Gavin Schmidt
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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt
@climateofgavin.bsky.social
38K followers 790 following 1.6K posts

Climate scientist, juggler. Bikes etc. Blogging at https://www.realclimate.org - data visualization, explainers, and debunking.

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Gavin A. Schmidt is a British climatologist, climate modeler and Director of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York, and co-founder of the climate science blog RealClimate. .. more

Environmental science 50%
Geology 21%
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climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 16h
We have different levels of confidence for different details - based on basic physics (which we think is constant), and from 'out of sample' tests based on the paleorecord, but also our track record (over the last 40 years) of skillfully predicting many aspects of the changes we've already seen.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
I went to a wedding on the roof many years ago. It was very nice.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
They are absolutely interested in this - check out the upcoming DRACO mission for instance. ESA is well ahead of the curve here.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
Compare and contrast with the ice depicted in Washington Crossing the Delaware (painted in Germany some 80 years after the event).
Detail from Washington crossing the Delaware (1851) by Leutze showing the river covered in mini ice bergs instead of pancake ice.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
Swirling ice on the Hudson (moving upstream with the tide).

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
This is a great ‘experiment of opportunity’ to get a closer look at what happens when satellites reenter the atmosphere. Lots of unknowns!

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

operations.esa.int
ESA Operations @operations.esa.int · 1d
Fun fact: we recently moved two satellites to meet a plane. Why? For valuable scientific data on atmospheric reentries.

Find out more about the why & how 👉 www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
Moving satellites to meet a plane for rare reentry data
When satellites eventually fall back down to Earth, they mostly burn up because of the friction caused by the atmosphere. Scientific data about this atmospheric reentry process is urgently needed to d...
www.esa.int

Reposted by Richard S.J. Tol, Gavin A. Schmidt, Kevin Milligan , and 1 more

p-hunermund.com
Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1d
The authors "estimate that by 2025, the Brexit process had reduced UK GDP per capita by 6 to 8 percent, investment by 12 to 18 percent, employment by 3 to 4 percent, and productivity by 3 to 4 percent. These effects grew gradually over time." www.nber.org/202602/diges...

What a total disaster... 🇪🇺🇬🇧

Reposted by Peter Jacobs

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
Great visuals. Tough story. Tricky science.

www.nytimes.com/2026/02/02/c...
Deep Inside an Antarctic Glacier, a Mission Collapses at Its Final Step
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Mark Rice, Virginia Sapiro , and 1 more

wedge.live
Wedge LIVE!™ @wedge.live · 1d
Woman with legal status taken from her family home in St Paul by ICE, flown to Texas, held for two weeks before being ordered released by a judge. She lost her job. She's afraid to go outside because agents keep coming to her home.
www.kare11.com/article/news...
After ICE release St. Paul woman, she says agents keep returning to her home
Thi Dua Vang legally came to the U.S. two years ago. So when ICE showed up, she thought it must have been a mistake.
www.kare11.com

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 1d
It's not obvious to be that the state dependence is very important (for the ranges of climate we are talking about). Evidence from deep times is dependent on assumptions about unknown other forcings, and is very model dependent. Possible, but not clear.

Reposted by Valerie M. Delmotte, Gavin A. Schmidt, Kevin J. Anchukaitis

hausfath.bsky.social
Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · 1d
Recent assessments have found the last glacial maximum implies a climate sensitivity of 2.4C (1.4C to 5.0C): www.science.org/doi/...

And the Pliocene implies a sensitivity of 3.1C (2.3C to 4.7C): www.pnas.org/doi/10....

Paleoclimate evidence generally provides the strongest constraint on high ECS.

Reposted by Marco Festa‐Bianchet, Gavin A. Schmidt, Stephen D. Murphy

hausfath.bsky.social
Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · 2d
With cold outbreaks sweeping parts of the US, some have argued that climate change is to blame. But the proposed mechanism remains quite controversial in the scientific community, and the number of extreme cold events have been decreasing almost everywhere: www.theclimatebrink....

Reposted by Mark Lubell, Gavin A. Schmidt, Jesse H. Kroll , and 1 more

scottpwaldman.bsky.social
Scott Waldman @scottpwaldman.bsky.social · 2d
Internal emails show Department of Energy's debunked climate science report was reviewed by scientists internally, who found it "biased," "misleading," and "hypocritical." Contrarian authors tailored their work to ensure it focused on weakening climate regulations. www.eenews.net/articles/doe...
DOE scientists blasted climate report ordered up by boss
Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five climate contrarians to write about global warming. Department experts pushed back on the findings.
www.eenews.net

Reposted by Anne Applebaum, Timothy Snyder, Steven Heydemann , and 16 more

ianbassin.bsky.social
Ian Bassin @ianbassin.bsky.social · 2d
I was a White House ethics lawyer.

I used to advise people not to even accept a free cup of coffee from someone who had interests before them. And staff followed those rules.

I can’t even find the words to describe the scale of Trump’s corruption here.
vanhollen.senate.gov Senator Chris Van Hollen @vanhollen.senate.gov · 3d
Foreign countries are bribing our president to sell out the American people.
 
Trump family businesses made $187 MILLION from this deal, and just months later he gave the UAE some of our most top-secret AI tech.
 
They are selling our national security to the highest bidder.

Reposted by Jonathan A. Eisen, Joe R. Feagin, Brendan Nyhan , and 7 more

vanhollen.senate.gov
Senator Chris Van Hollen @vanhollen.senate.gov · 3d
Foreign countries are bribing our president to sell out the American people.
 
Trump family businesses made $187 MILLION from this deal, and just months later he gave the UAE some of our most top-secret AI tech.
 
They are selling our national security to the highest bidder.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 3d
evergreen

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

seanmcarroll.bsky.social
Sean Carroll @seanmcarroll.bsky.social · 3d
The risks come not from Super Intelligence, just from Regular Stupidity.

Reposted by Anna O. Law, Ben H. Ansell, Rebecca Solnit , and 27 more

joaquincastrotx.bsky.social
Joaquin Castro @joaquincastrotx.bsky.social · 3d
Yesterday, five-year-old Liam and his dad Adrian were released from Dilley detention center. I picked them up last night and escorted them back to Minnesota this morning.

Liam is now home. With his hat and his backpack.

Reposted by Lisa W. Fazio, Ben H. Ansell, Gavin A. Schmidt , and 4 more

n7eoj.bsky.social
Budd @n7eoj.bsky.social · 3d
IRS executive Kathleen Walters was asked to break the law by the Trump administration, and refused.

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 3d
We had a paper looking at hi-res regional models of snowfall and while you see a decline overall, there is an increase in impactful snowfalls in some places along the eastern seaboard and lake event snow.

agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
Changing Nature of High‐Impact Snowfall Events in Eastern North America
Mean annual snowfall is projected to decrease across most of eastern North America as the Earth continues to warm The most intense high-impact snowfall events currently observed will continue to ...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Peter Jacobs

andylevy.net
andy™ @andylevy.net · 4d
it’s not necessarily that all these people in the epstein files participated in the raping of girls it’s that none of them cared and if he hadn’t been arrested and died they’d still be out there trying to be his friend

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

coveringclimatenow.org
Covering Climate Now @coveringclimatenow.org · 4d
Whether you cover sports, health, crime, or culture, climate change is shaping your beat.

Join our free training on February 19 to learn how to make the climate connection in your reporting.

No science background needed! Two time slots available.

RSVP here:
Covering Climate Across Beats — Covering Climate Now
Climate change touches every corner of our lives. From the food we eat to the sports we play, from the economy to public health, and from education to infrastructure. Yet, too often, the climate…
buff.ly

Reposted by Michael E. Mann, Brian J. Enquist, Stephan Lewandowsky , and 4 more

meadekrosby.bsky.social
Meade Krosby @meadekrosby.bsky.social · 4d
"A federal judge on Friday ruled the Energy Department violated the law when Secretary Chris Wright handpicked five researchers who reject the scientific consensus on climate change to work in secret on a sweeping government report on global warming."

Gift link.
A Secret Panel to Question Climate Science Was Unlawful, Judge Rules
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Marc Lynch, Kim L. Scheppele, Ben H. Ansell , and 41 more

justinhendrix.bsky.social
Justin Hendrix @justinhendrix.bsky.social · 5d
A Minnesota woman observing ICE agents in her car was cornered on one-way streets. An agent approached, called her by name—citing facial recognition. Days later, her Global Entry and TSA privileges were revoked, with no explanation.
How ICE Already Knows Who Minneapolis Protesters Are
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

danagoldstein.bsky.social
Dana Goldstein @danagoldstein.bsky.social · 6d
My new story, a deep dive on what it can mean to protest in America today. www.nytimes.com/2026/01/29/u...
She Fought a Book Ban. She May Never Teach Again.
www.nytimes.com

climateofgavin.bsky.social
Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · 6d
Likewise!

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt, Janet Murray

joshuasweitz.bsky.social
Joshua Weitz @joshuasweitz.bsky.social · 6d
Today's @nytimes.com dialogue with Ross Douthat & Jay Bhattacharya is tough sledding. I wrote a book on how silent transmission made COVID harder to stop and drove misleading narratives. The interview continues to mislead as a means to seize more power.

a 🧵
www.amazon.com/Asymptomatic...
Asymptomatic: The Silent Spread of COVID-19 and the Future of Pandemics
Asymptomatic: The Silent Spread of COVID-19 and the Future of Pandemics
www.amazon.com

Reposted by Peter Thorne, Gavin A. Schmidt

lararhiannon.bsky.social
Lara Williams @lararhiannon.bsky.social · 6d
Don't burn Coalie! Coalie deserves LIFE, protect Coalie from being burnt at all costs! grist.org/culture/trum...
Why the government is trying to make coal cute
Trump said that coal needed better public relations. Then Coalie, the mascot of an obscure federal office, showed up.
grist.org

Reposted by Gavin A. Schmidt

privatechand.bsky.social
If you know you know @privatechand.bsky.social · 6d
There are real serious potentially life or death consequences to AI hallucination in legal, including law enforcement, or medical settings. It is madness to allow this technology into such high stakes environments.