Rob Cyran
@robcyran.bsky.social
3.7K followers 130 following 1K posts
More fox than hedgehog - financial columnist Reuters Breakingviews (healthcare, energy, some tech, climate risk)
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robcyran.bsky.social
At the very least, a strategic stockpile of various rare earths - storage costs would be cheap, don’t need to worry about having domestic supply and subsidizing operating costs. And you don’t have the dirty processing.
robcyran.bsky.social
I don’t understand why the US lacks a large stockpile of rare earths. Much smaller volumes needed than oil, storage costs should be relatively cheap and refining is dirty so fine if it’s located elsewhere.
robcyran.bsky.social
Yeah consumer spending is the real engine of the US economy and always has been/always will be. One caveat though is higher decile income has become more important for consumer spending over time- so might get more of a wealth effect from a market crash this time.
robcyran.bsky.social
It’s probably a smallish impact on GDP but bigger on corporate earnings. In 2000 GDP hit was pretty minimal but S&P earnings fell 40% if I recall correctly.
robcyran.bsky.social
Sam using your 1bn parameter LLM for this problem is a crime
robcyran.bsky.social
Excellent paper title by the way, using Miese van der Rohe’s axiom. Any follow on paper should use fellow architect Loos’ over the top quote “ornament is crime!”
robcyran.bsky.social
Tiny recursive models seem really interesting and may cause a Wall Street AI freak out at some point. Speculative guess here, but looks like a limited tool for reducing noise in some clearly-defined problems caused by model overfitting. arxiv.org/html/2510.04...
Less is More: Recursive Reasoning with Tiny Networks
arxiv.org
robcyran.bsky.social
I was not aware that Argentine President Milei, has five cloned mastiffs (named after economists e.g. Lucas and Milton), and reportedly telepathically speaks to them, asking advice. All are clones of his first dog which he claimed to have met in a gladiator ring in Rome. time.com/6337474/javi...
time.com
robcyran.bsky.social
This whole article is amazing
robcyran.bsky.social
that's right - seemed like lowball bid because A) off chance they might get it and might be useful for customer acq. and B) annoy Google
robcyran.bsky.social
Also, he seems like the kind of guy that has probably eaten placenta.
robcyran.bsky.social
This policy might* be worth mulling if the UK were known as a country with a history of capitalizing on IT advances and was weak in cultural exports.

* nah, probably not even in that case.
robcyran.bsky.social
Also less time at gas stations. I always just plug in at home, so maybe once every few months there's a 25 min charge on a road trip. As opposed to a ten minute gas station visit every other week with gas. Also always full at home, so never hop in the car to go and realize I need to get gas first.
robcyran.bsky.social
The odds are pretty low that this thing ever makes any money. No reason for branded to use outside distribution if they want to cut out middlemen, insurers have PBMs and out of pocket generic is (generally) small size, low price, low margin. www.wsj.com/health/pharm...
Trump Wants to Overhaul Drug Sales. A Company Tied to His Son Stands to Benefit.
The family members of President Trump and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick are poised to benefit from efforts to remake the pharmaceutical industry.
www.wsj.com
robcyran.bsky.social
The two Ps are a joke that’s also correct. If you can hit multiple points low on Maslow’s Hierarchy of needs you succeed (and yes, I know Maslow’s idea isn’t actually scientifically valid but it’s an illuminating fiction).
robcyran.bsky.social
You don’t have to like how a tech is used (I will force my kids to get a job with heavy customer interaction if I find out they are using AI this way) but it is important to objectively observe how people use tech
robcyran.bsky.social
Crypto/blockchain etc, by contrast, is less than useful for pizza delivery (the famous bitcoin pizza payment) and has an anti-sexy image.
robcyran.bsky.social
This is fascinating and shows how AI is hitting at least one of the “two P”s needed for any real technology (porn and pizza delivery).
robcyran.bsky.social
This is the first time I can recall a lawmaker stating this plainly.
ericmgarcia.bsky.social
Ruben Gallego on whether Trump is talking to Democrats:

“Look, the President clearly has some kind of dementia, so I think there's a he's probably talking to himself, or think he's talking to a Democrat, but I sincerely doubt that that's actually he's actually physically talking to a Democrat.“
robcyran.bsky.social
Another big reason - in any other developed country you don't spend days of your life on the phone with your insurer, trying to iron out how much you owe after receiving care.

Also, you never, ever receive -this statement looks like a bill, but is not a bill.
Reposted by Rob Cyran
emcreditfund.bsky.social
***BREAKING: NVDIA DECIDES TO SELL CHIPS FOR 10% STAKE IN THE OTHER 499 S&P COMPANIES... SPX up 26% on the news
robcyran.bsky.social
It's a novel way to destroy the effectiveness of an agency which underlies the US ability to finance its spending and debt. The 10yr UST yields 4.16%.....