banner
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
@climate-risk.bsky.social
570 followers 380 following 23 posts
SCRI is a think-and-do tank for navigating the next chapter of the climate crisis, producing insights and tools for navigating non-linear and cascading climate risk. Find out more: https://www.scri.org.uk/
www.scri.org.uk
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Oct 21
Learn more about our work on www.scri.org.uk
Strategic Climate Risk Initiative
The Strategic Climate Risk Initiative is a think-and-do tank producing analysis on complex climate risks to inform decision-making, using methods that capture non-linear and cascading climate risks. W...
www.scri.org.uk
1 2 3
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · 7d
The world missed its goal for tackling climate change. What happens next?

Ten years after agreeing to limit global heating to 1.5°C, the world is overshooting.

How do we navigate what comes next?

Welcome to Overshoot.

Listen to the trailer now 👇

open.spotify.com/episode/2ICK...
Overshoot: a new podcast about a world beyond 1.5°C – trailer
open.spotify.com
2 8 13
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · 8d
The world missed its climate target. What happens next?

In 2015, governments agreed to limit global heating to 1.5°C. In 2025, we’re blowing past this.

How did we get here - and how do we navigate what’s next?

Find out in Overshoot, a new 4-part documentary.

Trailer coming soon.
2 5
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
thierryaaron.bsky.social
Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · Sep 9
“The future isn’t something that happens to us, it’s something we build together. By choosing to act wisely today, we can navigate uncertainty and emerge stronger tomorrow.” - @laurielaybourn.bsky.social, @climate-risk.bsky.social

youtu.be/IkjsAQeomtQ
Positive Tipping Points: Overcoming Climate Instability
YouTube video by Thinking the Unthinkable
youtu.be
21 31
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
dougparr.bsky.social
Doug Parr @dougparr.bsky.social · Aug 20
UK solar power output is breaking records this year, and has now exceeded the total generated in 2024 🌞

www.ft.com/content/9e49...
25 120 540
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
thierryaaron.bsky.social
Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · Aug 3
The rate of sea level rise all along the US Atlantic coast has been accelerating in recent years.

tamino.wordpress.com/2025/08/03/s...

This is likely connected to the slowing of the AMOC...

journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
1 13 17
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Jul 30
🌀 Could climate change undermine renewable energy itself?

A new study highlights a worrying feedback: as the planet warms, wind power potential could significantly decline across key global regions.

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Prolonged wind droughts in a warming climate threaten global wind power security - Nature Climate Change
Prolonged low wind speeds can lead to a strong reduction in wind power generation. Here, the authors show that such wind drought events become more frequent and extended under global warming, threaten...
www.nature.com
2
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
thierryaaron.bsky.social
Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · Jul 14
This framing is misleading.

It's super important that we recognise that there's no 'new normal' until we stop burning fossil fuels - it just keeps getting worse & worse!

As the scientists quoted in the article say "today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, & cool by 2100"
‘Profound concern’ as scientists say extreme heat ‘now the norm’ in UK
Frequency of heatwaves and flooding raises fears over health, infrastructure and how society functions
www.theguardian.com
16 180 390
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
thierryaaron.bsky.social
Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · Jun 27
"There is growing evidence that the most extreme extremes probably will increase faster and to a greater extent than we used to think was the case"- @weatherwest.bsky.social

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/c...
The World Is Warming Up. And It’s Happening Faster.
www.nytimes.com
1 5 13
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
davidho.bsky.social
David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · Jun 19
We’re wasting the remaining carbon budget on war and AI.
Only two years left of world’s carbon budget to meet 1.5C target, scientists warn
Breaching threshold would ramp up catastrophic weather events, further increasing human suffering
www.theguardian.com
49 760 1.6K
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Jun 2
💣🌍 “National security” isn’t just about tanks and treaties anymore. It needs to consider climate change.

Climate risk is a national security risk.

Our strategies—and our spending—need to reflect that.

Now.

📖 Full story via The Guardian:
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
UK must consider food and climate part of national security, say top ex-military figures
Former army and navy leaders urge government to think beyond military capability in advance of key defence review
www.theguardian.com
3 6
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · May 19
The Trump administration’s move to defund and downgrade the Basel Committee’s climate risk initiative is setting off alarm bells.

Stepping away now doesn’t just disrupt progress—it risks locking in the very gaps that need closing. We need to double down, not retreat.

www.ft.com/content/c6dc...
US pushes financial regulators to backtrack on climate risk project
Effort to weaken Basel committee task force comes as Trump administration steps back from environmental issues
www.ft.com
2
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
thierryaaron.bsky.social
Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · May 15
"Earth’s albedo (reflectivity) declined over the 25 years of precise satellite data, with
the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds"

- James Hansen & Pushker Kharecha

#Climate

www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
3 15 31
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
ryankatzrosene.bsky.social
Ryan Katz-Rosene, PhD @ryankatzrosene.bsky.social · May 14
Figure of the day: Over the last YEAR, Copernicus' extrapolated date for breaching 1.5C of warming (based on the 30-year trend) has moved FORWARD (aka "sooner") by 19 months. Think about that.
2 26 51
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · May 9
fphuk.bsky.social
Faculty of Public Health @fphuk.bsky.social · May 9
We are entering a new climate reality affecting us beyond the immediate impacts. As a society we need to develop certain capabilities that have been underdeveloped, including:

- Situational awareness
- Resilience
- Speed

@laurielaybourn.bsky.social (Executive Director, @climate-risk.bsky.social)
1
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
ketanjoshi.co
Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · May 2
This is incredible
thedriven.io
The Driven @thedriven.io · May 2
World's largest 100% battery electric ship launches at shipyard in Hobart, headed for service ferrying passengers and vehicles between Argentina and Uruguay
"This ship changes the game:" World's largest all-electric ferry launches in Tasmania
World's largest 100% battery electric ship launches at shipyard in Hobart, headed for service ferrying passengers and vehicles between Argentina and Uruguay.
thedriven.io
12 71 310
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · May 1
Is the UK ready for systemic climate risks?
Short answer: No.

From the Climate Change Committee (CCC):
👉 "The country is not prepared for [existing] climate impacts."
👉 "Adaptation is not yet a top priority across government."

📢 Full report here: www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...
Progress in adapting to climate change: 2025 report to Parliament - Climate Change Committee
Footnotes have been removed from the HTML version of this report. For the footnoted version of this report,…
www.theccc.org.uk
2
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Apr 1
Institutions vastly underestimate their exposure to climate change, and reassessment is needed to understand the full scope of risk.

But even if they did a realistic assessment, would they ever tell anyone?

We explore this 'delayed disclosure trap' in our latest:

substack.com/home/post/p-...
Are we in a ‘delayed disclosure trap’?
The risk that better institutional climate risk assessments will not be done
substack.com
6 14
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
jordantcarlson.bsky.social
Jordan Carlson @jordantcarlson.bsky.social · Mar 24
This is both a transition policy and a security policy. The less fuel you import, the more stable your economy and population will be.
Paris residents vote in favour of making 500 more streets pedestrian
Parisians voted in a referendum on Sunday to pedestrianise a further 500 of the city's streets, giving fresh momentum to efforts by the French capital's left-leaning town hall to curb car usage and improve air quality.
www.reuters.com
4 36 170
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Mar 12
"just as in Germany [defence, climate change, and health] cannot really be separated in the UK, with recent IPPR research showing [...] climate change presents a major security risk."

Our work on climate security covered by: @neweconomybrief.bsky.social

www.neweconomybrief.net/the-digest/t...
The end of the 'peace dividend'? | NEB Digest
This week’s New Economy Brief explores the various proposals being discussed in Germany and the EU for funding increased defence spending, and compares them to the policy options on offer in the UK.
www.neweconomybrief.net
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Mar 7
We’ve failed to stop climate change. So what do we need to do next?

"[Now] the penny is dropping that we didn’t prevent a global-scale climate crisis. We’re now in a global-scale climate crisis."

Read our director's thoughts in @thetimes.com:
www.thetimes.com/uk/environme...
We’ve failed to stop climate change — this is what we need to do next
While we can still limit warming by cutting emissions, we now face having to adapt to more extreme weather
www.thetimes.com
2 4
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Mar 6
"[In] order to be free from authoritarian blackmail—whether Putin’s or Trump’s—Europe must go green."

www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/eur...
Europe Enters Its Metal Era | Kate Mackenzie & Tim Sahay
What kind of Europe survives a fractured transatlantic military alliance?
www.phenomenalworld.org
2 4
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
zacklabe.com
Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · Feb 27
This is still happening. It's your Wednesday ice update - #Arctic sea ice extent is still the *lowest* on record for the date (JAXA)

about 670,000 km² below the 2010s mean
about 2,250,000 km² below the 1980s mean

A winter for the record books in the Arctic. More info zacklabe.com/graduate-res... ⚒️
Line graph time series of 2025's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. The decadal averages are shown with different colored lines with purple for the 1980s, blue for the 1990s, green for the 2000s, and white for the 2010s. Thin white lines are also shown for each year from 2000 to 2024. 2025 is shown with a thick gold line. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year shown on this graph between January and April by looking at the decadal average line positions.
7 100 260
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
lisaschipper.bsky.social
Prof Lisa Schipper 🌍🍉💪 @lisaschipper.bsky.social · Feb 24
With the world's focus on crumbling geopolitics, (in)security, extremism and evil wars, it is understandable that climate change has fallen down the agenda.

But to be clear: we cannot adapt our way out of all the impacts so we still need to everything possible to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
2 19 83
climate-risk.bsky.social
Strategic Climate Risks Initiative @climate-risk.bsky.social · Feb 24
How can we close security blind spots on climate risk?

Next month, SCRI & Demos Helsinki are convening experts to discuss how to better manage complex climate risks to national security, drawing on lessons from the UK and Finland.

Join us👇
www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/climate-re...
Climate Resilience and Security: Reflections from the UK and Finland
Britain has a national security blind spot around climate risk. What might Finland have to teach us about resilience in a chaotic world?
www.eventbrite.co.uk
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
thierryaaron.bsky.social
Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · Feb 21
"if you fast forward 10 or 15 years, there are going to be regions of the country where you can't get a mortgage. There won't be ATMs. You know, the banks won't have branches and things like that" - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell

#ClimateRisk

www.npr.org/2025/02/18/n...
Will it become impossible to get a mortgage in high-risk areas in a decade?
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned that it may become impossible to get a mortgage in some high-risk areas in 10-15 years. Is he right? Michel Martin asks University of Pennsylvania real es...
www.npr.org
1 7 12