Bence Nemeth
@bencenemeth.bsky.social
170 followers 200 following 9 posts
Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor) at the Defence Studies Department of King’s College London | Defence Cooperation, Defence Innovation, Defence Management | Author: ‘How to Achieve Defence Cooperation in Europe?’
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Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warstudieskcl.bsky.social
Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social highlights a marked shift in perceptions of the Chinese military. Once seen as large but outdated, it is now “either reached or is nearing military parity” with the US in key areas, marking a “dramatic shift.”

🔗Read more: bit.ly/4n6i61p

#ChinaMilitary #IndoPacific
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
dsdkings.bsky.social
How can Europe balance urgent defence needs with complex cooperation?

@bencenemeth.bsky.social argues that time, not funding, is the key constraint, suggesting frontline states to boost national capabilities first and then integrate them into NATO and the EU.

Explore his insights:
bit.ly/45CM47t
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warstudieskcl.bsky.social
US peace talks hit setbacks after Zelenskyy refused to recognise Russia’s control over Crimea. Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social describes it a “significant downgrading” of negotiations.

“The US is not positioning itself as a neutral mediator,” adds Dr Németh.

Read more:
bit.ly/3Gqun0E
Trump slams Zelenskyy for rejecting Ukraine-Russia negotiations, saying a deal was 'very close'
High-level talks in London aimed at bringing a pause to fighting in Ukraine disintegrated after Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoy Steve Witkoff pulled out.
bit.ly
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
dsdkings.bsky.social
With key envoys pull out, can the US still lead peace efforts if it’s no longer seen as neutral?

"This is not just about diplomacy fatigue. It also signals a hard pivot: The US is not positioning itself as a neutral mediator." - Dr @bencenemeth.bsky.social

Read:
bit.ly/3Gqun0E
Trump slams Zelenskyy for rejecting Ukraine-Russia negotiations, saying a deal was 'very close'
High-level talks in London aimed at bringing a pause to fighting in Ukraine disintegrated after Secretary of State Marco Rubio and special envoy Steve Witkoff pulled out.
bit.ly
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
maxbergmann.bsky.social
I think 2 months ago this would be seen as a disaster. An American SACEUR is direct link to POTUS and thus the bomb. Seen as critical for credibility of US extended deterrence. But now, I think worst case is an uncommitted US remaining in NATO as is but blocking Euros from organizing themselves. 1/
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
kingscollegelondon.bsky.social
Without the USA as a steadfast ally, European nations are rethinking their security strategies, which bencenemeth.bsky.social of @dsdkings.bsky.social says offers opportunities as well as challenges.
▶️ www.kcl.ac.uk/a-new-geopol...
Also see his previous article on defending NATO without the US 🔽
Quote from Dr Bence Nemeth on the opportunities and challenges for Europe from the change in US policy since Trump took office for a second term.
bencenemeth.bsky.social
In my RAND paper on defending NATO Eastern Flank without the US, I argued that we need 3 EUR DIV (45k troops) in the Baltics to generate credible deterrence. This highlights its difficulties, let alone doing it with a peacekeeping mission in Ukraine simultaneously.
kclpure.kcl.ac.uk/portal/en/pu...
Defending NATO without the Americans
kclpure.kcl.ac.uk
bencenemeth.bsky.social
No, I’m afraid we cannot do any of that effectively (let alone both at the same time). These are the thoughts I shared last year in a RAND paper on defending the Eastern Flank without American support:
kclpure.kcl.ac.uk/portal/en/pu...
bencenemeth.bsky.social
Yes, but the current events change the relevance of the China challenge. While China is an industrial challenge, the rift with the US might pose such a national security and economic challenges that could undermine the fundamentals of the German way of life.
bencenemeth.bsky.social
“Every U.S. president has pressured Europeans on defense since Truman. The policy didn’t change, the style has changed.”
Got quoted in @wsj.com on how Trump’s approach is shaking up NATO spending.
www.wsj.com/world/europe...

@dsdkings.bsky.social
Trump, Not Putin, Forces Europe to Get Serious About Defense
European nations are rushing to spend more as America threatens to withdraw its longstanding protection.
www.wsj.com
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
andysaulim.com
North Korean provocations since 1953, by U.S. administrations.

Source: beyondparallel.csis.org/database-nor... (from @korea.csis.org)
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
randeurope.org
🌍🛡️ The Future of Defence 🛡️🌍

Nine essays on critical strategic topics, including:
-The evolving roles of the UK and NATO in global defence.
- The strategic implications of China's rising influence.
- Ongoing tensions with Russia, North Korea, and Iran.

rand.org/pubs/perspec...

#UKDefence #RAND
Strategic Commentaries
These nine essays discuss strategic issues concerning the UK, NATO, China, Russia, North Korea and Iran, and are intended to stimulate reflection, further thinking and discussion within the UK Ministr...
rand.org
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
warinthefuture.bsky.social
An update from @covertshores.bsky.social on #Ukraine’s uncrewed maritime strike systems.
covertshores.bsky.social
***UPDATE***
Here-> www.hisutton.com/Russia-Ukrai...

Added the latest #Ukrainian Navy maritime drone (USV) to the guide. #OSINT
bencenemeth.bsky.social
My chapter for @randeurope.org argues that as US resolve and capability for NATO is uncertain, Europe must prepare to defend itself against RUS without US support. Stationing 3 European divisions on the Eastern Flank is one of the first steps to credible self-defence. doi.org/10.7249/PEA3...
Strategic Commentaries
These nine essays discuss strategic issues concerning the UK, NATO, China, Russia, North Korea and Iran, and are intended to stimulate reflection, further thinking and discussion within the UK Ministr...
doi.org
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
cspjournal.bsky.social
🚨new article online

Looking at the global arms market, in this contribution @soulpark.bsky.social & Chirayu Thakkar argue that demand-side factors play an important part in explaining the success of second-tier producers.
👉 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
olivierschmitt.bsky.social
My last publication for 2024, a short piece on why the combination of US tariffs and troops withdrawal may lead Europeans to turn to China, thus undermining US interests
Reposted by Bence Nemeth
hoanssolo.bsky.social
‘Ukrainian intelligence sent about 20 experienced drone operators and about 150 first-person-view drones to the rebel headquarters in Idlib, Syria, four to five weeks ago to help Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS)…the knowledgeable sources said.’ www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | Syrian rebels had help from Ukraine in humiliating Russia
Eager to bloody Putin’s nose wherever possible, Ukraine supplied drones for the offensive that toppled Assad.
www.washingtonpost.com