Arthur Leichthammer
@aleichthammer.bsky.social
1.2K followers 480 following 170 posts
Policy Fellow Geoeconomics @ Jacques Delors Centre, Berlin
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aleichthammer.bsky.social
Was wondering what COM would use to replace lapsing steel safeguards.

In theory, quotas can be WTO-legal, but only if non-discriminatory (historic import shares + consultations), also continuity of safeguards is pretty obvious: very open to be challenged.. what d'y'all think?
robfranciseu.bsky.social
Commission will table a TRQ system to replace its steel safeguard on Tuesday. Industry backs the move and wants an out-of-quota 50% tariff. Also - it wants it all done and dusted by the end of the year! More here by me for @borderlex.net borderlex.net/2025/10/01/e...
EU to replace steel safeguard with country-specific quotas - Borderlex
The European Commission will propose replacing the bloc's steel safeguard with tariff rate quotas for each trading partner on Tuesday (7 October).
borderlex.net
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
jannikjansen.bsky.social
Europe cannot afford to treat its values as expendable. Each concession to the far right corrodes democracy at home and erodes its credibility abroad. By reducing principles to luxuries, Europe risks losing not just its dignity but political agency.

New op-ed with @onethuthree.bsky.social
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
benbraun.bsky.social
Me when my paper's policy implications still haven't been implemented one year into into the peer review process.
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
hhesterm.bsky.social
On the WTO compatibility of the EU-US deal, some clear statements from @sabineweyand.bsky.social during the INTA hearing:
1) US+EU regard agreement as first step, for EU that means striving for WTO compatibility
2) US was not ready to sing up to a commitment to strive fore WTO compatibility /1
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
justinwolfers.bsky.social
Political party discovers that higher tax rates lead to higher tax revenues.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
6/ If Trump punishes the EU for enforcing its digital rulebook, Brussels must be ready to retaliate.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
5/ A concession today only fuels a new demand tomorrow.

Anti-trust regulation and the DSA/DMA are democratic laws, reflecting how Europeans want their digital space governed. Trading them away means giving up sovereignty.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
4/ Some in Brussels may hope that softening enforcement buys goodwill: for Ukraine, or for the fragile trade “deal”, but that’s wishful thinking.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
3/ For Trump, negotiations are never settled. Last week and just days after details of the transatlantic trade arrangement were published, he railed against “digital taxes, services legislation, and market regulations” and vowed tariffs and sanctions - targeting the DSA/DMA in anything but name.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
1/ It’s understandable that DG Trade is determined to secure tariff cuts on car parts: Germany’s top priority, and a key reason we now have this trade arrangement.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
🧵
Yesterday, the EU postponed a major antitrust fine against Google in its adtech case - reportedly after Šefčovič lobbied to avoid clashing with the fragile US trade deal and the promised cut in car tariffs.
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
luisequaritsch.bsky.social
The US government is once again ramping up its rhetoric on the EU’s Digital Services Act. It is now reportedly considering imposing sanctions on Commission staff responsible for implementing the DSA. This would be an unprecedented move. 🧵⬇️

www.ft.com/content/ff8d...
Donald Trump threatens retaliation over taxes that ‘discriminate’ against US tech
President claims other countries’ digital levies hurt American companies while ignoring China
www.ft.com
aleichthammer.bsky.social
While it's getting a little repetitive it also makes my work easier: tariff negotiations with Trump are not a one-time occasion and there is no certainty for agreed upon "deals".
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
delorsberlin.bsky.social
"'The number is not incredibly unrealistic but the EU’s ability to credibly commit to it is limited,' @aleichthammer.bsky.social told #CNBC. As for Trump’s suggestion of potentially higher tariffs if the investment does not materialize? “That’s exactly the risk." 👉 www.cnbc.com/2025/08/06/t...
Trump is hailing the EU's $600 billion investment pledge — but it might never happen
The European Union has said that the investment would come from the private sector.
www.cnbc.com
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
etiennehoera.d-64.social
Here we go again. EU just isn't dealing with a good-faith actor on the other side. The lack of interest in anything stable, permanent or predictable doesn't fit into EU's mental model. Ultimately it's about incentives - if there's no negative consequence, US is always going to come back for more.
aleichthammer.bsky.social
This is insane.

Queue the point that I keep on banging on about: tariff negotiations with Trump are not a one-time occasion (and there is no such thing as a deal yet).

His last sentence on pharma being excluded from 15% ceiling will bring some renewed worries to EU (and especially Ireland).
atrupar.com
Trump on his EU trade deal: "The details are $600 billion to invest in anything I want. Anything. I can do anything I want with it."
aleichthammer.bsky.social
Laughed out loud at a joke combining EU trade and multiannual budget policy - I really do hope two weeks of vacation rewire my brain...
nilsredeker.bsky.social
I hope the Commission made it clear that the €600 billion figure of course refers to current prices - and that most of it will be mobilised through EIB loans, with a leverage ratio of approximately 1:19.
atrupar.com
Trump on his EU trade deal: "The details are $600 billion to invest in anything I want. Anything. I can do anything I want with it."
Reposted by Arthur Leichthammer
aleichthammer.bsky.social
This is insane.

Queue the point that I keep on banging on about: tariff negotiations with Trump are not a one-time occasion (and there is no such thing as a deal yet).

His last sentence on pharma being excluded from 15% ceiling will bring some renewed worries to EU (and especially Ireland).
atrupar.com
Trump on his EU trade deal: "The details are $600 billion to invest in anything I want. Anything. I can do anything I want with it."