Annaliese Paulson
@annaliesep.bsky.social
750 followers 1.5K following 81 posts
Present: Postdoc @annenberginstitute.bsky.social‬ & computational social scientist studying higher ed. Past: Marsal School of Education & Ford School of Public Policy; 2024 Spencer Dissertation Fellow; Most Fashionable Boy 2010, Kaukauna High School 🏳️‍⚧️
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Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
peerresearch.bsky.social
NEW from @PEERResearch.bsky.social: We estimated how #highered programs measure up against the accountability standard in the reconciliation law. Overall, few programs fall short, but low-earning programs are concentrated in some schools, fields. www.american.edu/spa/peer/one...
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
robertkelchen.com
As a small-town Midwesterner with a PhD in education policy, I know the world of competitive high schools exist...but I still can't process it. Growing up, the options were the local public high school or a regional Catholic school. I went to the public school and turned out okay-ish.
These Parents Are Willing to Pay Up to $15,000 to Get Their Kids Into High School
Getting into high school—private and public—is more competitive than ever. Parents are paying up.
www.wsj.com
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
aefpweb.bsky.social
Have you submitted your proposal for #AEFP2026 yet? The deadline is TOMORROW - Monday, October 6th! Learn more here: aefpweb.org/callforp...
annaliesep.bsky.social
Columbia caved first, paid $221 million, and then didn't even get a pat on the head that it was a "good actor"! I imagine every one of these institutions will be treated just as well.
robertkelchen.com
The government is officially shut down, but the Trump administration is trying to get nine selective colleges to agree to major controls on their operations in order to get a leg up on federal funding.

www.wsj.com/us-news/educ...
Letters on Wednesday were going out to solicit agreement and feedback from Vanderbilt University, Dartmouth College, the University of Pennsylvania, the University of Southern California, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, the University of Texas, the University of Arizona, Brown University and the University of Virginia, according to an administration official.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
weilanch.bsky.social
Welcome @edpolicyford.bsky.social to Bluesky!! Give a follow for research and happenings from our fantastic UMich faculty and students.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
taylorodle.bsky.social
🍎🦡 I'm recruiting a PhD student in Ed Policy (fall '26) at @uwmadison.bsky.social! Come work with me on college access, admissions, & fin aid in our top-ranked, fully-funded program. I’m especially excited for this student to immediately join our direct admissions RCT team.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
robertkelchen.com
After increasing spending to $134,000 per student (!!!) and facing retention problems, the New College of Florida is apparently having discussions about privatization or closure after DeSantis leaves office.
Spending Soars, Rankings Fall at New College of Florida
Student outcomes and rankings are slipping at the liberal arts college while spending is up. Critics believe the college is at risk of implosion, and some are calling for privatization.
www.insidehighered.com
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
stevebholt.bsky.social
Hi everyone. Some exciting news. We are hiring an Assistant Professor in Public Policy here at Rockefeller College. We are pretty flexible on topic areas. We have a great team here and Albany is a great place to live. #econsky #academicsky

Posting: albany.interviewexchange.com/jobofferdeta...
albany.interviewexchange.com
annaliesep.bsky.social
Who could have seen this coming?
A screenshot showing that the Association for Education Finance and Policy conference deadline was extended to October 6th.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
bschmidt.bsky.social
Despite the gutting of the National Center for Educational Statistics, the dept of Ed *did* manage to release 2024 college major counts in the usual format, so I can run it through the same code I do every year. First off, the change since peak of the largest fields -- another year of drops.
A line chart captioned "The big humanities majors were mostly still falling in 2024", showing drops since 2008 for most humanities fields between 10% (Study of the Arts) to 68% (religion) with history, english, and foreign languages all clustered around 50-55%
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
anadimand.bsky.social
The School of Public Affairs at American University seeks a full-time Research Associate (Research Assistant Professor rank). The position will support the Postsecondary Education & Economics Research (PEER) Center through rigorous and timely policy research and analysis.
Research Associate - PEER Center - HigherEdJobs
Jobs in higher education. Faculty and administrative positions at colleges and universities. Updated daily. Free to job seekers.
www.higheredjobs.com
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social
"Common decency stigmatizes people that do not participate in it—removes them from voluntary association. We indeed have to live with one another, but terms and conditions apply."

me on why Ezra Klein should be ashamed / why shame is Good Actually

www.bostonreview.net/articles/how...
How Can We Live Together? - Boston Review
Ezra Klein is wrong: shame is essential.
www.bostonreview.net
annaliesep.bsky.social
Heartwarming to know UM and MSU still agree on some policies
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
joachimbaumann.bsky.social
🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**.

Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825
We present our new preprint titled "Large Language Model Hacking: Quantifying the Hidden Risks of Using LLMs for Text Annotation".
We quantify LLM hacking risk through systematic replication of 37 diverse computational social science annotation tasks.
For these tasks, we use a combined set of 2,361 realistic hypotheses that researchers might test using these annotations.
Then, we collect 13 million LLM annotations across plausible LLM configurations.
These annotations feed into 1.4 million regressions testing the hypotheses. 
For a hypothesis with no true effect (ground truth $p > 0.05$), different LLM configurations yield conflicting conclusions.
Checkmarks indicate correct statistical conclusions matching ground truth; crosses indicate LLM hacking -- incorrect conclusions due to annotation errors.
Across all experiments, LLM hacking occurs in 31-50\% of cases even with highly capable models.
Since minor configuration changes can flip scientific conclusions, from correct to incorrect, LLM hacking can be exploited to present anything as statistically significant.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
annenberginstitute.bsky.social
📢 #EdWorkingPapers: Do RCTs in higher ed risk contamination?

From a large in-person college course intervention, @catherinematah.bsky.social, @katharinemeyer.bsky.social & @linzpage.bsky.social show when individual-level randomization is preferred

📄 Full paper here: edworkingpapers.com/ai24-1083
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
aefpweb.bsky.social
Join the Doctoral Student Community Group tomorrow at 2 PM ET for a panel discussion on navigating the academic job market. Gain valuable insights and practical strategies from experienced panelists. Register here: upenn.zoom.us/meetin...
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
sarahlenhoff.bsky.social
📢 Job Posting! 📢 We are hiring TWO postdocs at Detroit PEER at Wayne State (detroitpeer.org)! We are looking for one quant/mixed methods expert and one qual/mixed expert to work with me & @jeremylsinger.bsky.social on attendance research. Apply by Oct. 10, but flexible on start date! Please share!
Detroit PEER Postdoc Job Description 2025.pdf
drive.google.com
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
riacton.bsky.social
🚨 New working paper alert! 🚨 #econsky

Emily Cook, Paola Ugalde, and I are thrilled to share "Political Views and College Choices in a Polarized America" — now out with both @iza.org and @annenberginstitute.bsky.social EdWorkingPapers

www.iza.org/publications...

edworkingpapers.com/ai25-1280
Political Views and College Choices in a Polarized America

Riley Acton
Miami University & IZA

Emily Cook
Texas A&M University & CESifo

Paola Ugalde A.
Louisiana State University

We examine the role of students’ political views in shaping college enrollment decisions in the United States. We hypothesize that students derive utility from attending institutions aligned with their political identities, which
could reinforce demographic and regional disparities in educational attainment and reduce ideological diversity on campuses. Using four decades of survey data on college freshmen, we document increasing political
polarization in colleges' student bodies, which is not fully explained by sorting along demographic, socioeconomic, or academic lines. To further explore these patterns, we conduct a series of survey-based choice experiments that quantify the value students place on political alignment relative to factors such as cost and proximity. We find that both liberal and conservative students prefer institutions with more like-minded peers and, especially, with fewer students from the opposite side of the political spectrum. The median student is willing to pay up to $2,617 (12.5%) more to attend a college where the share of students with opposing political views is 10 percentage points lower, suggesting that political identity plays a meaningful role in the college choice process.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
taylorodle.bsky.social
🏆 Nominate a student (or yourself) for the @aeraedresearch.bsky.social @aeradivjgradnet.bsky.social Dissertation Award! Deadline is Nov 1.
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
nickchk.com
New The Effect materials today: introductions to basic coding and data manipulation in R, Stata, and Python. Get the wheels turning on using these languages with data with these intro pages and exercises:
nickchk.com/Coding%20and...
nickchk.com/Coding%20and...
nickchk.com/Coding%20and...
Introduction to Working with Data: R Version
nickchk.com
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
Reposted by Annaliese Paulson
robertkelchen.com
My department is searching for two tenure-line positions to start in August 2026. Come join our growing team and make a difference in building the future!

Assistant professor of higher education: apply.interfolio.com/172680

Associate/full professor of education policy: apply.interfolio.com/172632
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
apply.interfolio.com
annaliesep.bsky.social
Students in both GPT treatments think they are learning as much as their peers in the control while completing 48% (with GPT-4) and 127% (with GPT-Tutor) more practice problems, but don't do better on exams. They provide exploratory evidence students use generative AI as a crutch without learning.
annaliesep.bsky.social
I missed this when it came out! They test the effect of generative AI on HS math performance, comparing GPT-4 to a no generative AI control and a GPT Tutor with guardrails. Both treatments increase practice problem completion but decrease performance on later exams. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
Picture of abstract to Generative AI without guardrails can harm learning: Evidence from high school mathematics

Generative AI is poised to revolutionize how humans work, and has already demonstrated promise in significantly improving human productivity. A key question is how generative AI affects learning—namely, how humans acquire new skills as they perform tasks. Learning is critical to long-term productivity, especially since generative AI is fallible and users must check its outputs. We study this question via a field experiment where we provide nearly a thousand high school math students with access to generative AI tutors. To understand the differential impact of tool design on learning, we deploy two generative AI tutors: one that mimics a standard ChatGPT interface (“GPT Base”) and one with prompts designed to safeguard learning (“GPT Tutor”).
Consistent with prior work, our results show that having GPT-4 access while solving problems significantly improves performance (48% improvement in grades for GPT Base and 127% for GPT Tutor). However, we additionally find that when access is subsequently taken away, students actually perform worse than those who never had access (17% reduction in grades for GPT Base)—i.e., unfettered access to GPT-4 can harm educational outcomes. These negative learning effects are largely mitigated by the safeguards in GPT Tutor. Without guardrails, students attempt to use GPT-4 as a “crutch” during practice problem sessions, and subsequently perform worse on their own. Thus, decision-makers must be cautious about design choices underlying generative AI deployments to preserve skill learning and long-term productivity.