Sophie E. Hill
@sophieehill.bsky.social
PoliSci PhD student @ Harvard / 🇬🇧🏳️🌈 / Creator of MyLittleCrony.com
Signal: @sehill.11
Signal: @sehill.11
Pinned
My thread on the Neurology paper on sweeteners & cognitive health: skywriter.blue/pages/did:pl...
And a follow-up thread on some weird patterns in the Appendix tables: skywriter.blue/pages/did:pl...
Collated by Skywriter onto a web page for easier reading!
And a follow-up thread on some weird patterns in the Appendix tables: skywriter.blue/pages/did:pl...
Collated by Skywriter onto a web page for easier reading!
The Lionesses used to play lots of "easy" games, even beating Latvia 20-0 in 2021.
Then UEFA made qualifiers more competitive (a positive change, despite some fixture repetition).
But you can play friendlies against whoever. And England are currently 4-0 up vs China after 23 minutes 😳
Then UEFA made qualifiers more competitive (a positive change, despite some fixture repetition).
But you can play friendlies against whoever. And England are currently 4-0 up vs China after 23 minutes 😳
November 29, 2025 at 6:00 PM
The Lionesses used to play lots of "easy" games, even beating Latvia 20-0 in 2021.
Then UEFA made qualifiers more competitive (a positive change, despite some fixture repetition).
But you can play friendlies against whoever. And England are currently 4-0 up vs China after 23 minutes 😳
Then UEFA made qualifiers more competitive (a positive change, despite some fixture repetition).
But you can play friendlies against whoever. And England are currently 4-0 up vs China after 23 minutes 😳
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
Does anyone want a survivorship bias shortbread
November 29, 2025 at 4:50 AM
Does anyone want a survivorship bias shortbread
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
oh sorry you think the Margate Shell Grotto is just a Georgian folly?? you think the owners are refusing to use carbon dating in a cynical attempt to keep the Bronze Age theory alive and maintain the mystery for financial reasons? should we invite bella hadid??
November 26, 2025 at 2:44 PM
oh sorry you think the Margate Shell Grotto is just a Georgian folly?? you think the owners are refusing to use carbon dating in a cynical attempt to keep the Bronze Age theory alive and maintain the mystery for financial reasons? should we invite bella hadid??
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
Hello @springernature.com - you’ve just published another bit of nonsense in Scientific Reports 🙁
Uhh,,, Figure 1 shows you... what exactly? Trying to understand Medical fryrmbial, runctitional features and mum's legs going through concrete.
This whole article is a bit of a disaster. And it's very difficult to find other published work for the author. Strange! 🧪
(via @smutclyde.bsky.social)
This whole article is a bit of a disaster. And it's very difficult to find other published work for the author. Strange! 🧪
(via @smutclyde.bsky.social)
November 27, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Hello @springernature.com - you’ve just published another bit of nonsense in Scientific Reports 🙁
congratulations, you've been Grotto-pilled 🐚
I'd never heard of this place before, and I'm surprised because look at it! Where has all the fantasy media and games taking inspiration from its appearance gone?
November 26, 2025 at 3:21 PM
congratulations, you've been Grotto-pilled 🐚
crazy how there are 156 billionaires in britain and not ONE of them is whimsical enough to fund a decades-long undersea excavation around the Thanet coastline to find archaeological evidence of Phoenician trading posts and thus corroborate the Bronze Age origins of the Margate Shell Grotto??
November 26, 2025 at 2:21 PM
crazy how there are 156 billionaires in britain and not ONE of them is whimsical enough to fund a decades-long undersea excavation around the Thanet coastline to find archaeological evidence of Phoenician trading posts and thus corroborate the Bronze Age origins of the Margate Shell Grotto??
CHALLENGE: what do these "tortured phrases" mean?
Example: "ecological cataclysm" ➡️ "natural disaster"
1️⃣ exchange receptiveness
2️⃣ total heating
3️⃣ monetary exercises
4️⃣ quantitative achievement
5️⃣ pay level expansions
Example: "ecological cataclysm" ➡️ "natural disaster"
1️⃣ exchange receptiveness
2️⃣ total heating
3️⃣ monetary exercises
4️⃣ quantitative achievement
5️⃣ pay level expansions
CHALLENGE: can you decode these "tortured phrases"?
(i.e., if I say "bosom peril", you say "breast cancer")
1️⃣ "the upset U-molded EKC"
(i.e., if I say "bosom peril", you say "breast cancer")
1️⃣ "the upset U-molded EKC"
This is a great intro to tortured phrases.
"Bosom peril" for "breast cancer" is an all-timer.
The best one I've personally found was a statistical method being described as "vigorous" (instead of "robust").
thebulletin.org/2022/01/boso...
"Bosom peril" for "breast cancer" is an all-timer.
The best one I've personally found was a statistical method being described as "vigorous" (instead of "robust").
thebulletin.org/2022/01/boso...
November 26, 2025 at 11:04 AM
CHALLENGE: what do these "tortured phrases" mean?
Example: "ecological cataclysm" ➡️ "natural disaster"
1️⃣ exchange receptiveness
2️⃣ total heating
3️⃣ monetary exercises
4️⃣ quantitative achievement
5️⃣ pay level expansions
Example: "ecological cataclysm" ➡️ "natural disaster"
1️⃣ exchange receptiveness
2️⃣ total heating
3️⃣ monetary exercises
4️⃣ quantitative achievement
5️⃣ pay level expansions
guess i'm hotdesking today
November 26, 2025 at 10:23 AM
guess i'm hotdesking today
November 25, 2025 at 11:54 PM
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
The former Conservative Levelling Up Secretary and now editor of the Spectator, Michael Gove, has been selected as a judge for the 2026 Orwell Prize awards, despite his record of dodging media scrutiny and allegations of ‘stifling’ critical journalists
bylinetimes.com/2025/11/25/m...
bylinetimes.com/2025/11/25/m...
Michael Gove Made Orwell Prize Judge Despite Record of Attacking Journalists and Dodging Scrutiny
Critics say "Orwell would have enjoyed the irony" of the former Conservative minister's appointment
bylinetimes.com
November 25, 2025 at 1:12 PM
The former Conservative Levelling Up Secretary and now editor of the Spectator, Michael Gove, has been selected as a judge for the 2026 Orwell Prize awards, despite his record of dodging media scrutiny and allegations of ‘stifling’ critical journalists
bylinetimes.com/2025/11/25/m...
bylinetimes.com/2025/11/25/m...
November 25, 2025 at 3:16 PM
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
Double bonus question: can you spot TWO "sibling" tortured phrases (i.e., that derive from the same phrase)?
November 19, 2025 at 11:24 AM
Double bonus question: can you spot TWO "sibling" tortured phrases (i.e., that derive from the same phrase)?
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
NEW: Lord Dannatt and Lord David Evans of Watford face suspension of 4mo/5mo respectively from the House of Lords after a parliamentary watchdog ruled they had broken lobbying rules. Reports from the conduct committee follows Guardian investigations into the peers.
w/ @robevansgdn.bsky.social
w/ @robevansgdn.bsky.social
Two peers suspended from House of Lords for breaking lobbying rules
Lord Dannatt and Lord Evans of Watford were filmed breaking rules in undercover footage recorded by Guardian
www.theguardian.com
November 24, 2025 at 12:13 PM
NEW: Lord Dannatt and Lord David Evans of Watford face suspension of 4mo/5mo respectively from the House of Lords after a parliamentary watchdog ruled they had broken lobbying rules. Reports from the conduct committee follows Guardian investigations into the peers.
w/ @robevansgdn.bsky.social
w/ @robevansgdn.bsky.social
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
❌ Error 1 (level: EASY)
Solid waste has mean (0.624) > max (0.525)
❌ Error 2 (level: MEDIUM)
Solid waste and fiscal revenue have SD > range/2
0.53 > (0.525-0.1)/2 = 0.2125
0.926 > (1.2-0.024)/2 = 0.588
Solid waste has mean (0.624) > max (0.525)
❌ Error 2 (level: MEDIUM)
Solid waste and fiscal revenue have SD > range/2
0.53 > (0.525-0.1)/2 = 0.2125
0.926 > (1.2-0.024)/2 = 0.588
November 24, 2025 at 10:18 AM
❌ Error 1 (level: EASY)
Solid waste has mean (0.624) > max (0.525)
❌ Error 2 (level: MEDIUM)
Solid waste and fiscal revenue have SD > range/2
0.53 > (0.525-0.1)/2 = 0.2125
0.926 > (1.2-0.024)/2 = 0.588
Solid waste has mean (0.624) > max (0.525)
❌ Error 2 (level: MEDIUM)
Solid waste and fiscal revenue have SD > range/2
0.53 > (0.525-0.1)/2 = 0.2125
0.926 > (1.2-0.024)/2 = 0.588
Good morning!
Today is a day ending in "y", which means I found another mathematically-impossible Table of Summary Statistics in a peer-reviewed "green economics" paper!
What can you see? 🔎
#FablesofFlummeryStatistics
Today is a day ending in "y", which means I found another mathematically-impossible Table of Summary Statistics in a peer-reviewed "green economics" paper!
What can you see? 🔎
#FablesofFlummeryStatistics
November 24, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Good morning!
Today is a day ending in "y", which means I found another mathematically-impossible Table of Summary Statistics in a peer-reviewed "green economics" paper!
What can you see? 🔎
#FablesofFlummeryStatistics
Today is a day ending in "y", which means I found another mathematically-impossible Table of Summary Statistics in a peer-reviewed "green economics" paper!
What can you see? 🔎
#FablesofFlummeryStatistics
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
Reverse Image Forensics Challenge: Try to find a unique area in Figure 9 of this recent Scientific Reports paper: 10.1038/s41598-025-17456-6 [Aug 2025] - Annotated by ImageTwin.ai
November 11, 2025 at 1:49 AM
Reverse Image Forensics Challenge: Try to find a unique area in Figure 9 of this recent Scientific Reports paper: 10.1038/s41598-025-17456-6 [Aug 2025] - Annotated by ImageTwin.ai
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
next up we have one coefficient that looks off by a factor of 10.
god knows how that happened. but the lesson, as ever, is ABP (Always Be Plotting)
plot your raw data. plot your summary statistics. plot your model coefficients. plot your enemy's downfall. plot your residuals.
god knows how that happened. but the lesson, as ever, is ABP (Always Be Plotting)
plot your raw data. plot your summary statistics. plot your model coefficients. plot your enemy's downfall. plot your residuals.
November 22, 2025 at 2:29 PM
next up we have one coefficient that looks off by a factor of 10.
god knows how that happened. but the lesson, as ever, is ABP (Always Be Plotting)
plot your raw data. plot your summary statistics. plot your model coefficients. plot your enemy's downfall. plot your residuals.
god knows how that happened. but the lesson, as ever, is ABP (Always Be Plotting)
plot your raw data. plot your summary statistics. plot your model coefficients. plot your enemy's downfall. plot your residuals.
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
It's 2025 and you can still claim an effect with results like this at JAMA Psychiatry. cc @urisohn.bsky.social @lakens.bsky.social @heinonmatti.bsky.social
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
November 22, 2025 at 10:28 AM
It's 2025 and you can still claim an effect with results like this at JAMA Psychiatry. cc @urisohn.bsky.social @lakens.bsky.social @heinonmatti.bsky.social
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
There's a fund manager in Australia that says he uses the implausible golf scores of C-suite executives as a 'tell' for companies he should consider shorting (as they're more likely to fudge their financial reports).
Ridiculously inaccurate summary stats feels like the research equivalent.
😂
Ridiculously inaccurate summary stats feels like the research equivalent.
😂
lads i found ANOTHER Table of Impossible Summary Statistics in a "green economics" paper 🚩
Can you see the problem?
Can you see the problem?
November 22, 2025 at 10:03 PM
There's a fund manager in Australia that says he uses the implausible golf scores of C-suite executives as a 'tell' for companies he should consider shorting (as they're more likely to fudge their financial reports).
Ridiculously inaccurate summary stats feels like the research equivalent.
😂
Ridiculously inaccurate summary stats feels like the research equivalent.
😂
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
other sleuths: *using AI to detect pixel-by-pixel similarities indicating image duplication*
me: ... max minus min
me: ... max minus min
November 22, 2025 at 2:34 PM
other sleuths: *using AI to detect pixel-by-pixel similarities indicating image duplication*
me: ... max minus min
me: ... max minus min
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
this example is unusual because there are a few breadcrumbs indicating what went wrong...
* Means got duplicated in SD column
* SD values appear in Min column (or at least, these values = sqrt(var))
* Means got duplicated in SD column
* SD values appear in Min column (or at least, these values = sqrt(var))
November 22, 2025 at 2:29 PM
this example is unusual because there are a few breadcrumbs indicating what went wrong...
* Means got duplicated in SD column
* SD values appear in Min column (or at least, these values = sqrt(var))
* Means got duplicated in SD column
* SD values appear in Min column (or at least, these values = sqrt(var))
🤑 SPECIAL OFFER 💰
Dear academic papermills: for the low, low price of $9,999 (bitcoin only) I will check your tables of summary statistics before publication using my proprietary technology (lean back, squint at numbers for 90 seconds). DM for details.
Dear academic papermills: for the low, low price of $9,999 (bitcoin only) I will check your tables of summary statistics before publication using my proprietary technology (lean back, squint at numbers for 90 seconds). DM for details.
November 22, 2025 at 2:46 PM
🤑 SPECIAL OFFER 💰
Dear academic papermills: for the low, low price of $9,999 (bitcoin only) I will check your tables of summary statistics before publication using my proprietary technology (lean back, squint at numbers for 90 seconds). DM for details.
Dear academic papermills: for the low, low price of $9,999 (bitcoin only) I will check your tables of summary statistics before publication using my proprietary technology (lean back, squint at numbers for 90 seconds). DM for details.
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
The people that will fix science are the ones doing the deep digging required to find errors, statistical shenanigans, and out-and-out fraud.
Hats off.
Hats off.
lads i found ANOTHER Table of Impossible Summary Statistics in a "green economics" paper 🚩
Can you see the problem?
Can you see the problem?
November 22, 2025 at 2:31 PM
The people that will fix science are the ones doing the deep digging required to find errors, statistical shenanigans, and out-and-out fraud.
Hats off.
Hats off.
lads i found ANOTHER Table of Impossible Summary Statistics in a "green economics" paper 🚩
Can you see the problem?
Can you see the problem?
November 22, 2025 at 2:29 PM
lads i found ANOTHER Table of Impossible Summary Statistics in a "green economics" paper 🚩
Can you see the problem?
Can you see the problem?
Reposted by Sophie E. Hill
Origins:
In 2000s, Narayan develops a formula: add "nexus" to a classic econ literature about 2 vars
In 2010s, "nexus" independently becomes a policy buzzword ("Water-Energy-Food Nexus")
Papermills love to combine trendy words + topics
Result: 1000s of green econ "nexus" papers, esp 2021-24
In 2000s, Narayan develops a formula: add "nexus" to a classic econ literature about 2 vars
In 2010s, "nexus" independently becomes a policy buzzword ("Water-Energy-Food Nexus")
Papermills love to combine trendy words + topics
Result: 1000s of green econ "nexus" papers, esp 2021-24
November 21, 2025 at 1:01 AM
Origins:
In 2000s, Narayan develops a formula: add "nexus" to a classic econ literature about 2 vars
In 2010s, "nexus" independently becomes a policy buzzword ("Water-Energy-Food Nexus")
Papermills love to combine trendy words + topics
Result: 1000s of green econ "nexus" papers, esp 2021-24
In 2000s, Narayan develops a formula: add "nexus" to a classic econ literature about 2 vars
In 2010s, "nexus" independently becomes a policy buzzword ("Water-Energy-Food Nexus")
Papermills love to combine trendy words + topics
Result: 1000s of green econ "nexus" papers, esp 2021-24