Tom Piggy
@tompepinsky.com
Teacher, researcher, globalist, republican.
tompepinsky.com
tompepinsky.com
Arby’s new Triply Robust Panel Estimator.
We have the E[εᵢₜ]s.
We have the E[εᵢₜ]s.
New paper: Triply Robust Panel Estimators (TROP) by @susanathey.bsky.social @guidoimbens.bsky.social Zhaonan Qu @vivianodavide.bsky.social.
arxiv.org/pdf/2508.21536
arxiv.org/pdf/2508.21536
November 24, 2025 at 12:02 AM
Arby’s new Triply Robust Panel Estimator.
We have the E[εᵢₜ]s.
We have the E[εᵢₜ]s.
Reposted by Tom Piggy
Looking forward to the next iteration of this work, “F- it, we’re doing four robustnesses.”
New paper: Triply Robust Panel Estimators (TROP) by @susanathey.bsky.social @guidoimbens.bsky.social Zhaonan Qu @vivianodavide.bsky.social.
arxiv.org/pdf/2508.21536
arxiv.org/pdf/2508.21536
November 23, 2025 at 11:32 PM
Looking forward to the next iteration of this work, “F- it, we’re doing four robustnesses.”
If it hadn’t been for that horse, I never would have gotten into college
November 23, 2025 at 9:36 PM
If it hadn’t been for that horse, I never would have gotten into college
Every kid who even mildly was into music in the mid-1990s agreed that the Beatles, the Stones, and Zeppelin were beyond criticism. There was some disagreement about The Who. The Beach Boys were uncool.
As someone who is this guy's age I can tell you 100% that if you were into Pixies, Nirvana, 120 Minutes stuff, etc. but didn't like the Beatles you had to have worked hard to contort yourself into that special little box. Your enemy, if you absolutely needed one, was hair metal. GTFO here with this.
November 23, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Every kid who even mildly was into music in the mid-1990s agreed that the Beatles, the Stones, and Zeppelin were beyond criticism. There was some disagreement about The Who. The Beach Boys were uncool.
Reposted by Tom Piggy
Update! Pulling an "I'm in charge here," Rubio confirms that he is not, in fact, the nation's top diplomat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/u...
November 23, 2025 at 3:05 PM
Update! Pulling an "I'm in charge here," Rubio confirms that he is not, in fact, the nation's top diplomat. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/23/u...
You know, you know where you are with
You know where you are with
You know where you are with
We are living in a material world
And I am a material girl
And I am a material girl
November 23, 2025 at 2:23 AM
You know, you know where you are with
You know where you are with
You know where you are with
lol sorry about your perfect season
November 22, 2025 at 8:33 PM
lol sorry about your perfect season
Check it out!
Our paper just got accepted in the @thejop.bsky.social 🎉 and is now on the journal website: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... For me personally, it's a milestone: my first paper accepted after a peer review!
November 22, 2025 at 8:31 PM
Check it out!
Can’t even post classic Hieronymous Bosch because of woke
Checking the socials for the latest updates on our fallen, corrupted political class
November 22, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Can’t even post classic Hieronymous Bosch because of woke
Checking the socials for the latest updates on our fallen, corrupted political class
November 22, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Checking the socials for the latest updates on our fallen, corrupted political class
There’s a word we used to say. They don’t let you say it anymore, but I think it’s a beautiful word. We call it: dialectic. You have the thesis, and then the antithesis, and if you put them together it’s a synthesis. Very powerful. We’ll be looking into that. Very materialist, the theory of history
TRUMP [after spending 5 minutes with Zohran]: surplus value, it’s a very wonderful thing, very wonderful, and they’re stealing it. Can you believe that?
We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to
We’re going to be looking very strongly at the bourgeoisie, what they’re up to
November 21, 2025 at 10:13 PM
There’s a word we used to say. They don’t let you say it anymore, but I think it’s a beautiful word. We call it: dialectic. You have the thesis, and then the antithesis, and if you put them together it’s a synthesis. Very powerful. We’ll be looking into that. Very materialist, the theory of history
dun-dun-dun dun-dun-dun dun-dun-dun dun-dun-dun don don dun-da-DUN-dun-DUN-dun
Mani, you were adored
Mani, you were adored
Very sad today. Thank you for being such an incredible bassist and person Mani! We will miss you. 😢
#GreatestBandEver
www.theguardian.com/music/2025/n...
#GreatestBandEver
www.theguardian.com/music/2025/n...
Mani’s writhing, relentless bass was the Stone Roses’ secret sauce – it taught indie kids how to dance | Alexis Petridis
His love of ‘good northern soul and funk’ was always in evidence and had a lasting impact on alternative music
www.theguardian.com
November 21, 2025 at 5:14 PM
dun-dun-dun dun-dun-dun dun-dun-dun dun-dun-dun don don dun-da-DUN-dun-DUN-dun
Mani, you were adored
Mani, you were adored
if you’ve ever wondered if it’s possible for a government social media account to be described as “sweaty,” well now you have your answer
November 21, 2025 at 5:05 PM
if you’ve ever wondered if it’s possible for a government social media account to be described as “sweaty,” well now you have your answer
Gavin and Tanner
Gavin and Tanner, planned and trained for nearly a year, legal documents say, in an elaborate attempt to invade a Haitian island, kill its Black men, enslave its Black women and Black children and fulfill their "rape fantasies."
www.fox4news.com/news/haitian...
www.fox4news.com/news/haitian...
NTX men planned to murder men, enslave women on foreign island: Indictment
Two North Texas men have been indicted for an alleged scheme to sail to a foreign island, murder all the men, and enslave the women and children.
www.fox4news.com
November 21, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Gavin and Tanner
Turns out the lying and plagiarism machine makes you stupid also
Relying on ChatGPT to teach you about a topic leaves you with shallower knowledge than Googling and reading about it, according to new research that compared what more than 10,000 people knew after using one method or the other.
Shared by @gizmodo.com: buff.ly/yAAHtHq
Shared by @gizmodo.com: buff.ly/yAAHtHq
November 21, 2025 at 12:56 PM
Turns out the lying and plagiarism machine makes you stupid also
My most Protestant opinion is that America’s elite institutions can only rediscover the meaning of virtue through the cleansing punishment of economic hardship. The demons must be purged from their foul, corrupted bodies.
What if the A.I. bubble “is an inevitable part of developing and adopting a revolutionary tool that will fundamentally improve productivity and growth?” Mohamed El-Erian writes.
Opinion | A.I. Is a Bubble. Maybe That’s OK.
Investors’ excitement rightly reflects the potential transformation of the entire economy.
nyti.ms
November 20, 2025 at 6:45 PM
My most Protestant opinion is that America’s elite institutions can only rediscover the meaning of virtue through the cleansing punishment of economic hardship. The demons must be purged from their foul, corrupted bodies.
- Would you like some tea, Polly Prissypants?
- why thank you, Eric! You are smart and cool.
- why thank you, Eric! You are smart and cool.
this thread is unbelievable
November 20, 2025 at 12:40 PM
- Would you like some tea, Polly Prissypants?
- why thank you, Eric! You are smart and cool.
- why thank you, Eric! You are smart and cool.
I truly do not understand how the anti-SAT movement was able to convince people that *SAT scores*, rather than every single other part of a student’s application, were the thing to abolish to increase equity
It’s 2025 and there are still people who are so brain-dead that they’re pretending that standardised testing is not the thing that’s the hardest to game with parental wealth instead of the easiest.
November 20, 2025 at 2:02 AM
I truly do not understand how the anti-SAT movement was able to convince people that *SAT scores*, rather than every single other part of a student’s application, were the thing to abolish to increase equity
Safe spaces for the widdle guys to play in without the mean politics bullies
November 19, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Safe spaces for the widdle guys to play in without the mean politics bullies
some Nate, Matt, or Sam:
so if you consider AI to be truly agentic, the perspective changes radically. If AI is, in equilibrium, an intelligence multiplier (and a Slovenian philosopher has published a fascinating text on this), then chatbot veracity is constrained only by availability of compute
so if you consider AI to be truly agentic, the perspective changes radically. If AI is, in equilibrium, an intelligence multiplier (and a Slovenian philosopher has published a fascinating text on this), then chatbot veracity is constrained only by availability of compute
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
November 19, 2025 at 2:04 PM
some Nate, Matt, or Sam:
so if you consider AI to be truly agentic, the perspective changes radically. If AI is, in equilibrium, an intelligence multiplier (and a Slovenian philosopher has published a fascinating text on this), then chatbot veracity is constrained only by availability of compute
so if you consider AI to be truly agentic, the perspective changes radically. If AI is, in equilibrium, an intelligence multiplier (and a Slovenian philosopher has published a fascinating text on this), then chatbot veracity is constrained only by availability of compute
Reposted by Tom Piggy
Thank you for the reminder to rebalance
….
…
What
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What
November 19, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Thank you for the reminder to rebalance
The laws of thermodynamics mean that, um, the value of AI stocks will always rise?
November 19, 2025 at 1:15 PM
The laws of thermodynamics mean that, um, the value of AI stocks will always rise?
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”
new paper by Sean Westwood:
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research
November 19, 2025 at 12:16 PM
One more piece of evidence that the defining problem of an AI world is not “how do we harness the genius machine?”, it is “how do we contain the lying machine?”