Gavin Schmidt
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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt
@climateofgavin.bsky.social

Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.

Gavin A. Schmidt is a British climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the climate science blog RealClimate. .. more

Environmental science 50%
Geology 21%
Scientists: have you been the target of an online harassment campaign, doxxing, or weaponized FOIA requests? I'd like to talk to you about steps you had to take to protect your digital security for an upcoming Nature story. (You can be anonymous if necessary.)

RTs appreciated.

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Away with the dotard, to the jail with him!

We got a Charlie earlier this year - game changing. Even Kate comes over to watch me boil water and bake at the same time!

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Breaking News: The CDC quietly appointed Dr. Ralph Lee Abraham, who has been critical of vaccines, as its second in command. During the Covid pandemic, he promoted discredited treatments like ivermectin and, as Louisiana’s surgeon general, halted the state’s mass vaccination campaign.
C.D.C. Quietly Appoints Doctor Critical of Vaccines as Second in Command
During the Covid-19 pandemic, Dr. Ralph Lee Abraham promoted discredited treatments like ivermectin and, as Louisiana’s surgeon general, halted the state’s mass vaccination campaign.
trib.al
1/ ⚠️ Breaking: At CDC, we've been told the US Government will not officially commemorate World AIDS Day this year. No explanation given.
Gender-affirming care saves lives
1. A landmark study was just published in The Journal of Pediatrics.

It found a 68% reduction in suicidality for trans youth getting HRT.

It also found only 7 of more than 400 stopped taking HRT... and of those that did, 4 still identified as gender-diverse.

Transgender care saves lives.
Study In The Journal Of Pediatrics Finds Trans Youth Care Lowers Suicidality, Few Detransition
The groundbreaking study found that suicidality dropped for transgender youth receiving hormone therapy by nearly 70%, with only 7 patients of 432 discontinuing treatment.
www.erininthemorning.com
I wish I didn’t have to share this. But the BBC has decided to censor my first Reith Lecture.

They deleted the line in which I describe Donald Trump as “the most openly corrupt president in American history.” /1
1. A landmark study was just published in The Journal of Pediatrics.

It found a 68% reduction in suicidality for trans youth getting HRT.

It also found only 7 of more than 400 stopped taking HRT... and of those that did, 4 still identified as gender-diverse.

Transgender care saves lives.
Study In The Journal Of Pediatrics Finds Trans Youth Care Lowers Suicidality, Few Detransition
The groundbreaking study found that suicidality dropped for transgender youth receiving hormone therapy by nearly 70%, with only 7 patients of 432 discontinuing treatment.
www.erininthemorning.com

Yes. Same concept

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

Great view of the eruption of Hayli Gubbi Volcano from Aqua MODIS yesterday afternoon. Imagery from NASA WorldView: go.nasa.gov/4p0ivDW

🌋🛰️

Similarly, it's different from weather forescasting - even on seasonal time scales - which does provide information on climatological risks (i.e. the probability of extremes).

It is motivated by the (obvious) non-stationarity in observations and the need to predict risks for today, not for 20 or 30 years ago. This is distinguishable as well as climate trends going forward 20 or 30 years whch depend on future emissions.

This paper did not get that much attention when it came out, but it deserves more. Welcome to "Climate Nowcasting" as a new term in the lexicon...

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

big if.

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

A mother shares the terrifying reality that her internationally adopted son, raised in the U.S. since childhood, could be detained or deported by ICE because he was never granted citizenship. 35-70k adoptees remain in this legal limbo. Urge Congress to pass the PAAF Act. 🥚
I'm A U.S. Citizen. I'm Terrified My Adopted Son Will Be Snatched By ICE Due To A Heartbreaking Loophole.
"I lie awake at night worried that he’ll be snatched off the street and taken to a nightmarish prison in some other country, and I’ll never see him again."
www.huffpost.com

i.e. what gets covered, what doesn't. Who gets to speak to large audiences and who doesn't. The view from nowhere. Balance vs. truth. etc.

The ethical lapses here are huge, but I might take issue with Sullivan's conclusion that it's this kind of thing that trashes the media's reputation w/the public. None of these folks are household names (Bluesky notoriety doesn't count). The bigger issues are still systematic, not personal.

This seems a bit hand-wavy. There’s no calculation here related to ECS and I’m unaware of one that relates the magnitude of the IMO-related aerosol reduction to ECS in any simple way. There isn’t even a radiative forcing estimate that could be plugged into the assessment we did earlier this yr.

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

A second opportunity to examine the cloud reduction effects from shipping fuel pollution measures has revealed that the 80% cut in sulphur emissions reduces cloud droplet formation by 67%.
acp.copernicus.org/articles/25/...

#aerosols #climatechange #clouds #IMO2020 #ECS
acp.copernicus.org
Still reeling from the Stanford report on Brexit. Reduced GDP by up to 8% and investment by as much as 18%. The UK Treasury would have £40 billion more each year if Britain had remained in the EU. Devastating self-immolation.
The Economic Impact of Brexit
Other
siepr.stanford.edu
Franz Josef Glacier - Kā Roimata o Hine Hukatere
ca 1867 | 2022

Impressive comparison between the first known photograph taken of one of the most iconic NZ glaciers and current situation! 🧊🔥

The rock on the right is Sentinel Rock, one of the roches moutonnées in the glacier forefield
1/
Journalist challenge: Use “Machine Learning” when you mean machine learning and “LLM” when you mean LLM. Ditch “AI” as a catch-all term, it’s not useful for readers and it helps companies trying to confuse the public by obscuring the roles played by different technologies. 🧪
On the patently unlawful boat strikes

It's hard for USGs to claim ‘mistake of law’ or ‘advice of counsel’ – when they’re firing lawyers who wouldn't sign off on the strikes.

WaPo's new revelations on firings or removals:

1) CIA General Counsel
2) NSC Legal Adviser
3) CIA Mission Center’s lawyer
🧵
White House blew past legal concerns in deadly strikes on drug boats
The Trump administration sidestepped skeptical lawyers across national security agencies as it pursued a military campaign against alleged narcotraffickers, officials say.
www.washingtonpost.com
TX Hill Country floods have been in the news as more victims' families file lawsuits. I've had a lot of opportunity to examine this event - including visiting Kerrville - and share my perspectives on what I've learned & what we can do to keep this from happening again. https://tinyurl.com/2yyzza2y
BalancedWx Special: Revisiting the Texas Hill Country flash flood catastrophe
Recent New York Times article provides details about events at Camp Mystic
tinyurl.com

It happens more than you might think!

These people were/are idiots. Everything was just a vibe or a sound bite and they never bothered to ask people who might have known better.

I think you’ve mixed up your Gavin’s…

This is bad. How can any university hire people, build facilities, make any plans, if the funding can be arbitrarily removed on a whim from an agency? This goes far beyond currently disfavored topics.
Update on a significant development NIH grant terms.

On 10/1, a change to grant making regs went into effect that gives NIH more power to terminate grants for policy reasons.

But to use this power, new grant terms must include specific language. See @aniloza.bsky.social w/ the story from July.

1/
HHS devises legal playbook for future grant terminations, internal memo shows
Exclusive: HHS devises a legal playbook for future research grant terminations, an internal memo shows.
www.statnews.com
It’s World Philosophy Day today so here’s a poem in celebration of that.
Can’t believe the whole country has to suffer through the return of Dickensian childhood diseases because the worst, most ignorant attention-demanders decided other people’s expertise makes them feel bad