Robbie Orvis
@robbieorvis.bsky.social
4.5K followers 380 following 460 posts
Senior Director, Modeling and Analysis @energyinnovation.bsky.social. Working to help deploy clean energy technologies, drive down costs , and cut greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Posts are my own.
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robbieorvis.bsky.social
Today, the President will sign the OBBBA into law, repealing and and modifying many clean energy tax credits. Last night we finished updating our analysis of OBBBA at the state-level to see what this bill means for Americans. The results are ugly.

Full dataset here: zenodo.org/records/1580...
EI House OBBBA Modeling - State Results
State level EPS model results used in published EI fact sheets: https://energyinnovation.org/report/one-big-beautiful-bill-act/.
zenodo.org
robbieorvis.bsky.social
This is the perfect lens through which to observe the absurdity of what is happening.
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. the first time a Republican governor has questioned the interstate deployment of National Guard troops over a governor’s objections.”

@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. the first time a Republican governor has questioned the interstate deployment of National Guard troops over a governor’s objections.”

@nytimes.com #OKgov
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/09/u...
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
kostyack.bsky.social
Nope, Energy Sec'y Wright, offshore winds in fact blow in winter. 1st year of operational data from NY's South Fork Wind project shows a 47% capacity factor in the year ending June 2025, with performance highest in the winter. Coal's avg capacity factor: 42%.
Wright says it’s not windy in winter. Data says otherwise.
Stats from South Fork Wind's first year undermine the Energy secretary's assertions that offshore turbines don't operate well in the winter.
www.eenews.net
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Whoa. Always sorta suspected this case but wow.
transportenvironment.org
NEW: Biofuels globally emit more than the fossil fuels they replace, our latest study shows.

The first-of-a-kind study looks at global biofuels production today and the potential impacts of government biofuel targets.
🧵⤵️
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Do these seem reasonable
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Someone please help me understand these vetoes because I don’t get it.
jeffstjohn.bsky.social
California could save billions of dollars in grid and energy costs by tapping rooftop solar, batteries, EVs, and smart appliances as virtual power plants. Why did Governor Gavin Newsom veto three widely supported VPP bills meant to enable those savings?
www.canarymedia.com/articles/vir...
#energysky
Why did Newsom veto California’s virtual power plant bills?
Supporters say the bills would have helped ease the state’s energy affordability crisis while strengthening grid reliability.
www.canarymedia.com
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Great idea. Admin seems intent on pulling transmission funding not supporting it though.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
bistline.bsky.social
Context: forecasts were collected in mid-2022 with outcomes assessed by mid-2025. Here's the report: forecastingresearch.org/near-term-xp...

It'd be good to see details on how "resolved" values were set. H2 costs vary with local renewables, utilization, subsidy eligibility, etc.
Assessing Near-Term Accuracy in the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament — Forecasting Research Institute
forecastingresearch.org
robbieorvis.bsky.social
And so it begins. Using AI generated content to drum up fake sentiment and pretense for military action.
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. On closer inspection, however, it turned out that the image was not a photograph of a real event in Portland, but instead a fabrication created by combining two photographs of scenes that unfolded in South America nearly a decade apart ..”

@theguardian.com
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Just a colossal self own ceding 21st manufacturing to other nations we compete with. Unbelievably short sighted.
emilypont.bsky.social
Some additional info on the new list of axed DOE projects circulating.
- All 7 H2 Hubs
- All 13 IRA grants to convert at-risk auto plants to EV mfg
- 11 of 15 grants to speed domestic clean energy mfg in former coal communities
- 10 of 38 grants for battery materials
heatmap.news/politics/doe...
Trump to Axe All 7 Hydrogen Hubs, Bucking Bipartisan Law
A new list of Department of Energy grants slated for termination will hit clean energy and oil majors alike, including Exxon and Chevron.
heatmap.news
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
DENNING: ".. We are in year one of a Trump administration that is determined to crush what he has called the EV 'hoax.'"

Ford's plan "must surely trouble even the most committed ideologues to see their anti-EV onslaught hasn’t .. changed the direction of travel."

www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...
Ford's New $30,000 EV Pickup Cuts Against Washington
When it comes to electric vehicles, US automakers have set their sights far beyond Washington and 2028.
www.bloomberg.com
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
horadam.bsky.social
It’s a good thing Texas installed so much reliable solar, wind, and battery capacity to shoulder the load in the event the state’s unreliable coal generation suffered a catastrophic failure.

Because apparently it did.

🔌💡

ieefa.org/resources/ne...
Newest big U.S. coal-plant offline until 2027
The newest major coal-fired power plant in the U.S. is expected to be offline until March 2027 after a major failure in April.
ieefa.org
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
kevinjkircher.com
$16 billion. That's how much the PJM market monitor estimates that electricity ratepayers will pay via increased utility bills to subsidize interconnection of data centers owned by Big Tech. A massive give-away to some of the most profitable companies in the world.

www.eenews.net/articles/dat...
Data center boom sparks sticker shock for PJM ratepayers
New analyses show that costs passed on to utility customers to guarantee future electricity demand are rising rapidly.
www.eenews.net
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Jesus just say it loud. IT’S ILLEGAL.
ericlipton.nytimes.com
It is not clear that Mr. Trump’s image can be featured on a coin. An 1866 law enshrined a tradition that only deceased people could appear on U.S. currency to avoid the appearance that America was a monarchy. Trump admin is planning to do it anyway.
By Alan Rappeport

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/b...
Treasury Plans to Mint $1 Commemorative Trump Coin
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
besspro.bsky.social
I wonder if this will get even a small fraction of the press that the battery fire at Moss Landing received. Fires happen. But fossil fuel-related fires are far more common than fires at lithium ion facilities. And, a fire like Moss Landing will never happen again given design changes.
nytimes.com
A fireball lit up the sky across the Los Angeles area on Thursday night after an explosion at a Chevron refinery in El Segundo, alarming nearby residents who said it felt like an earthquake. The cause of the explosion was not clear. No injuries were reported. nyti.ms/42pPCaW
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
johndwalke.bsky.social
‘A federal judge has delivered a victory to 19 Democratic-led states & D.C., ruling the Department of Energy’s attempt to cap funding for state energy programs is illegal & violated the Administrative Procedure Act.’ subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene... ($)
E&E News: Judge rules DOE effort to cap energy grants is illegal
Democratic-led states sued DOE last month, saying the policy change to limit funding for state energy programs would hurt them.
subscriber.politicopro.com
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
costasamaras.com
Thank you to the career federal employees, who show up to work every day and improve people's lives across the country.
robbieorvis.bsky.social
Just so we’re clear there’s zero evidence that any of the things Hegseth listed today matter whatsoever for our military preparedness, right? Totally political.
Reposted by Robbie Orvis
ilmi.bsky.social
Have you seen this Climate Tech Atlas that @robbieorvis.bsky.social and the gang at @energyinnovation.org put together with a bunch of partners? Another great way to navigate emerging climate solutions.

climatetechatlas.com
Climate Tech Atlas
Explore breakthrough technologies and innovation opportunities to accelerate climate solutions.
climatetechatlas.com