenen Wissenschaftsjournalisten zu kontern», sagt Markolin. «Sie geben konträren Stimmen und Randfiguren eine Plattform, um den Eindruck einer lebhaften Debatte und grosser Unsicherheit unter den Experten zu erwecken.»

Doch richtig ist: Alle Indizien sprechen für einen natürlichen Ursprung. Für die Laborthese gibt es bis heute keine belastbaren Daten.
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
Fantastic and infuriating and saddening.

Thank you so much for doing this
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
This is remarkable
carlzimmer.com
Today my @nytimes.com colleagues and I are launching a new series called Lost Science. We interview US scientists who can no longer discover something new about our world, thanks to this year‘s cuts. Here is my first interview with a scientist who studied bees and fires. Gift link: nyti.ms/3IWXbiE
nyti.ms
Reposted by Philipp Markolin, PhD
carlzimmer.com
Today my @nytimes.com colleagues and I are launching a new series called Lost Science. We interview US scientists who can no longer discover something new about our world, thanks to this year‘s cuts. Here is my first interview with a scientist who studied bees and fires. Gift link: nyti.ms/3IWXbiE
nyti.ms
philippmarkolin.bsky.social
"Die vorliegenden Daten sprechen ganz klar für einen Zusammenhang mit dem Wildtiermarkt, sagt Philipp Markolin, [...] die Geschehnisse rund um den Ursprung der Pandemie im 600-seitigen Werk «Das Laborfieber» aufgearbeitet hat."

Geschenks-Artikel:
www.tagesanzeiger.ch/covid-warum-...
Eine dunkle Vermutung über Corona grassiert – und ist so ansteckend wie das Virus
Zunehmend berichten auch seriöse Medien über die sogenannte Laborthese. Demnach wurde der Erreger künstlich hergestellt. Was ist an der These dran?
www.tagesanzeiger.ch
Reposted by Philipp Markolin, PhD
walkerbragman.bsky.social
I don’t want to sound preachy but we have the capacity to be so much better than this.

The folks showing up despite state violence to protest ICE are proof of it. Scientists speaking out despite facing personal threats—like @michaelemann.bsky.social and @peterhotezmdphd.bsky.social—are proof of it
Reposted by Philipp Markolin, PhD
walkerbragman.bsky.social
People being afraid to speak out against their government is the antithesis of what America is supposed to be.

The Trump regime trying to sow fear in its opposition, deploying soldiers and unaccountable federal agents with inadequate training and a mission of cruelty is fundamentally unAmerican.