Reposted by Ammar
GS Research expects the #Fed to cut by 50bp to 3-3.25% in 2026. The US #inflation problem has been solved, notes #GoldmanSachs
December 24, 2025 at 7:36 AM
GS Research expects the #Fed to cut by 50bp to 3-3.25% in 2026. The US #inflation problem has been solved, notes #GoldmanSachs
Reposted by Ammar
"Households with at least 1 GLP-1 user reduce grocery spending by 5.3% within 6 months of adoption, with higher-income households reducing spending by 8.2%...most food categories see spending declines...concentrated in calorie-dense, processed categories, including a 10.1% decline in savory snacks."
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December 24, 2025 at 11:21 AM
"Households with at least 1 GLP-1 user reduce grocery spending by 5.3% within 6 months of adoption, with higher-income households reducing spending by 8.2%...most food categories see spending declines...concentrated in calorie-dense, processed categories, including a 10.1% decline in savory snacks."
Reposted by Ammar
GOLDMAN DESK: “.. consensus expectations are calling for notable y/y accelerations in EPS growth everywhere outside of TMT (the NDX) …. is this likely to play out? …. does $MU’s print serve as a reminder of the beat/raise potential in Tech?”
December 23, 2025 at 11:44 AM
GOLDMAN DESK: “.. consensus expectations are calling for notable y/y accelerations in EPS growth everywhere outside of TMT (the NDX) …. is this likely to play out? …. does $MU’s print serve as a reminder of the beat/raise potential in Tech?”
Reposted by Ammar
Pretty hard to be pessimistic on global growth when stuff like this is floating around. Note that the blue line includes zero (0) semis; this acceleration in activity is not just an AI chips story.
December 23, 2025 at 12:55 PM
Pretty hard to be pessimistic on global growth when stuff like this is floating around. Note that the blue line includes zero (0) semis; this acceleration in activity is not just an AI chips story.
Reposted by Ammar
Think you can probably make the argument that hyperscalers’ forward P/Es aren’t getting out of hand because of how much their price to free cash flows <have> gotten out of hand
December 22, 2025 at 8:10 PM
Think you can probably make the argument that hyperscalers’ forward P/Es aren’t getting out of hand because of how much their price to free cash flows <have> gotten out of hand
Reposted by Ammar
Wall Street's S&P 500 Targets for 2026
December 22, 2025 at 9:12 PM
Wall Street's S&P 500 Targets for 2026
Reposted by Ammar
$IWM The OBBBA increased the limit on interest deductibility to 30% of EBITDA from 30% of EBIT.
49% of Russell 2000 stocks, representing 40% of the index market cap, have interest expenses exceeding 30% of EBIT GS
49% of Russell 2000 stocks, representing 40% of the index market cap, have interest expenses exceeding 30% of EBIT GS
December 21, 2025 at 12:25 PM
$IWM The OBBBA increased the limit on interest deductibility to 30% of EBITDA from 30% of EBIT.
49% of Russell 2000 stocks, representing 40% of the index market cap, have interest expenses exceeding 30% of EBIT GS
49% of Russell 2000 stocks, representing 40% of the index market cap, have interest expenses exceeding 30% of EBIT GS
Reposted by Ammar
GOLDMAN: Past bubbles saw much larger stock price surges in their final year.
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December 18, 2025 at 4:47 PM
GOLDMAN: Past bubbles saw much larger stock price surges in their final year.
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Reposted by Ammar
The Sahm rule uses the 3-month average to smooth out noise in the unemployment rate. With October missing, the 3-month average is missing until January data are available.
Today in "adventures in false precision": If the unemployment rate comes in at 4.6% tomorrow, and does the same in December (not most people's base case, but hardly inconceivable), then the question of whether the Sahm Rule triggered will depend on how you handle October's missing number. #EconSky
December 16, 2025 at 11:47 AM
The Sahm rule uses the 3-month average to smooth out noise in the unemployment rate. With October missing, the 3-month average is missing until January data are available.
Reposted by Ammar
#AI -related #capex will total around $500 bn this year and rise to roughly $700 bn next year as firms keep building out data centers, chip capacity, power #infrastructure and networks, chart #JPMorganAM
December 14, 2025 at 7:51 AM
#AI -related #capex will total around $500 bn this year and rise to roughly $700 bn next year as firms keep building out data centers, chip capacity, power #infrastructure and networks, chart #JPMorganAM
Reposted by Ammar
The most outlandish tech CEO quotes from 2025
sherwood.news/tech/the-mos...
sherwood.news/tech/the-mos...
The most outlandish tech CEO quotes from 2025
Tech CEOs have been nuttier than ever....
sherwood.news
December 12, 2025 at 3:27 PM
The most outlandish tech CEO quotes from 2025
sherwood.news/tech/the-mos...
sherwood.news/tech/the-mos...
Reposted by Ammar
Somebody (it was @ed3d.net tbh) asked why ORCL’s bonds are selling off given they have a pretty unbeatable position in a number of software businesses. Here’s the math.
December 11, 2025 at 7:46 PM
Somebody (it was @ed3d.net tbh) asked why ORCL’s bonds are selling off given they have a pretty unbeatable position in a number of software businesses. Here’s the math.
Reposted by Ammar
Okay guys sure thing
*ORACLE SAYS FREE CASH FLOW WAS -$10 BILLION IN QUARTER
*ORACLE SAYS COMMITTED TO MAINTAINING INVESTMENT GRADE
*ORACLE SAYS FREE CASH FLOW WAS -$10 BILLION IN QUARTER
*ORACLE SAYS COMMITTED TO MAINTAINING INVESTMENT GRADE
December 10, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Okay guys sure thing
*ORACLE SAYS FREE CASH FLOW WAS -$10 BILLION IN QUARTER
*ORACLE SAYS COMMITTED TO MAINTAINING INVESTMENT GRADE
*ORACLE SAYS FREE CASH FLOW WAS -$10 BILLION IN QUARTER
*ORACLE SAYS COMMITTED TO MAINTAINING INVESTMENT GRADE
Reposted by Ammar
$CVNA The Carvana chart is mind-boggling
- Down 99% from the high in 1 year
- Up 11,500% from the low in 3 years
- Down 99% from the high in 1 year
- Up 11,500% from the low in 3 years
December 9, 2025 at 2:42 PM
$CVNA The Carvana chart is mind-boggling
- Down 99% from the high in 1 year
- Up 11,500% from the low in 3 years
- Down 99% from the high in 1 year
- Up 11,500% from the low in 3 years
Reposted by Ammar
When the tech #bubble burst in the early 2000s, it became apparent that a lot of the ‘profits’ that were supposedly being generated were, in reality, cashflows that were simply being exchanged b/w different tech companies despite no economic value being created, chart #JPMorganAM
December 8, 2025 at 7:58 AM
When the tech #bubble burst in the early 2000s, it became apparent that a lot of the ‘profits’ that were supposedly being generated were, in reality, cashflows that were simply being exchanged b/w different tech companies despite no economic value being created, chart #JPMorganAM
Reposted by Ammar
Gold's bull market turns 10 years old next month! $GLD
November 22, 2025 at 3:01 PM
Gold's bull market turns 10 years old next month! $GLD
Reposted by Ammar
Nvidia Q3 earnings and sales beat estimates; Q4 sales outlook well ahead of expectations sherwood.news/markets/nvid... $NVDA
November 19, 2025 at 9:29 PM
Nvidia Q3 earnings and sales beat estimates; Q4 sales outlook well ahead of expectations sherwood.news/markets/nvid... $NVDA
Reposted by Ammar
That's a beat
*NVIDIA 3Q ADJ EPS $1.30
*NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B, EST. $55.19B
*NVIDIA 3Q DATA CENTER REVENUE $51.2B, EST. $49.34B
*NVIDIA SEES 4Q REVENUE $65.0 BILLION PLUS OR MINUS 2%
*NVIDIA 3Q ADJ EPS $1.30
*NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B, EST. $55.19B
*NVIDIA 3Q DATA CENTER REVENUE $51.2B, EST. $49.34B
*NVIDIA SEES 4Q REVENUE $65.0 BILLION PLUS OR MINUS 2%
November 19, 2025 at 9:20 PM
That's a beat
*NVIDIA 3Q ADJ EPS $1.30
*NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B, EST. $55.19B
*NVIDIA 3Q DATA CENTER REVENUE $51.2B, EST. $49.34B
*NVIDIA SEES 4Q REVENUE $65.0 BILLION PLUS OR MINUS 2%
*NVIDIA 3Q ADJ EPS $1.30
*NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B, EST. $55.19B
*NVIDIA 3Q DATA CENTER REVENUE $51.2B, EST. $49.34B
*NVIDIA SEES 4Q REVENUE $65.0 BILLION PLUS OR MINUS 2%
Reposted by Ammar
> $IBIT $GLD
November 19, 2025 at 3:01 PM
> $IBIT $GLD
Reposted by Ammar
Over the last 12 months, #Bitcoin's performance has now been negative - first time that's been true since 2023.
November 17, 2025 at 8:14 PM
Over the last 12 months, #Bitcoin's performance has now been negative - first time that's been true since 2023.
Reposted by Ammar
Global Top 10 largest companies by market capitalization, chart #MorganStanley
November 12, 2025 at 6:08 AM
Global Top 10 largest companies by market capitalization, chart #MorganStanley
Reposted by Ammar
BofA: First quarter since the earnings recession where small-cap EPS growth has outpaced large-cap EPS growth
November 10, 2025 at 10:23 AM
BofA: First quarter since the earnings recession where small-cap EPS growth has outpaced large-cap EPS growth
Reposted by Ammar
Returns since ChatGPT's launch on 11/30/22:
Mag 7 +191%
Other 493 +29%
JPMAM Meera Pandit
Mag 7 +191%
Other 493 +29%
JPMAM Meera Pandit
November 10, 2025 at 10:45 AM
Returns since ChatGPT's launch on 11/30/22:
Mag 7 +191%
Other 493 +29%
JPMAM Meera Pandit
Mag 7 +191%
Other 493 +29%
JPMAM Meera Pandit