Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
@timoneykevin.bsky.social
Príomh-eacnamaí @ Davy, léachtóir cúnta @ UL economics, mo thuairimí féin amháin.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
A 7-spot ladybird landed on my arm in Glasthule, Co. Dublin. The Irish for ladybird is the lovely 'bóín dé' - 'little cow of god'.
June 15, 2025 at 9:44 PM
A 7-spot ladybird landed on my arm in Glasthule, Co. Dublin. The Irish for ladybird is the lovely 'bóín dé' - 'little cow of god'.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
1/5 There are three key takeaways from today’s fiscal monitor: 1) Spending is growing strongly so far this year; 2) Corporation tax continues to be volatile; and 3) Underlying tax revenue continues to grow.
June 5, 2025 at 5:33 PM
1/5 There are three key takeaways from today’s fiscal monitor: 1) Spending is growing strongly so far this year; 2) Corporation tax continues to be volatile; and 3) Underlying tax revenue continues to grow.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
I wrote a new piece for foreign policy.
The US's postwar role as guarantor of Europe’s security is over – and may even turn adversarial. But Europe has an overlooked trump card.
When it comes to manufacturing Europe blows the US out of the water.
Thread.
1/
foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/07/e...
The US's postwar role as guarantor of Europe’s security is over – and may even turn adversarial. But Europe has an overlooked trump card.
When it comes to manufacturing Europe blows the US out of the water.
Thread.
1/
foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/07/e...
Heavy Industry Is Europe’s Trump Card
The continent has an upper hand in its looming security competition with the United States.
foreignpolicy.com
March 10, 2025 at 7:37 AM
I wrote a new piece for foreign policy.
The US's postwar role as guarantor of Europe’s security is over – and may even turn adversarial. But Europe has an overlooked trump card.
When it comes to manufacturing Europe blows the US out of the water.
Thread.
1/
foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/07/e...
The US's postwar role as guarantor of Europe’s security is over – and may even turn adversarial. But Europe has an overlooked trump card.
When it comes to manufacturing Europe blows the US out of the water.
Thread.
1/
foreignpolicy.com/2025/03/07/e...
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
The Fiscal Council has collaborated with the Climate Change Advisory Council on a new report. It sets out the costs Ireland faces if it misses its agreed EU climate commitments.
These could amount to staggering payments of €8bn to €26bn to Europe.
Read more at www.fiscalcouncil.ie/a-colossal-m...
These could amount to staggering payments of €8bn to €26bn to Europe.
Read more at www.fiscalcouncil.ie/a-colossal-m...
March 4, 2025 at 9:29 AM
The Fiscal Council has collaborated with the Climate Change Advisory Council on a new report. It sets out the costs Ireland faces if it misses its agreed EU climate commitments.
These could amount to staggering payments of €8bn to €26bn to Europe.
Read more at www.fiscalcouncil.ie/a-colossal-m...
These could amount to staggering payments of €8bn to €26bn to Europe.
Read more at www.fiscalcouncil.ie/a-colossal-m...
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
Your dignity honors the bravery of the Ukrainian people.
Be strong, be brave, be fearless.
You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy.
We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.
Be strong, be brave, be fearless.
You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy.
We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.
February 28, 2025 at 9:06 PM
Your dignity honors the bravery of the Ukrainian people.
Be strong, be brave, be fearless.
You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy.
We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.
Be strong, be brave, be fearless.
You are never alone, dear President Zelenskyy.
We will continue working with you for a just and lasting peace.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
Trump and Vance’s meeting with Zelensky in the Oval Office today “gave the lie to any claim that this administration’s policy is driven by any strategic effort to advance the interests of the United States, however misguided,” @davidfrum.bsky.social writes.
Read more: theatln.tc/SowY3Uin
Read more: theatln.tc/SowY3Uin
February 28, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Trump and Vance’s meeting with Zelensky in the Oval Office today “gave the lie to any claim that this administration’s policy is driven by any strategic effort to advance the interests of the United States, however misguided,” @davidfrum.bsky.social writes.
Read more: theatln.tc/SowY3Uin
Read more: theatln.tc/SowY3Uin
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
Just posted by President Zelenskyy
February 28, 2025 at 7:29 PM
Just posted by President Zelenskyy
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
This will be remembered as the day when America's honor took a deep dive...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
Video: Trump, Zelensky and Vance Argue Over Ukraine War
President Trump and Vice President JD Vance scolded President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine during a meeting in the Oval Office on Friday, claiming he was not grateful enough for U.S. aid.
www.nytimes.com
February 28, 2025 at 8:02 PM
This will be remembered as the day when America's honor took a deep dive...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy
#UkrainianView
www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...
Surely nobody is surprised at this stage? (@mcopelov.bsky.social is a worth following on this topic, and many others.)
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Trump again raises idea of running for an unconstitutional third term
The suggestion followed a stretch of days in which Trump referred to himself as a king and quoted a dictator in suggesting that he was immune from following laws.
www.washingtonpost.com
February 21, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Surely nobody is surprised at this stage? (@mcopelov.bsky.social is a worth following on this topic, and many others.)
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
Movies watched more than six times, gifs only
February 20, 2025 at 10:05 PM
Movies watched more than six times, gifs only
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
1/3 Yesterday, the Construction Industry Federation (CIF) of Ireland suggested up to 30,000 housing units are under review at An Bord Pleanála or facing judicial review.
While these figures seem shockingly high, it is consistent with previous work by myself and @timoneykevin.bsky.social.
While these figures seem shockingly high, it is consistent with previous work by myself and @timoneykevin.bsky.social.
January 28, 2025 at 2:27 PM
1/3 Yesterday, the Construction Industry Federation (CIF) of Ireland suggested up to 30,000 housing units are under review at An Bord Pleanála or facing judicial review.
While these figures seem shockingly high, it is consistent with previous work by myself and @timoneykevin.bsky.social.
While these figures seem shockingly high, it is consistent with previous work by myself and @timoneykevin.bsky.social.
This nice @jlpobrien.bsky.social chart from July 2023 shows Ireland's population in 2024 was c.1.7m (~45%) higher than experts projected after the 1991 Census.
It will be interesting to look back at the latest median projection for 2053 (6.39m) - my guess is another double-digit +ve % difference.
It will be interesting to look back at the latest median projection for 2053 (6.39m) - my guess is another double-digit +ve % difference.
January 9, 2025 at 1:08 PM
This nice @jlpobrien.bsky.social chart from July 2023 shows Ireland's population in 2024 was c.1.7m (~45%) higher than experts projected after the 1991 Census.
It will be interesting to look back at the latest median projection for 2053 (6.39m) - my guess is another double-digit +ve % difference.
It will be interesting to look back at the latest median projection for 2053 (6.39m) - my guess is another double-digit +ve % difference.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
Fascinating paper by Claudia Goldin on drivers of low fertility in advanced economies.
Countries where economic progress outstrips social progress (in particular, gender equality in household division of labour) see the most rapid falls in fertility..
www.nber.org/papers/w33311
Countries where economic progress outstrips social progress (in particular, gender equality in household division of labour) see the most rapid falls in fertility..
www.nber.org/papers/w33311
January 6, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Fascinating paper by Claudia Goldin on drivers of low fertility in advanced economies.
Countries where economic progress outstrips social progress (in particular, gender equality in household division of labour) see the most rapid falls in fertility..
www.nber.org/papers/w33311
Countries where economic progress outstrips social progress (in particular, gender equality in household division of labour) see the most rapid falls in fertility..
www.nber.org/papers/w33311
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
1/5 Today’s fiscal monitor show the final Exchequer returns for 2024. There are two key takeaways from the figures: 1) underlying revenue remains very strong; 2) spending is increasing at a rapid pace leading to large overruns.
January 6, 2025 at 6:37 PM
1/5 Today’s fiscal monitor show the final Exchequer returns for 2024. There are two key takeaways from the figures: 1) underlying revenue remains very strong; 2) spending is increasing at a rapid pace leading to large overruns.
Here’s a fabulously expensive pizza seen today in Dunnes Stephen’s Green.
December 11, 2024 at 10:26 PM
Here’s a fabulously expensive pizza seen today in Dunnes Stephen’s Green.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
8/10 Ireland has a huge opportunity now. If corporation tax receipts are managed well, Ireland could tackle infrastructure deficits, its climate transition, and prepare for an ageing population.
December 5, 2024 at 10:05 AM
8/10 Ireland has a huge opportunity now. If corporation tax receipts are managed well, Ireland could tackle infrastructure deficits, its climate transition, and prepare for an ageing population.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
1/10 The Fiscal Council's latest report looks at the prospects for the Irish economy and public finances. We point to the extraordinary levels of corporation tax being collected. These create huge opportunities but also important risks.
December 5, 2024 at 10:02 AM
1/10 The Fiscal Council's latest report looks at the prospects for the Irish economy and public finances. We point to the extraordinary levels of corporation tax being collected. These create huge opportunities but also important risks.
+1
Superb job by the pollsters and thanks a lot to all involved with @irishpollingind.bsky.social, which provides invaluable public service.
Superb job by the pollsters and thanks a lot to all involved with @irishpollingind.bsky.social, which provides invaluable public service.
December 3, 2024 at 9:43 AM
+1
Superb job by the pollsters and thanks a lot to all involved with @irishpollingind.bsky.social, which provides invaluable public service.
Superb job by the pollsters and thanks a lot to all involved with @irishpollingind.bsky.social, which provides invaluable public service.
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
Female share of household labour income over the past three decades in the UK - @resfoundation.bsky.social www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
November 23, 2024 at 10:03 AM
Female share of household labour income over the past three decades in the UK - @resfoundation.bsky.social www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
Share of foreign-trained doctors & nurses in European countries in 2023 www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
November 21, 2024 at 8:29 PM
Share of foreign-trained doctors & nurses in European countries in 2023 www.oecd.org/en/publicati...
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
This week’s #GE24 article focuses on transfers, examining Exit Polls and all candidates since 1948.
– Voters typically express 3–4 preferences
– 30% of votes transferred at least once
– Inter-coalition transfers are common
– 10% of TDs decisively elected through transfers
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
– Voters typically express 3–4 preferences
– 30% of votes transferred at least once
– Inter-coalition transfers are common
– 10% of TDs decisively elected through transfers
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
November 17, 2024 at 9:10 AM
This week’s #GE24 article focuses on transfers, examining Exit Polls and all candidates since 1948.
– Voters typically express 3–4 preferences
– 30% of votes transferred at least once
– Inter-coalition transfers are common
– 10% of TDs decisively elected through transfers
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
– Voters typically express 3–4 preferences
– 30% of votes transferred at least once
– Inter-coalition transfers are common
– 10% of TDs decisively elected through transfers
www.rte.ie/news/2024/11...
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
A beautiful chart from @gavinjackson.bsky.social's excellent Briefing on why the energy transition will be cheaper than you think
www.economist.com/briefing/
www.economist.com/briefing/
November 14, 2024 at 3:17 PM
A beautiful chart from @gavinjackson.bsky.social's excellent Briefing on why the energy transition will be cheaper than you think
www.economist.com/briefing/
www.economist.com/briefing/
Reposted by Caoimhín Ó Tiománaigh
1. RACE
2. Gender
3.age
2. Gender
3.age
November 7, 2024 at 12:29 PM
1. RACE
2. Gender
3.age
2. Gender
3.age
Suimiúl go bhfuil Éire ar imeall briseadh leis an treocht seo.
We’re going to hear lots of stories about which people, policies and rhetoric are to blame for the Democrats’ defeat.
Some of those stories may even be true!
But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇 
Some of those stories may even be true!
But an underrated factor is that 2024 was an absolutely horrendous year for incumbents around the world 👇 
November 7, 2024 at 12:42 PM
Suimiúl go bhfuil Éire ar imeall briseadh leis an treocht seo.
This IT piece is confused on which nationalities are driving Ireland’s net migration. Ukraine arrivals mainly were in the year to April 2023 when population growth was 1.9%. Inflows have since slowed as PPSN data show. This year was 1.9% again mainly due to Asia ⬇️
www.irishtimes.com/business/eco...
www.irishtimes.com/business/eco...
September 1, 2024 at 3:09 PM
This IT piece is confused on which nationalities are driving Ireland’s net migration. Ukraine arrivals mainly were in the year to April 2023 when population growth was 1.9%. Inflows have since slowed as PPSN data show. This year was 1.9% again mainly due to Asia ⬇️
www.irishtimes.com/business/eco...
www.irishtimes.com/business/eco...