Yan Boulanger
@trailgeek.bsky.social
1.8K followers 1.7K following 97 posts
Research scientist in Forest Ecology🌲| Working on climate change stuff and wildfires🔥| Like trail running and singing in my car
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trailgeek.bsky.social
Same here... eh boboy
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
climatologist49.bsky.social
Europe had its least snowy winter (Dec-Feb) in over 50 years. #ThisIsFine
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
climatologist49.bsky.social
Q: Have winter (Dec-Feb) temperatures have changed (trend) over the last 85 years?

A: F*ck
trailgeek.bsky.social
Imagine if they also had to deal with the Phoenix pay system...
dangaristo.bsky.social
Confirmed with a source. Here's a screenshot of the email sent to staff today.
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
zacklabe.com
While all of this is happening to our scientific agencies, the current extent of sea ice globally remains at record low levels...

More visuals at zacklabe.com/global-sea-i...
Line graph time series of 2025's daily global sea ice extent in red shading compared to each year from 1979 to 2024 using shades of purple to white for each line. There is substantial interannual and daily variability. Seasonal cycles are visible. Note: the poles are affected by very different Earth system processes/seasonality. I am using 5-day running mean data.
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
zacklabe.com
Sunday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is currently the lowest on record (JAXA data)

• about 740,000 km² below the 2010s mean
• about 1,340,000 km² below the 2000s mean
• about 1,720,000 km² below the 1990s mean
• about 2,260,000 km² below the 1980s mean

Plots: zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i... 🌊
Line graph time series of 2025's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. The decadal averages are shown with different colored lines with purple for the 1980s, blue for the 1990s, green for the 2000s, and white for the 2010s. Thin white lines are also shown for each year from 2000 to 2024. 2025 is shown with a thick gold line. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year shown on this graph between January and April by looking at the decadal average line positions.
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
wildwoods.bsky.social
Just another typical late winter season in the Pyrocene -- "Wildfires rage across the Carolinas...More than 175 wildfires burning across SC and additional fires in NC... Much of eastern US seaboard under increased fire risk." www.yahoo.com/news/wildfir...
Wildfires rage across the Carolinas; SC governor issues state of emergency
The National Weather Service issued advisories on Sunday from Georgia to New Jersey warning of an increased risk of wildfires.
www.yahoo.com
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
climatologist49.bsky.social
December-February 2024-25 temperature ranking since 1895-96 according to Prism climate data. Globally, this was the 2nd warmest Dec-Feb period, but the Contiguous U.S. was the outlier. Congrats!
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
joncooper-us.bsky.social
Pass it on.
#StandWithUkraine
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
fisherdanar.bsky.social
Another paper showing climate shocks lead to support for climate action among conservatives. Analyzing data collected in Florida, the paper finds Republican positions change after personally experiencing loss from climate-exacerbated extreme events.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
trailgeek.bsky.social
Don't forget that this is considering a species distribution model (SDM) When using a multimodel approach, which includes both SDM and process-based models, iy appears that aspen might take advantage of increased climate-induced disturbances. Up to a certain point...
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/gcb.16014
trailgeek.bsky.social
Such conclusions also apply to #forest landscape #model projections over species distribution models
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
zacklabe.com
Looking at temperature anomalies over the last month (left), 3 months (center), and 12 months (right) across the #Arctic...

Data from doi.org/10.24381/cds... ⚒️
Three orthographic maps showing 2-m air temperature anomalies in January 2025, November 2024 to January 2025, and February 2024 to January 2025 in the Arctic region. Red shading is shown for warmer anomalies, and blue shading is shown for colder anomalies. Most areas are warmer than average. The mean temperature anomaly for each map is also displayed. Anomalies are calculated relative to a 1981-2010 baseline.
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
zacklabe.com
Ice Watch - Time to start tracking the annual maximum #Arctic sea ice extent. A new record is definitely possible this winter. Stay tuned.

Follow the daily data at zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i.... Data from JAXA. ⚒️🥼❄️
Line graph time series of 2025's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. Additional scatter points show the maximum extents from 2000 to 2024. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year.
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
climate.noaa.gov
A trifecta of fire-friendly climate conditions fueled the January 2025 fires around Los Angeles: back-to-back wet winters that boosted vegetation, a record-dry fall, and extremely strong Santa Ana winds. See the map for how drought helped set the stage.

www.climate.gov/news-feature...
trailgeek.bsky.social
🔥🌲 Feux de forêt & climat : un sujet brûlant au Machin Club !

J’ai eu le plaisir de discuter de la saison record de 2023 et du rôle de la science pour mieux comprendre ces événements extrêmes. 🌍🔥

🎥 À voir ici 👉 www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_c0...

#FeuxDeForêt #Climat #ScienceEnAction #MachinClub
Alerte climat - Les arbres
YouTube video by Machin Club
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
zacklabe.com
Looking back at temperatures averaged over the last 3 months - find your location...

🟥 warmer than average
🟦 colder than average

Dataset (NOAAGlobalTempv6) described in doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
Global map showing surface air temperature anomalies for the November 2025 to January 2025 period across the entire planet. Most all areas were warmer than average, especially in the Arctic. This data set is from NOAA's NOAAGlobalTempv6.0.0 using anomalies with a 1971-2000 climate baseline. Red is shown for warmer than average temperatures, and blue is shown for colder than average temperatures.
Reposted by Yan Boulanger
ryankatzrosene.bsky.social
❗️Highest temperature ever recorded this early in the year across the Northern Hemisphere.
trailgeek.bsky.social
4/ 🛠️ Why does this matter?
➡️ Changing pest distributions impact forest health & management
➡️ Increased defoliation risks in new areas
➡️ Need for proactive strategies to reduce vulnerability
trailgeek.bsky.social
3/ 🌎 Most importantly, climate change is a bigger driver of SBW dynamics than landscape changes!

This means forest ecosystems are being reshaped faster than we expected, requiring adaptive management strategies.
trailgeek.bsky.social
2/ 📈 Key findings (1950–2022):

📍 +68 km northward shift of suitable climate conditions (up to 200 km in some areas!)
⏳ Earlier phenological events & higher reproduction rates in the north
❄️ Increased winter mortality in the south due to warmer temperatures