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Robbie Orvis

@robbieorvis.bsky.social

4.5K followers 380 following 450 posts

Senior Director, Modeling and Analysis @energyinnovation.bsky.social. Working to help deploy clean energy technologies, drive down costs , and cut greenhouse gas emissions through smart and innovative policy. Posts are my own.

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · Jul 4

Today, the President will sign the OBBBA into law, repealing and and modifying many clean energy tax credits. Last night we finished updating our analysis of OBBBA at the state-level to see what this bill means for Americans. The results are ugly.

Full dataset here: zenodo.org/records/1580...

EI House OBBBA Modeling - State Results

State level EPS model results used in published EI fact sheets: https://energyinnovation.org/report/one-big-beautiful-bill-act/.

zenodo.org

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Reposted by Robbie Orvis

John Bistline @bistline.bsky.social · 1d

Context: forecasts were collected in mid-2022 with outcomes assessed by mid-2025. Here's the report: forecastingresearch.org/near-term-xp...

It'd be good to see details on how "resolved" values were set. H2 costs vary with local renewables, utilization, subsidy eligibility, etc.

Assessing Near-Term Accuracy in the Existential Risk Persuasion Tournament — Forecasting Research Institute

forecastingresearch.org

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 4h

And so it begins. Using AI generated content to drum up fake sentiment and pretense for military action.

Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 1d

“.. On closer inspection, however, it turned out that the image was not a photograph of a real event in Portland, but instead a fabrication created by combining two photographs of scenes that unfolded in South America nearly a decade apart ..”

@theguardian.com
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 19h

Just a colossal self own ceding 21st manufacturing to other nations we compete with. Unbelievably short sighted.

Emily Pontecorvo @emilypont.bsky.social · 19h

Some additional info on the new list of axed DOE projects circulating.
- All 7 H2 Hubs
- All 13 IRA grants to convert at-risk auto plants to EV mfg
- 11 of 15 grants to speed domestic clean energy mfg in former coal communities
- 10 of 38 grants for battery materials
heatmap.news/politics/doe...

Trump to Axe All 7 Hydrogen Hubs, Bucking Bipartisan Law

A new list of Department of Energy grants slated for termination will hit clean energy and oil majors alike, including Exxon and Chevron.

heatmap.news

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Carl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · Aug 12

DENNING: ".. We are in year one of a Trump administration that is determined to crush what he has called the EV 'hoax.'"

Ford's plan "must surely trouble even the most committed ideologues to see their anti-EV onslaught hasn’t .. changed the direction of travel."

www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Ford's New $30,000 EV Pickup Cuts Against Washington

When it comes to electric vehicles, US automakers have set their sights far beyond Washington and 2028.

www.bloomberg.com

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Nathaniel William Horadam @horadam.bsky.social · 20h

It’s a good thing Texas installed so much reliable solar, wind, and battery capacity to shoulder the load in the event the state’s unreliable coal generation suffered a catastrophic failure.

Because apparently it did.

🔌💡

ieefa.org/resources/ne...

Newest big U.S. coal-plant offline until 2027

The newest major coal-fired power plant in the U.S. is expected to be offline until March 2027 after a major failure in April.

ieefa.org

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Simon Mahan @simonmahan.bsky.social · 2d

Duke Energy’s Resource Plan Delays Wind Energy Development Until 2040s www.sewind.org/news/duke-en...

Duke Energy’s Resource Plan Delays Wind Energy Development Until 2040s — Southeastern Wind Coalition

Onshore and offshore wind indefinitely delayed as Duke cites site assessment challenges and federal policy impacts.

www.sewind.org

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Kevin J. CREATURE @kevinjkircher.com · 2d

$16 billion. That's how much the PJM market monitor estimates that electricity ratepayers will pay via increased utility bills to subsidize interconnection of data centers owned by Big Tech. A massive give-away to some of the most profitable companies in the world.

www.eenews.net/articles/dat...

Data center boom sparks sticker shock for PJM ratepayers

New analyses show that costs passed on to utility customers to guarantee future electricity demand are rising rapidly.

www.eenews.net

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 4d

Jesus just say it loud. IT’S ILLEGAL.

Eric Lipton NYT @ericlipton.nytimes.com · 4d

It is not clear that Mr. Trump’s image can be featured on a coin. An 1866 law enshrined a tradition that only deceased people could appear on U.S. currency to avoid the appearance that America was a monarchy. Trump admin is planning to do it anyway.
By Alan Rappeport

www.nytimes.com/2025/10/03/b...

Treasury Plans to Mint $1 Commemorative Trump Coin

www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Robbie Orvis

Energy Storage Pro @besspro.bsky.social · 5d

I wonder if this will get even a small fraction of the press that the battery fire at Moss Landing received. Fires happen. But fossil fuel-related fires are far more common than fires at lithium ion facilities. And, a fire like Moss Landing will never happen again given design changes.

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 5d

A fireball lit up the sky across the Los Angeles area on Thursday night after an explosion at a Chevron refinery in El Segundo, alarming nearby residents who said it felt like an earthquake. The cause of the explosion was not clear. No injuries were reported. nyti.ms/42pPCaW

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John Walke @johndwalke.bsky.social · 7d

‘A federal judge has delivered a victory to 19 Democratic-led states & D.C., ruling the Department of Energy’s attempt to cap funding for state energy programs is illegal & violated the Administrative Procedure Act.’ subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eene... ($)

E&E News: Judge rules DOE effort to cap energy grants is illegal

Democratic-led states sued DOE last month, saying the policy change to limit funding for state energy programs would hurt them.

subscriber.politicopro.com

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Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 7d

Thank you to the career federal employees, who show up to work every day and improve people's lives across the country.

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 7d

Good.

The New York Times @nytimes.com · 7d

The White House has withdrawn the nomination of E.J. Antoni to serve as the leader of the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

White House Pulls Pick to Lead Labor Data Agency

E.J. Antoni, a conservative economist, had faced bipartisan criticism as President Trump’s nominee to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

nyti.ms

Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 7d

Just so we’re clear there’s zero evidence that any of the things Hegseth listed today matter whatsoever for our military preparedness, right? Totally political.

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 9d

Also if you want region specific and free energy models, check out our Energy Policy Simulators at energypolicy.solutions

The Energy Policy Simulator (EPS) is a computer model developed by Energy Innovation to inform policymakers and regulators about which climate and energy policies will reduce greenhouse gas emissions most effectively and with the most beneficial financial and public health outcomes.

energypolicy.solutions

Reposted by Robbie Orvis

Ilmi @ilmi.bsky.social · 9d

Have you seen this Climate Tech Atlas that @robbieorvis.bsky.social and the gang at @energyinnovation.org put together with a bunch of partners? Another great way to navigate emerging climate solutions.

climatetechatlas.com

Climate Tech Atlas

Explore breakthrough technologies and innovation opportunities to accelerate climate solutions.

climatetechatlas.com

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 11d

happy Friday:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=3uEp...

Uncensored version with Samuel L. Jackson - A taste of fossil freedom

YouTube video by Vattenfall

www.youtube.com

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 13d

Anyone else feeling like some recent MS Word update just totally destroyed formatting? Seems to have gotten so much worse in the last few weeks.

Reposted by Robbie Orvis

Joanna Lewis @joannalewis.bsky.social · 13d

China NDC for 2035
-Net economy wide GHG emissions by 7-10% from peak levels
Increase share of non-fossil fuels in total energy consumption to over 30%
-Expand installed capacity of wind and solar power to over 6x the 2020 levels, striving to bring the total to 3600 GW

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Wanyuan Song @wanyuansong.bsky.social · 13d

Xi just announced China’s new NDC, from my live listen, he said:
- China will by 2035 reduce economy wise GHG by 7%-10% from peak levels, “striving to do better” (I heard GHG but may just be emissions)
- Will increase "non-fossil fuels" to over 30%

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Christoph Bertram @christoph-bertram.bsky.social · 13d

Headline number of Chinese 2035 NDC just announced:
7-10% below peak level, "striving to do better", also 3600 GW of solar and wind.
According to our analysis www.country-ambition.cgs.umd.edu/china
this is more in line with what "Current Policies" will already deliver, rather than "High Ambition"

GHG emissions in China from 1990-2023, and in future scenarios under "Current Policies" and "High Ambition"

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 17d

I too am wondering about climate week dress code

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🍁🇨🇦Team Canada Forever🇨🇦🍁 @teamcanadaforever.bsky.social · 18d

Disney has lost nearly $4 Billion in three days from combined stock price collapse and cancelled subscriptions.

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Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 18d

Instead of scientific peer review, here comes political peer review

Mike Dettinger @mdettinger.bsky.social · 18d

EPA has ordered scientists in its Office of Water to immediately pause almost all research & stop publishing studies. Researchers were told that, unless scientific journals had already returned proofs, studies will be subject to an additional EPA review.

www.washingtonpost.com/climate-envi...

EPA tells scientists to stop publishing studies, employees say

Staff from the EPA’s Office of Water were summoned to a town hall meeting this week and told to pause the publication of most research, pending a review.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 18d

Maybe lead with this, @washingtonpost.com…

“Under federal law, he said, only Congress has the power to create new visa entry programs and add fees to existing categories.”

Trump levies $100k yearly fee on H-1B visas in clampdown on legal immigration

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Trump levies $100k yearly fee on H-1B visas in clampdown on legal immigration

The Trump administration also plans to launch a $1 million gold card visa for wealthy foreigners in a dramatic overhaul of the nation’s paths to legal immigration.

www.washingtonpost.com

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Robbie Orvis @robbieorvis.bsky.social · 19d

Proud to have contributed to #ClimateTechAtlas (climatetechatlas.com), launched yesterday, alongside many others. The Atlas maps ways to accelerate the path to net zero with innovation imperatives and identifies moonshot technologies that could be game changers. Check it out!

Climate Tech Atlas

Explore breakthrough technologies and innovation opportunities to accelerate climate solutions.

ClimateTechAtlas.com