Andreas Graf
@andreasgraf.bsky.social
EU climate and energy nerd.
Opinions/views my own.
Opinions/views my own.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
As of August, do we know what fossil CO2 emissions will do in 2025?
I made an estimate in July, using IEA projections of fossil fuel use, to estimate 0.8% growth in 2025.
Carbon Monitor has an estimate based on Jan-Jun data, 0.7%.
But what about countries?
www.eenews.net/articles/in-...
1/
I made an estimate in July, using IEA projections of fossil fuel use, to estimate 0.8% growth in 2025.
Carbon Monitor has an estimate based on Jan-Jun data, 0.7%.
But what about countries?
www.eenews.net/articles/in-...
1/
August 15, 2025 at 8:54 AM
As of August, do we know what fossil CO2 emissions will do in 2025?
I made an estimate in July, using IEA projections of fossil fuel use, to estimate 0.8% growth in 2025.
Carbon Monitor has an estimate based on Jan-Jun data, 0.7%.
But what about countries?
www.eenews.net/articles/in-...
1/
I made an estimate in July, using IEA projections of fossil fuel use, to estimate 0.8% growth in 2025.
Carbon Monitor has an estimate based on Jan-Jun data, 0.7%.
But what about countries?
www.eenews.net/articles/in-...
1/
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Old, inactive oil and gas wells emitting almost 7 times more methane than official estimates | CBC News share.google/f2JYswzsGVC3...
Old, inactive oil and gas wells emitting almost 7 times more methane than official estimates | CBC News
Inactive and abandoned oil and gas wells in Canada are a much bigger climate problem than previously thought, emitting seven times more methane than the official estimates, according to a new study fr...
share.google
June 30, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Old, inactive oil and gas wells emitting almost 7 times more methane than official estimates | CBC News share.google/f2JYswzsGVC3...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
New paper. I wish this wasn't the case, but most progress on reducing US greenhouse gas emissions is likely spurious. Why? EPA underestimates methane emissions from oil and gas. Relevant today as Repubs vote to gut IRA's methane monitoring/mitigation program. 🧵
authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...
authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...
June 30, 2025 at 2:17 PM
New paper. I wish this wasn't the case, but most progress on reducing US greenhouse gas emissions is likely spurious. Why? EPA underestimates methane emissions from oil and gas. Relevant today as Repubs vote to gut IRA's methane monitoring/mitigation program. 🧵
authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...
authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
National Energy and Climate Plans are crucial planning tools for EU energy, yet few countries provide complete data.
High-quality data is essential for confident planning and investment around the energy transition.
https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-national-targets-show-gas-in-decline
High-quality data is essential for confident planning and investment around the energy transition.
https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-national-targets-show-gas-in-decline
June 21, 2025 at 7:01 AM
National Energy and Climate Plans are crucial planning tools for EU energy, yet few countries provide complete data.
High-quality data is essential for confident planning and investment around the energy transition.
https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-national-targets-show-gas-in-decline
High-quality data is essential for confident planning and investment around the energy transition.
https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/eu-national-targets-show-gas-in-decline
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Updated 🇪🇺 Commission agenda is now online.
📅 2040 targets — with an interesting “s” — confirmed for 2/07.
But no news on the Russian energy package expected in June.
📅 2040 targets — with an interesting “s” — confirmed for 2/07.
But no news on the Russian energy package expected in June.
June 3, 2025 at 8:05 PM
Updated 🇪🇺 Commission agenda is now online.
📅 2040 targets — with an interesting “s” — confirmed for 2/07.
But no news on the Russian energy package expected in June.
📅 2040 targets — with an interesting “s” — confirmed for 2/07.
But no news on the Russian energy package expected in June.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Und das ist anscheinend das Ergebnis von zwei Jahren Lügenkampagne über Heizungen: Weniger als 0,1 % der Heizungen dürfen länger betrieben werden. Und Habecks Gesetz bleibt unverändert.
www.volksverpetzer.de/aktuelles/re...
www.volksverpetzer.de/aktuelles/re...
Habecks Heizgesetz bleibt wohl unberührt: So wurden wir belogen
Und das ist anscheinend das Ergebnis von zwei Jahren Lügenkampagne über Heizungen: Weniger als 0,1 % der Heizungen dürfen länger betrieben werden. Und Habecks Gesetz bleibt unverändert.
www.volksverpetzer.de
May 29, 2025 at 12:57 PM
Und das ist anscheinend das Ergebnis von zwei Jahren Lügenkampagne über Heizungen: Weniger als 0,1 % der Heizungen dürfen länger betrieben werden. Und Habecks Gesetz bleibt unverändert.
www.volksverpetzer.de/aktuelles/re...
www.volksverpetzer.de/aktuelles/re...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Reposted by Andreas Graf
The US EIA posts LNG export prices - and they are pretty different for different EU countries!
(my first guess would be that age and length of the contracts play an important role)
www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_m...
(my first guess would be that age and length of the contracts play an important role)
www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_m...
May 11, 2025 at 6:04 PM
The US EIA posts LNG export prices - and they are pretty different for different EU countries!
(my first guess would be that age and length of the contracts play an important role)
www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_m...
(my first guess would be that age and length of the contracts play an important role)
www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_m...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
It seems that much public debate on the Iberian blackout is still illustrated by a figure that is most probably wrong [see @lionhirth.bsky.social post: www.linkedin.com/posts/lionhi... ].
For properly monitoring energy security we need reliable data.
Join us Thu: www.bruegel.org/event/europe...
For properly monitoring energy security we need reliable data.
Join us Thu: www.bruegel.org/event/europe...
Europe’s energy information problem
Choices are needed about responsibilities at European and national levels, expanding existing institutions or creating new independent ones
www.bruegel.org
May 5, 2025 at 10:50 AM
It seems that much public debate on the Iberian blackout is still illustrated by a figure that is most probably wrong [see @lionhirth.bsky.social post: www.linkedin.com/posts/lionhi... ].
For properly monitoring energy security we need reliable data.
Join us Thu: www.bruegel.org/event/europe...
For properly monitoring energy security we need reliable data.
Join us Thu: www.bruegel.org/event/europe...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Spain's power is slowly coming back, but situation still far from normal. Out of the 33 GW scheduled for this evening peak, only 18 GW is available. Nuclear and coal-fired power plants still offline.
April 28, 2025 at 7:24 PM
Spain's power is slowly coming back, but situation still far from normal. Out of the 33 GW scheduled for this evening peak, only 18 GW is available. Nuclear and coal-fired power plants still offline.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Around one-third of new car sales in China are fully electric, and about one-half have a battery.
Check out more interesting figures on China: robbieandrew.github.io/china/
via @robbieandrew.bsky.social
Check out more interesting figures on China: robbieandrew.github.io/china/
via @robbieandrew.bsky.social
April 28, 2025 at 9:55 AM
Around one-third of new car sales in China are fully electric, and about one-half have a battery.
Check out more interesting figures on China: robbieandrew.github.io/china/
via @robbieandrew.bsky.social
Check out more interesting figures on China: robbieandrew.github.io/china/
via @robbieandrew.bsky.social
Here are the modelled implications of the IMO's draft Net-Zero framework by @transenv.bsky.social. Looks like a modest impact in the short-term with most of the deviation from BAU coming under the next US presidential term.
www.transportenvironment.org/articles/is-...
www.transportenvironment.org/articles/is-...
April 15, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Here are the modelled implications of the IMO's draft Net-Zero framework by @transenv.bsky.social. Looks like a modest impact in the short-term with most of the deviation from BAU coming under the next US presidential term.
www.transportenvironment.org/articles/is-...
www.transportenvironment.org/articles/is-...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
NOAA is a $6.7B agency.
SpaceX gets a $5.9B contract.
All the renewable energy & energy efficiency R&D done by the Department of Energy is only $3.5B. Wind, solar, geothermal, electric vehicles, fuel cell vehicles, biofuels, weatherization, buildings, efficiency, state programs, manufacturing, everything. Total: $3.5B 🔌💡
All the renewable energy & energy efficiency R&D done by the Department of Energy is only $3.5B. Wind, solar, geothermal, electric vehicles, fuel cell vehicles, biofuels, weatherization, buildings, efficiency, state programs, manufacturing, everything. Total: $3.5B 🔌💡
April 6, 2025 at 1:29 PM
NOAA is a $6.7B agency.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
8) And this one is important.
For all the talk about the powerful pro-Trump media ecosystem, the share of Americans who have heard negative business news coverage of the government has exploded.
Evidently even the podcast bros can’t distract Americans from the realities of the stock market.
For all the talk about the powerful pro-Trump media ecosystem, the share of Americans who have heard negative business news coverage of the government has exploded.
Evidently even the podcast bros can’t distract Americans from the realities of the stock market.
April 4, 2025 at 12:51 PM
8) And this one is important.
For all the talk about the powerful pro-Trump media ecosystem, the share of Americans who have heard negative business news coverage of the government has exploded.
Evidently even the podcast bros can’t distract Americans from the realities of the stock market.
For all the talk about the powerful pro-Trump media ecosystem, the share of Americans who have heard negative business news coverage of the government has exploded.
Evidently even the podcast bros can’t distract Americans from the realities of the stock market.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
3) That was just the US version.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
April 4, 2025 at 12:51 PM
3) That was just the US version.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
What’s particularly impressive is that he’s managed this on a global scale.
Starting to get the feeling that “Trump” annotation is going to be the chart equivalent of a layer of volcanic ash in the fossil record.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
🚨 The IMO negotiations have reached a critical moment: The EU needs to stay on course to promote a global scale-up of renewable hydrogen and derivatives (e-fuels).
💰 The policy options on the table differ considerably, by a factor of 3 to 4
1/
💰 The policy options on the table differ considerably, by a factor of 3 to 4
1/
April 3, 2025 at 2:59 PM
🚨 The IMO negotiations have reached a critical moment: The EU needs to stay on course to promote a global scale-up of renewable hydrogen and derivatives (e-fuels).
💰 The policy options on the table differ considerably, by a factor of 3 to 4
1/
💰 The policy options on the table differ considerably, by a factor of 3 to 4
1/
Reposted by Andreas Graf
In a new @forumenergii.bsky.social report @maciekjakubik.bsky.social, @zaniewicz.bsky.social, @keliauskaite.bsky.social , Szymon Kardas and I argue that Europe needs a profound rethink of its energy security strategy:
www.forum-energii.eu/en/download/...
Some highlights in the thread 1/14
www.forum-energii.eu/en/download/...
Some highlights in the thread 1/14
April 2, 2025 at 7:32 AM
In a new @forumenergii.bsky.social report @maciekjakubik.bsky.social, @zaniewicz.bsky.social, @keliauskaite.bsky.social , Szymon Kardas and I argue that Europe needs a profound rethink of its energy security strategy:
www.forum-energii.eu/en/download/...
Some highlights in the thread 1/14
www.forum-energii.eu/en/download/...
Some highlights in the thread 1/14
Reposted by Andreas Graf
The 🇪🇺 continues to OVERINVEST in gas as a short-term fix to secure fuel supply after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, despite alternative solutions 🚩
131 bcm of gas supply capacity will likely be underutilised by 2030, wasting public funds and driving up consumer costs 📈💶
ember-energy.org/lat...
131 bcm of gas supply capacity will likely be underutilised by 2030, wasting public funds and driving up consumer costs 📈💶
ember-energy.org/lat...
March 31, 2025 at 7:00 AM
The 🇪🇺 continues to OVERINVEST in gas as a short-term fix to secure fuel supply after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, despite alternative solutions 🚩
131 bcm of gas supply capacity will likely be underutilised by 2030, wasting public funds and driving up consumer costs 📈💶
ember-energy.org/lat...
131 bcm of gas supply capacity will likely be underutilised by 2030, wasting public funds and driving up consumer costs 📈💶
ember-energy.org/lat...
Reposted by Andreas Graf
🗳️ This makes the upcoming decision by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) so important for the global #H2 ramp-up: It will either
↗️ provide much-needed demand for #renewablehydrogen and derived fuels, or
↘️ delay their use by promoting #LNG and #biomass in the early years.
2/x
↗️ provide much-needed demand for #renewablehydrogen and derived fuels, or
↘️ delay their use by promoting #LNG and #biomass in the early years.
2/x
March 27, 2025 at 5:00 PM
🗳️ This makes the upcoming decision by the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) so important for the global #H2 ramp-up: It will either
↗️ provide much-needed demand for #renewablehydrogen and derived fuels, or
↘️ delay their use by promoting #LNG and #biomass in the early years.
2/x
↗️ provide much-needed demand for #renewablehydrogen and derived fuels, or
↘️ delay their use by promoting #LNG and #biomass in the early years.
2/x
Reposted by Andreas Graf
🚢 🏭 Renewable #hydrogen & derivatives will be needed as industrial feedstocks and marine fuels on the path to achieving #climateneutrality.
Agora Industry, @theicct.org & @regassistproj.bsky.social have examined where using hydrogen would be most effective to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 1/x
Agora Industry, @theicct.org & @regassistproj.bsky.social have examined where using hydrogen would be most effective to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 1/x
March 27, 2025 at 5:00 PM
🚢 🏭 Renewable #hydrogen & derivatives will be needed as industrial feedstocks and marine fuels on the path to achieving #climateneutrality.
Agora Industry, @theicct.org & @regassistproj.bsky.social have examined where using hydrogen would be most effective to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 1/x
Agora Industry, @theicct.org & @regassistproj.bsky.social have examined where using hydrogen would be most effective to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. 1/x
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Czechia was hit pretty badly by drought and bark beetles a few years ago, but the forest carbon uptake has recovered somewhat in the last couple of years.
March 27, 2025 at 7:32 AM
Czechia was hit pretty badly by drought and bark beetles a few years ago, but the forest carbon uptake has recovered somewhat in the last couple of years.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Die volkswirtschaftliche Logik einer Wiedereröffnung von NordStream 2 erschließt sich mir einfach nicht.
Durch diese Importe wird (marginaler) EU Gaspreis voraussichtlich nicht entscheidend vermindert.
Dafür spülen wir ca. 10 Mrd. € in die russische Kriegskasse. Überschlagsrechnung:
Durch diese Importe wird (marginaler) EU Gaspreis voraussichtlich nicht entscheidend vermindert.
Dafür spülen wir ca. 10 Mrd. € in die russische Kriegskasse. Überschlagsrechnung:
March 25, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Die volkswirtschaftliche Logik einer Wiedereröffnung von NordStream 2 erschließt sich mir einfach nicht.
Durch diese Importe wird (marginaler) EU Gaspreis voraussichtlich nicht entscheidend vermindert.
Dafür spülen wir ca. 10 Mrd. € in die russische Kriegskasse. Überschlagsrechnung:
Durch diese Importe wird (marginaler) EU Gaspreis voraussichtlich nicht entscheidend vermindert.
Dafür spülen wir ca. 10 Mrd. € in die russische Kriegskasse. Überschlagsrechnung:
Reposted by Andreas Graf
Two unqualified-for-their-job freeloaders call Europe a freeloader. From Jonathan Goldberg of the Atlantic's story about their massive incompetent infodump.
March 25, 2025 at 2:54 AM
Two unqualified-for-their-job freeloaders call Europe a freeloader. From Jonathan Goldberg of the Atlantic's story about their massive incompetent infodump.
Reposted by Andreas Graf
"Laut Portal soll ein neues Gesetz geschaffen werden, das einen Paradigmenwechsel weg von einer kurzfristigen Energieeffizienzberatung beim Einzelgebäude hin zu einer langfristigen Betrachtung der Emissionseffizienz vollzieht."
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/arbe...
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/arbe...
Arbeitsgruppe von Union und SPD: Änderung von Heizungsgesetz und Reichensteuersatz geplant
Kaum ein anderes Gesetz der Ampel-Koalition war so umstritten wie das Heizungsgesetz. Eine Arbeitsgruppe der Koalitionsverhandlungen legt derzeitige Debatten auf.
www.tagesspiegel.de
March 25, 2025 at 10:08 AM
"Laut Portal soll ein neues Gesetz geschaffen werden, das einen Paradigmenwechsel weg von einer kurzfristigen Energieeffizienzberatung beim Einzelgebäude hin zu einer langfristigen Betrachtung der Emissionseffizienz vollzieht."
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/arbe...
www.tagesspiegel.de/politik/arbe...