Isaiah Bishop
@isaiahbishop.bsky.social
ML Eng. and econometrics. Lot more left-posting than normal. Some hobby-level finance
Regrettably degen trading for the next 3 months, im sorry
Views dont reflect my employer
Regrettably degen trading for the next 3 months, im sorry
Views dont reflect my employer
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
YES. Main reason classic pretraining dominated for so long is just that you don’t have to think so much about the data or what elicits reasoning. It’s "here".
For Sutskever/Patel new podcast: www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutsk...
For Sutskever/Patel new podcast: www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutsk...
November 25, 2025 at 9:27 PM
YES. Main reason classic pretraining dominated for so long is just that you don’t have to think so much about the data or what elicits reasoning. It’s "here".
For Sutskever/Patel new podcast: www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutsk...
For Sutskever/Patel new podcast: www.dwarkesh.com/p/ilya-sutsk...
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
Are LLMs Gloopy or Freepy?
November 25, 2025 at 9:08 PM
Are LLMs Gloopy or Freepy?
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
*KALSHI IS SUBJECT TO NEVADA GAMING REGULATION, JUDGE RULES
NO MORE BETS
NO MORE BETS
November 25, 2025 at 8:24 PM
*KALSHI IS SUBJECT TO NEVADA GAMING REGULATION, JUDGE RULES
NO MORE BETS
NO MORE BETS
FT is just such a good publication lol
OpenAI needs to raise at least $207bn by 2030 so it can continue to lose money, HSBC estimates on.ft.com/4ij0yh8
OpenAI needs to raise at least $207bn by 2030 so it can continue to lose money, HSBC estimates
A burning platform
on.ft.com
November 25, 2025 at 8:04 PM
FT is just such a good publication lol
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
Someone (Rubio?) is MEGA pissed at the Ukraine peace plan situation if they leaked a full on *recording* of this Witkoff call (with transcript, lol).
November 25, 2025 at 7:51 PM
Someone (Rubio?) is MEGA pissed at the Ukraine peace plan situation if they leaked a full on *recording* of this Witkoff call (with transcript, lol).
This is bothering me now so i do have to quote post it. But like if the govt wanted to beat the NIMBYs they could literally rule tomorrow that all zoning is abolished and expropriate basically whoever to build housing.
Britain needs a no-joke revolution. Not a leftist revolution, not a reactionary revolution. A good, old-fashioned liberal revolution.
Against the insane cartelization of housing by NIMBYs, against the ongoing abuse of immigrants and trans ppl & vs anyone who someone thinks is an immigrant or trans.
Against the insane cartelization of housing by NIMBYs, against the ongoing abuse of immigrants and trans ppl & vs anyone who someone thinks is an immigrant or trans.
Imagine coming up with a proposal so stupid, so unworkable, so thoughtless, that it makes Robert Jenrick look sane by comparison.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
November 25, 2025 at 7:22 PM
This is bothering me now so i do have to quote post it. But like if the govt wanted to beat the NIMBYs they could literally rule tomorrow that all zoning is abolished and expropriate basically whoever to build housing.
Gonna be honest, i am seeing some critique of other judiciaries out there, and as an outside observer i am not seeing US-style judiciary and constitution as a real winner in recent news
November 25, 2025 at 6:11 PM
Gonna be honest, i am seeing some critique of other judiciaries out there, and as an outside observer i am not seeing US-style judiciary and constitution as a real winner in recent news
UK genuinely has some incredibly good and universal support systems, but imagine how much better it would be if so much of it wasnt just going to housing
Ultimately the minimum wage is a brilliant tool, but it can’t compensate for “we haven’t built any housing”, “we have cut cash transfers to the bone” and “all the third spaces have been cut to pay for social care”.
The minimum wage is not a cure all — we’re asking too much of business
Politicians spend too much time uttering cheap rhetoric about cheap labour
www.ft.com
November 25, 2025 at 4:51 PM
UK genuinely has some incredibly good and universal support systems, but imagine how much better it would be if so much of it wasnt just going to housing
Just checking in on house prices after i saw pearkes' post and canadian market looking very mixed
November 25, 2025 at 4:05 PM
Just checking in on house prices after i saw pearkes' post and canadian market looking very mixed
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
Can really summarize a lot of AI market angst with sentence:
“It sucks to be close to OpenAI rn”
sherwood.news/markets/it-s...
“It sucks to be close to OpenAI rn”
sherwood.news/markets/it-s...
November 25, 2025 at 3:40 PM
Can really summarize a lot of AI market angst with sentence:
“It sucks to be close to OpenAI rn”
sherwood.news/markets/it-s...
“It sucks to be close to OpenAI rn”
sherwood.news/markets/it-s...
Remember that US official leaks mean basically nothing.
"Canada agrees to give US right to exploit minerals first" was a story until someone asked literally any canadians
"Canada agrees to give US right to exploit minerals first" was a story until someone asked literally any canadians
ABC News reports Ukraine has agreed to the terms of the US peace proposal, with "minor details still outstanding".
US official says Ukrainian delegation has agreed with US on terms of potential peace deal
The U.S. has held secret talks in Abu Dhabi with a Russian delegation to discuss a Ukraine peace proposal.
abcnews.go.com
November 25, 2025 at 12:44 PM
Remember that US official leaks mean basically nothing.
"Canada agrees to give US right to exploit minerals first" was a story until someone asked literally any canadians
"Canada agrees to give US right to exploit minerals first" was a story until someone asked literally any canadians
As someone with two dead parents, i find this line of argument particularly unappealing
Just completely disagree with this line of argument tbh. The basic unit of society is not an individual, it is a family. The idea that everyone should start from the same place is actually wrong and bad. I’m sympathetic to the argument that dynastic wealth is bad so IHt with a high threshold is ok.
November 25, 2025 at 12:32 PM
As someone with two dead parents, i find this line of argument particularly unappealing
Arsenal of democracy being plausibly first-nations owned is crazy lol
November 25, 2025 at 1:55 AM
Arsenal of democracy being plausibly first-nations owned is crazy lol
Since i am apparently too pessimistic about the EU military preparedness, does anyone have decent sources on where things stand and reasonable critiques
I ask because all military analysis is plagued with guys who want to be paid to say whatever will find a sponsor
I ask because all military analysis is plagued with guys who want to be paid to say whatever will find a sponsor
November 25, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Since i am apparently too pessimistic about the EU military preparedness, does anyone have decent sources on where things stand and reasonable critiques
I ask because all military analysis is plagued with guys who want to be paid to say whatever will find a sponsor
I ask because all military analysis is plagued with guys who want to be paid to say whatever will find a sponsor
Its possible provincial regulation of financial crime isnt working
BINANCE IS BEING SUED BY OCT. 7 HAMAS VICTIMS, WHO CLAIM THE EXCHANGE KNOWINGLY ENABLED TERROR-LINKED CRYPTO FLOWS EXCEEDING $1 BILLION. || THE 284-PAGE COMPLAINT SAYS BINANCE ACTED AS A SAFE HAVEN FOR ILLICIT ACTIVITY, LETTING HAMAS, HEZBOLLAH AND OTHERS MOVE FUNDS EVEN AFTER
November 24, 2025 at 11:56 PM
Its possible provincial regulation of financial crime isnt working
Rory Stewart, noted normal UK conservative, said that this plan shows "the US simply doesnt live in a world with allies anymore"
Negotiations are ongoing this week on another Ukraine peace plan. While the Trump administration’s unorthodox, hard-hitting approach to negotiations have forced parties to the table before, it’s too early to know if this approach will work, notes CSIS's Emily Harding.
www.csis.org/analysis/wha...
www.csis.org/analysis/wha...
November 24, 2025 at 11:25 PM
Rory Stewart, noted normal UK conservative, said that this plan shows "the US simply doesnt live in a world with allies anymore"
Love that Ilya has maintained that overworked Phd student look
i reeeally hope this is what it looks like
i’d love to hear from Ilya, and also i assume Ilya wouldn’t talk unless he had something interesting to say, some tidbit of news also dropping tomorrow
i’d love to hear from Ilya, and also i assume Ilya wouldn’t talk unless he had something interesting to say, some tidbit of news also dropping tomorrow
November 24, 2025 at 10:47 PM
Love that Ilya has maintained that overworked Phd student look
Advantage of selling newsletters is that you can bet on armageddon and get premiums instead!
Good god. Really? Selling newsletters? How bad is burry down to be pulling this?
What’s next? Trying to sell a course on house flipping or maybe he can try to sell us a timeshare.
What’s next? Trying to sell a course on house flipping or maybe he can try to sell us a timeshare.
November 24, 2025 at 8:54 PM
Advantage of selling newsletters is that you can bet on armageddon and get premiums instead!
outrageous sunset today
November 24, 2025 at 8:28 PM
outrageous sunset today
Becoming more and more convinced that JD Vance and Claremont will be the place for right wing foreign policy. And they are the manifest destiny, canadians are ethnically americans, EU in russias sphere people
November 24, 2025 at 7:39 PM
Becoming more and more convinced that JD Vance and Claremont will be the place for right wing foreign policy. And they are the manifest destiny, canadians are ethnically americans, EU in russias sphere people
Reposted by Isaiah Bishop
When Tony Blair came to power in 1997, the UK economy was bigger than China and India combined.
November 24, 2025 at 4:07 PM
When Tony Blair came to power in 1997, the UK economy was bigger than China and India combined.
We must ban sports betting for national security reasons
The boom in sports gambling and prediction markets is creating “emerging credit risks,” per Bank of America sherwood.news/markets/the-...
November 24, 2025 at 6:44 PM
We must ban sports betting for national security reasons
whats going on with "dont know"
Do you stand or sit to wipe your bum?
The question has been doing the rounds on podcasts and social media, and now YouGov has the answer:
Stand: 34%
Sit: 57%
yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
The question has been doing the rounds on podcasts and social media, and now YouGov has the answer:
Stand: 34%
Sit: 57%
yougov.co.uk/topics/polit...
November 24, 2025 at 5:26 PM
whats going on with "dont know"
very cool!
Dept of war: ‘OFFICIAL STATEMENT: The Department of War has received serious allegations of misconduct against Captain Mark Kelly, USN (Ret.). In accordance with the Uniform Code of Military Justice, 10 U.S.C. § 688, and other applicable regulations, a thorough review of these
November 24, 2025 at 5:03 PM
very cool!
stock market seems comfy!
November 24, 2025 at 4:07 PM
stock market seems comfy!