Gavin Schmidt
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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt
@climateofgavin.bsky.social

Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.

Gavin A. Schmidt is a British climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the climate science blog RealClimate. .. more

Environmental science 50%
Geology 21%

Also, the Edge Foundation was bankrolled to some extent by Epstein, but that was not synonymous with Brockman's work as a literary agent (there are overlaps of course). (Note I did an interview with the Brockmans for Edge once, and contributed to the 'annual question' a couple of times).

the date is wrong. It was 2012, not 2025. Plus Terje is Terje Rod-Larsen en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terje_R...
Terje Rød-Larsen - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org

Not satisfying though. The Earth System is more than just the carbon cycle. Interactive atmospheric composition, ice sheets, dynamic vegetation, etc. Lots of CMIP6 runs had the latter, but no carbon cycle turned on. I'd argue that ESM is basically anything above the basic AOGCM.

I noticed that too.

We have different levels of confidence for different details - based on basic physics (which we think is constant), and from 'out of sample' tests based on the paleorecord, but also our track record (over the last 40 years) of skillfully predicting many aspects of the changes we've already seen.
“Health officials in New Mexico are warning against consuming raw dairy products after a newborn baby in the state died from a listeria infection that they say was likely contracted when the baby's mother drank raw milk during pregnancy.” @jackiantonovich.bsky.social
New Mexico warns against consuming raw milk after newborn dies from listeria
While the New Mexico Department of Health said it cannot pinpoint the baby's exact cause of death, officials believe it could have been linked to the mother drinking raw milk during pregnancy.
www.nbcnews.com

I went to a wedding on the roof many years ago. It was very nice.
BERNIE SANDERS: Do vaccines cause autism?

BHATTACHARYA: I do not believe that the measles vaccine causes autism

SANDERS: Nah. Uh uh. I didn't ask measles. Do vaccines cause autism?

BHATTACHARYA: I have not seen a study that suggests any single vaccine causes autism

They are absolutely interested in this - check out the upcoming DRACO mission for instance. ESA is well ahead of the curve here.

Compare and contrast with the ice depicted in Washington Crossing the Delaware (painted in Germany some 80 years after the event).

Swirling ice on the Hudson (moving upstream with the tide).

This is a great ‘experiment of opportunity’ to get a closer look at what happens when satellites reenter the atmosphere. Lots of unknowns!

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Fun fact: we recently moved two satellites to meet a plane. Why? For valuable scientific data on atmospheric reentries.

Find out more about the why & how 👉 www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
Moving satellites to meet a plane for rare reentry data
When satellites eventually fall back down to Earth, they mostly burn up because of the friction caused by the atmosphere. Scientific data about this atmospheric reentry process is urgently needed to d...
www.esa.int
The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges...

What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

Great visuals. Tough story. Tricky science.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/02/c...
Deep Inside an Antarctic Glacier, a Mission Collapses at Its Final Step
www.nytimes.com
Woman with legal status taken from her family home in St Paul by ICE, flown to Texas, held for two weeks before being ordered released by a judge. She lost her job. She's afraid to go outside because agents keep coming to her home.
www.kare11.com/article/news...
After ICE release St. Paul woman, she says agents keep returning to her home
Thi Dua Vang legally came to the U.S. two years ago. So when ICE showed up, she thought it must have been a mistake.
www.kare11.com

It's not obvious to be that the state dependence is very important (for the ranges of climate we are talking about). Evidence from deep times is dependent on assumptions about unknown other forcings, and is very model dependent. Possible, but not clear.
Recent assessments have found the last glacial maximum implies a climate sensitivity of 2.4C (1.4C to 5.0C): www.science.org/doi/...

And the Pliocene implies a sensitivity of 3.1C (2.3C to 4.7C): www.pnas.org/doi/10....

Paleoclimate evidence generally provides the strongest constraint on high ECS.
With cold outbreaks sweeping parts of the US, some have argued that climate change is to blame. But the proposed mechanism remains quite controversial in the scientific community, and the number of extreme cold events have been decreasing almost everywhere: www.theclimatebrink....
Internal emails show Department of Energy's debunked climate science report was reviewed by scientists internally, who found it "biased," "misleading," and "hypocritical." Contrarian authors tailored their work to ensure it focused on weakening climate regulations. www.eenews.net/articles/doe...
DOE scientists blasted climate report ordered up by boss
Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five climate contrarians to write about global warming. Department experts pushed back on the findings.
www.eenews.net
I was a White House ethics lawyer.

I used to advise people not to even accept a free cup of coffee from someone who had interests before them. And staff followed those rules.

I can’t even find the words to describe the scale of Trump’s corruption here.
Foreign countries are bribing our president to sell out the American people.
 
Trump family businesses made $187 MILLION from this deal, and just months later he gave the UAE some of our most top-secret AI tech.
 
They are selling our national security to the highest bidder.
Foreign countries are bribing our president to sell out the American people.
 
Trump family businesses made $187 MILLION from this deal, and just months later he gave the UAE some of our most top-secret AI tech.
 
They are selling our national security to the highest bidder.

evergreen

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

The risks come not from Super Intelligence, just from Regular Stupidity.
Yesterday, five-year-old Liam and his dad Adrian were released from Dilley detention center. I picked them up last night and escorted them back to Minnesota this morning.

Liam is now home. With his hat and his backpack.
IRS executive Kathleen Walters was asked to break the law by the Trump administration, and refused.

We had a paper looking at hi-res regional models of snowfall and while you see a decline overall, there is an increase in impactful snowfalls in some places along the eastern seaboard and lake event snow.

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Changing Nature of High‐Impact Snowfall Events in Eastern North America
Mean annual snowfall is projected to decrease across most of eastern North America as the Earth continues to warm The most intense high-impact snowfall events currently observed will continue to ...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
it’s not necessarily that all these people in the epstein files participated in the raping of girls it’s that none of them cared and if he hadn’t been arrested and died they’d still be out there trying to be his friend

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Whether you cover sports, health, crime, or culture, climate change is shaping your beat.

Join our free training on February 19 to learn how to make the climate connection in your reporting.

No science background needed! Two time slots available.

RSVP here:
Covering Climate Across Beats — Covering Climate Now
Climate change touches every corner of our lives. From the food we eat to the sports we play, from the economy to public health, and from education to infrastructure. Yet, too often, the climate…
buff.ly
"A federal judge on Friday ruled the Energy Department violated the law when Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five researchers who reject the scientific consensus on climate change to work in secret on a sweeping government report on global warming."

Gift link.
A Secret Panel to Question Climate Science Was Unlawful, Judge Rules
www.nytimes.com