Jason Davidson
@profjwdavidson.bsky.social
Non-Resident Senior Fellow at Atlantic Council/ Prof at U of Mary Washington
Research on NATO/ Transatlantic Security
Racing cyclist
Research on NATO/ Transatlantic Security
Racing cyclist
Pinned
What explains the transatlantic rift? It’s all about threat perception.
NATO allies’ differing threat perceptions provide the backdrop for what could be a contentious summit in The Hague this month.
www.atlanticcouncil.org
Some like to divide NATO allies into "good" ones who spend a lot on defense and "bad" ones/free riders who don't.
I argue in this @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social essay that differences in threat perception explain spending differences.
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...
I argue in this @atlanticcouncil.bsky.social essay that differences in threat perception explain spending differences.
www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-at...
Reposted by Jason Davidson
Extraordinary step. Pentagon, under pretext of "good order and discipline", threatens to recall to duty and court-martial Senator Mark Kelly, a retired naval officer, after he recorded a video telling troops they could refuse illegal orders. Dangerous & authoritarian.
www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/11/...
www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/11/...
Sen. Mark Kelly faces Pentagon investigation for making video on refusing 'unlawful orders'
The Defense Department suggested that the investigation of the Arizona Democrat Kelly stems from urging military members to refuse to follow unlawful orders.
www.cnbc.com
November 24, 2025 at 6:14 PM
Extraordinary step. Pentagon, under pretext of "good order and discipline", threatens to recall to duty and court-martial Senator Mark Kelly, a retired naval officer, after he recorded a video telling troops they could refuse illegal orders. Dangerous & authoritarian.
www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/11/...
www.cnbc.com/amp/2025/11/...
I increasingly believe that US defense firms may be the most important advocates for better US treatment of its allies.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/22/w...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/22/w...
Are Fighter Jets Canada’s ‘Bargaining Chip’ in Trade Talks?
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 12:04 PM
I increasingly believe that US defense firms may be the most important advocates for better US treatment of its allies.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/22/w...
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/22/w...
Reposted by Jason Davidson
This, by @giacgrassi.bsky.social, remains one of the simplest and best climate visuals
November 23, 2025 at 9:30 PM
This, by @giacgrassi.bsky.social, remains one of the simplest and best climate visuals
Reposted by Jason Davidson
Children killed by Russians in #Ternopil.
On November 19, Russian terrorists attacked residential buildings in Ternopil,killing 34 people.Six more people are considered missing, including one child.
The six kids who will never become adults because Russia killed them:
On November 19, Russian terrorists attacked residential buildings in Ternopil,killing 34 people.Six more people are considered missing, including one child.
The six kids who will never become adults because Russia killed them:
November 24, 2025 at 8:48 AM
Children killed by Russians in #Ternopil.
On November 19, Russian terrorists attacked residential buildings in Ternopil,killing 34 people.Six more people are considered missing, including one child.
The six kids who will never become adults because Russia killed them:
On November 19, Russian terrorists attacked residential buildings in Ternopil,killing 34 people.Six more people are considered missing, including one child.
The six kids who will never become adults because Russia killed them:
I highly recommend the most recent edition of World Review with @ivodaalder.bsky.social podcast. In addition to lively debate and excellent analysis, they've got new intro music!
www.ivodaalder.com/world-review...
www.ivodaalder.com/world-review...
World Review Podcast — Ivo Daalder
A weekly podcast featuring leading journalists from around the world discussing the week’s news. World Review with Ivo Daalder brings you diverse perspectives on emerging global stories every Friday m...
www.ivodaalder.com
November 22, 2025 at 11:54 AM
I highly recommend the most recent edition of World Review with @ivodaalder.bsky.social podcast. In addition to lively debate and excellent analysis, they've got new intro music!
www.ivodaalder.com/world-review...
www.ivodaalder.com/world-review...
Reposted by Jason Davidson
Some notable things in what's being called the "Trump peace plan" but which could not have been more clearly written in Moscow if it came with a 2 for 1 deal on tickets to the Bolshoi Ballet. 🧵
November 21, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Some notable things in what's being called the "Trump peace plan" but which could not have been more clearly written in Moscow if it came with a 2 for 1 deal on tickets to the Bolshoi Ballet. 🧵
Important push back from Capitol Hill on Trump admin moves to scale back the US' role in Europe.
November 21, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Important push back from Capitol Hill on Trump admin moves to scale back the US' role in Europe.
General Mandon doing the hard work of trying to prepare the French for the sacrifices that must be made if they want to deter Russian aggression.
www.politico.eu/article/top-...
www.politico.eu/article/top-...
French general sparks uproar with warning of ‘losing children’ in potential Russia conflict
Hard-liners on both ends of the French political spectrum hit back at what they framed as an alarmist take from the top officer.
www.politico.eu
November 20, 2025 at 12:28 PM
General Mandon doing the hard work of trying to prepare the French for the sacrifices that must be made if they want to deter Russian aggression.
www.politico.eu/article/top-...
www.politico.eu/article/top-...
Copies are now shipping from Georgetown University Press:
press.georgetown.edu/Book/NATO-Af...
press.georgetown.edu/Book/NATO-Af...
November 19, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Copies are now shipping from Georgetown University Press:
press.georgetown.edu/Book/NATO-Af...
press.georgetown.edu/Book/NATO-Af...
Reposted by Jason Davidson
We’re one step closer to a “Military Schengen”! 🇪🇺
To improve #EUDefence readiness, the Military Mobility Package will ensure swift movement of troops & assets, boost our resilience, tackle regulatory, infrastructure, capability & governance gaps.
🔎 ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
To improve #EUDefence readiness, the Military Mobility Package will ensure swift movement of troops & assets, boost our resilience, tackle regulatory, infrastructure, capability & governance gaps.
🔎 ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
November 19, 2025 at 12:26 PM
We’re one step closer to a “Military Schengen”! 🇪🇺
To improve #EUDefence readiness, the Military Mobility Package will ensure swift movement of troops & assets, boost our resilience, tackle regulatory, infrastructure, capability & governance gaps.
🔎 ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
To improve #EUDefence readiness, the Military Mobility Package will ensure swift movement of troops & assets, boost our resilience, tackle regulatory, infrastructure, capability & governance gaps.
🔎 ec.europa.eu/commission/p...
100% The UK (like all European NATO allies) should be privately doing everything they can to prepare for the day when the US withdraws from Europe.
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
Britain’s defenses too reliant on Trump’s America, MPs warn
The cross-party Defence Committee says Europe will be “left vulnerable” if the U.S. backs away.
www.politico.eu
November 19, 2025 at 12:27 PM
100% The UK (like all European NATO allies) should be privately doing everything they can to prepare for the day when the US withdraws from Europe.
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
www.politico.eu/article/brit...
NATO allies need to upgrade infrastructure to allow for the rapid mobilization of troops against a potential Russian attack.
on.ft.com/4o9auv3
on.ft.com/4o9auv3
The surreal 45-day trek at the heart of Nato’s defence
Europe wrestles with crumbling bridges, narrow tunnels and red tape as it plans how to move an army eastward
on.ft.com
November 18, 2025 at 8:37 PM
NATO allies need to upgrade infrastructure to allow for the rapid mobilization of troops against a potential Russian attack.
on.ft.com/4o9auv3
on.ft.com/4o9auv3
Reposted by Jason Davidson
Moscow must be disappointed that it failed to derail a Polish train and kill its passengers.
This was an attempt to kill.
Photos: @Dyspozytura_T on X
This was an attempt to kill.
Photos: @Dyspozytura_T on X
November 17, 2025 at 11:44 AM
Moscow must be disappointed that it failed to derail a Polish train and kill its passengers.
This was an attempt to kill.
Photos: @Dyspozytura_T on X
This was an attempt to kill.
Photos: @Dyspozytura_T on X
As NATO allies responded to Russian drone incursions with Eastern Sentry, looks like Russia has moved on to new targets:
www.politico.eu/article/poli...
www.politico.eu/article/poli...
Polish PM Tusk says rail track explosion was ‘sabotage’
Warsaw is on guard against foreign espionage and operations linked to Russia’s war in neighboring Ukraine.
www.politico.eu
November 17, 2025 at 11:34 AM
As NATO allies responded to Russian drone incursions with Eastern Sentry, looks like Russia has moved on to new targets:
www.politico.eu/article/poli...
www.politico.eu/article/poli...
Donald Trump has spent decades criticizing US alliances for not serving US interests and, yet, in his second term he's busy creating new alliances that do not serve the US interests.
on.ft.com/4i6oXGD
on.ft.com/4i6oXGD
Trump should not offer Saudi Arabia one-sided security guarantees
A defence pact that is not mutual will do nothing to advance America’s global interests
on.ft.com
November 17, 2025 at 11:27 AM
Donald Trump has spent decades criticizing US alliances for not serving US interests and, yet, in his second term he's busy creating new alliances that do not serve the US interests.
on.ft.com/4i6oXGD
on.ft.com/4i6oXGD
Where's DOGE when you need it?
November 15, 2025 at 7:09 PM
Where's DOGE when you need it?
Reposted by Jason Davidson
Russia wants to weaken our political will to defend ourselves. We must consider not only how to counter hybrid Kremlin aggression, but also weaken its political will to prepare new attacks
On the importance of institutional & political defence readiness⬇️
andriuskubilius.lt/en/once-agai...
On the importance of institutional & political defence readiness⬇️
andriuskubilius.lt/en/once-agai...
Dar kartą apie pasirengimą gynybai
(based on Lithuanian language version version, which was published on 30 October) There has been a lot of talk lately about the defence readiness of the European Union. And of my country, Lithuania. A...
tinyurl.com
November 15, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Russia wants to weaken our political will to defend ourselves. We must consider not only how to counter hybrid Kremlin aggression, but also weaken its political will to prepare new attacks
On the importance of institutional & political defence readiness⬇️
andriuskubilius.lt/en/once-agai...
On the importance of institutional & political defence readiness⬇️
andriuskubilius.lt/en/once-agai...
From that other site: looks like we are leaning toward regime change in Venezuela.
November 15, 2025 at 6:47 PM
From that other site: looks like we are leaning toward regime change in Venezuela.
I had a wonderful time presenting the findings of my new book, NATO After Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, yesterday at the Tower Center at SMU.
November 14, 2025 at 12:51 PM
I had a wonderful time presenting the findings of my new book, NATO After Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine, yesterday at the Tower Center at SMU.
Xi Jinping’s purge of military officers raises doubts about China’s readiness for war
November 14, 2025 at 12:39 PM
Xi Jinping’s purge of military officers raises doubts about China’s readiness for war
“I fundamentally assess that Putin is not interested in negotiations. There are no negotiations, not real negotiations. He’s attempting to play us.”
on.ft.com/49dAJg7
on.ft.com/49dAJg7
Former MI6 chief Richard Moore: Britain must regain the ‘power of example’
The outgoing head of the Secret Intelligence Service on the rise of China, why Putin is not interested in talks — and how screen spies aren’t always far from the truth
on.ft.com
November 13, 2025 at 3:01 PM
“I fundamentally assess that Putin is not interested in negotiations. There are no negotiations, not real negotiations. He’s attempting to play us.”
on.ft.com/49dAJg7
on.ft.com/49dAJg7
Is France more concerned by the threat from Russia or by Germany’s increasing military capability?
www.politico.eu/article/germ...
www.politico.eu/article/germ...
Germany’s rearmament upends Europe’s power balance
As Berlin again becomes Europe’s leading military power, Paris and Warsaw face a massive political shift.
www.politico.eu
November 12, 2025 at 2:35 PM
Is France more concerned by the threat from Russia or by Germany’s increasing military capability?
www.politico.eu/article/germ...
www.politico.eu/article/germ...
Can Europe compete economically but unite against the threat from Russia?
Provocative piece
Can a fragmented Europe continue to prosper?
Provocative piece
Can a fragmented Europe continue to prosper?
November 12, 2025 at 2:29 PM
Can Europe compete economically but unite against the threat from Russia?
Provocative piece
Can a fragmented Europe continue to prosper?
Provocative piece
Can a fragmented Europe continue to prosper?
“They are serious and they will try to gradually and incrementally increase the defence budget,” Marrone said. But he noted: “10 years is a long timeframe and many things may happen.”
on.ft.com/49G68ba
on.ft.com/49G68ba
Italy’s Nato defence spending pledge clashes with mounting debt
Rome’s public debt-to-GDP ratio will soar to near-record 148% if it meets promises to allies through extra borrowing
on.ft.com
November 10, 2025 at 11:49 AM
“They are serious and they will try to gradually and incrementally increase the defence budget,” Marrone said. But he noted: “10 years is a long timeframe and many things may happen.”
on.ft.com/49G68ba
on.ft.com/49G68ba
My most recent book _NATO After Russia's Invasion of Ukraine_ is out and coming soon to a bookseller near you.
I look forward to hearing what folks think!
I look forward to hearing what folks think!
November 8, 2025 at 7:18 PM
My most recent book _NATO After Russia's Invasion of Ukraine_ is out and coming soon to a bookseller near you.
I look forward to hearing what folks think!
I look forward to hearing what folks think!