The Progress Report
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The Progress Report
@theprogressreport.co.nz
If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol

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Welcome to the BlueSky home of The Progress Report - a repository of tools and data for anyone interested in New Zealand politics. Check us out at theprogressreport.co.nz #nzpol
The Progress Report
The Progress Report.
theprogressreport.co.nz
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MMH update with comment from me. Key points:

* this type of crew goes after low hanging fruits - which means this vulnerable is going to be something basic, well-known, and preventable

www.rnz.co.nz/news/nationa...
ManageMyHealth breach: Patients at risk of identity theft, extortion - experts
The hackers say they will leak more than 400,000 files if a ransom isn't paid, in what an expert says is "the worst data breach that I recall seeing in New Zealand".
www.rnz.co.nz
January 4, 2026 at 8:21 PM
There will now be a by-election for his council seat. There were 39(!) unsuccessful candidates at the October election, so I'd expect it will be hotly contested.
January 4, 2026 at 2:31 AM
RIP Jules Radich. Former Mayor of Dunedin, re-elected to council just months ago. Sympathies to his family and friends. www.odt.co.nz/news/dunedin...
Former Dunedin mayor Jules Radich dies
Dunedin city councillor and former mayor Jules Radich has died, following a heart attack.
www.odt.co.nz
January 4, 2026 at 2:31 AM
Happy NZ election year to all who celebrate
January 1, 2026 at 1:53 AM
Oh totally, but seems odd to not target any South Island seats at all.
December 23, 2025 at 5:06 AM
I'd hazard a guess that they figure their potential voters are demographically very similar to "teal" voters in Australia: well-educated, wealthy, socially liberal and fiscally conservative.
December 23, 2025 at 5:04 AM
Interesting that there are no South Island seats on the list, particularly given former leader Raf Manji managed to get 25.8% of the vote in Ilam.
December 23, 2025 at 3:58 AM
Here's how they did in the candidate vote in those seats in 2023 (or their predecessors). Mt Albert: 3.4%, Ōhāriu: 7%, Wellington Central: 3.4%, Rongotai: no candidate, Epsom: 4.5%, Kaipara ki Mahurangi: no candidate, Auckland Central: 1.3%.
December 23, 2025 at 3:58 AM
The Opportunity Party are calling for candidates and have named their target electorates: Mt Albert, Wellington North, Wellington Bays, Epsom, Kaipara ki Mahurangi and Auckland Central. www.opportunity.org.nz/nominations #nzpol
Candidate Nominations
The Opportunity Party
www.opportunity.org.nz
December 23, 2025 at 3:58 AM
Very glad to see this result. #nzpol
Judge voids election result after claims of voter fraud in South Auckland
Hausia alleged theft of ballot papers, 'irregularities' and widespread voter fraud.
www.nzherald.co.nz
December 16, 2025 at 2:56 AM
If you have any interest in, or care about democracy and the integrity of voting in NZ you need to read this story. #nzpol thespinoff.co.nz/politics/10-...
Did NZ’s most brazen electoral fraud just take place in Papatoetoe?
In court, they opened up 53 wrongfully cast ballots. Fifty of them had gone to the winning side.
thespinoff.co.nz
December 9, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Very small numbers here - but also a terrible result for TOP - halving in support from 0.8% to 0.4%. New leader hasn't yet made any impact and it may just be too late for them.
December 8, 2025 at 6:24 AM
Also a very poor result for the Greens on just 7%. Getting perilously close to the 5% threshold. In theory they should be safe in Auckland Central so it shouldn't matter - but Chlöe's margin there in 2023 (a good year for them) was only 3,896. I'd be worried if I were them.
December 8, 2025 at 6:21 AM
It's an absolutely shocking result for Te Pāti Māori - dropping to just 0.6% - this time last year they were on 7%! Understandable given the shocking few months they've had. Hard to see how they continue like this with Tamihere at the helm.
December 8, 2025 at 6:21 AM
I've uploaded the latest 1News/Verian poll to The Progress Report so you can calculate exactly who would get into Parliament on those numbers. #nzpol theprogressreport.co.nz
The Progress Report
The Progress Report.
theprogressreport.co.nz
December 8, 2025 at 6:21 AM
Reposted by The Progress Report
You first m8

I'm back on 5 January, I expect to be able to tune into a post-cabinet presser at 4pm that afternoon www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/3609...
Are NZ summers too long? The PM says we’ve got to keep moving
The summer shutdown is coming but should the Kiwi summer holiday still stay sacrosanct?
www.stuff.co.nz
December 7, 2025 at 9:18 PM
Nothing revolutionary here, but very solid advice that politicians often quickly forget. www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
Wayne Swan warns Labor not to speak to Australians in ‘highly stylised political way’
Exclusive: ALP national president urges party to urgently renew its ageing grassroots membership base in suburban and regional areas
www.theguardian.com
December 6, 2025 at 4:19 AM
Fixed! Booths that didn't have a swing were breaking. They should all be there now.
December 5, 2025 at 10:45 PM
Very good pick up - will need to investigate that one. I can see the lat/long in for that booth in the database so I need to figure out why it's not showing up on the map - thanks for the heads up!
December 5, 2025 at 10:34 PM
It's taken a while but I've finished my profiles of every NZ electorate ahead of the 2026 election. Enjoy. theprogressreport.co.nz/electorates
NZ Electorates – Profiles & Results
theprogressreport.co.nz
December 5, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Labour will be very happy with this result. #nzpol
New poll on Labour's capital gains tax, from Horizon:

41 percent in favour (21% strongly)
39 percent opposed (25% strongly)
Those 18-35, and 75 plus more oppose; other age groups more in favour.

In NZ context, Labour would surely view a split result, this early, as a positive
December 2, 2025 at 12:30 AM
Fascinating story. Not what you want less than a year out from an election. #nzpol www.stuff.co.nz/politics/360...
The anatomy of National’s failed coup
OPINION: A would-be leadership challenge fizzled, but the tension remains. How National’s latest internal drama unfolded and why the whispers never really end.
www.stuff.co.nz
November 30, 2025 at 4:26 AM
You can keep track of the electorate candidate selections for next year's NZ general election, here: theprogressreport.co.nz/electorate-c...
The Progress Report
theprogressreport.co.nz
November 19, 2025 at 12:23 AM
Sophie Handford won 69.6% of the vote in her ward at the recent local government election. Excellent selection. #nzpol
November 19, 2025 at 12:23 AM
Reposted by The Progress Report
📊The Numbers: No Election for Now, but for How Long?

🎧The budget vote, the latest federal polls, a new Quebec poll, and more ↓ www.338canada.ca/p/the-number...
The Numbers: No Election for Now, but for How Long?
Hide behind the curtains all you want, Eric and Philippe deconstruct the latest polls in this new episode of The Numbers.
www.338canada.ca
November 18, 2025 at 10:23 PM