Clint Claessen
@clint0475.bsky.social
1.2K followers 3.4K following 44 posts
Political Science Postdoc // University of Salzburg // INCONEX // Party Leaders // part of the TaDa Reading Group - tada.cool // www.clintclaessen.com
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
clint0475.bsky.social
Some personal news! 🗞️

Today is my first day @unisalzburg.bsky.social as a postdoc in the INCONEX project sites.google.com/view/inconex with the wonderful @lucykinski.bsky.social! I’m very excited to start. Hmu if you’re in Salzburg :)
clint0475.bsky.social
🔊 🔊 🚨 🚨
nicolaiberk.bsky.social
Very excited to announce the next term of the TADA speaker series!

This term revolves around the validity of LLM generated data in the Social Sciences. We have a set of four great speakers to enlighten us on different aspects of this issue.

If you'd like to join, sign up here: TADA.cool
Reposted by Clint Claessen
markus-gastinger.eu
Last Friday (Sept. 19), @andduer.bsky.social, @mcortinaescudero.bsky.social, @yavuzmehmet.bsky.social and I had the great pleasure of hosting an excellent workshop at @unisalzburg.bsky.social on how to use Large Language Models #LLMs to boost International Relations research. A short 🧵1/4
Reposted by Clint Claessen
Reposted by Clint Claessen
joachimbaumann.bsky.social
🚨 New paper alert 🚨 Using LLMs as data annotators, you can produce any scientific result you want. We call this **LLM Hacking**.

Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825
We present our new preprint titled "Large Language Model Hacking: Quantifying the Hidden Risks of Using LLMs for Text Annotation".
We quantify LLM hacking risk through systematic replication of 37 diverse computational social science annotation tasks.
For these tasks, we use a combined set of 2,361 realistic hypotheses that researchers might test using these annotations.
Then, we collect 13 million LLM annotations across plausible LLM configurations.
These annotations feed into 1.4 million regressions testing the hypotheses. 
For a hypothesis with no true effect (ground truth $p > 0.05$), different LLM configurations yield conflicting conclusions.
Checkmarks indicate correct statistical conclusions matching ground truth; crosses indicate LLM hacking -- incorrect conclusions due to annotation errors.
Across all experiments, LLM hacking occurs in 31-50\% of cases even with highly capable models.
Since minor configuration changes can flip scientific conclusions, from correct to incorrect, LLM hacking can be exploited to present anything as statistically significant.
Reposted by Clint Claessen
yavuzmehmet.bsky.social
Excited to announce the publication of my article in Comparative Political Studies on how crises shape the ideological legitimation strategies of authoritarian regimes. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Clint Claessen
tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social
Peilingen zijn nuttige instrumenten voor kiezers, politici, en media. Ze kunnen wezenlijke effecten hebben, vooral via de wijze waarop media er - juist én onjuist - over rapporteren.
Ook in de campagneperiode hoop ik dat journalisten en duiders de peilingen gebruiken waarvoor ze geschikt zijn:
Reposted by Clint Claessen
pettertornberg.com
🚨 PhD Position at the University of Amsterdam 🚨

Join my team as a computer scientist / computational social scientist working on LLMs, social media, and politics.

We offer freedom, impact, and an inspiring environment at one of Europe's leading universities.

🔗 werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...
Vacancy — PhD Position on Improving Social Media Using Large Language Models
The Institute for Logic, Language and Computation (ILLC) at the University of Amsterdam is inviting applications for a fully funded PhD position in the NWO VIDI project "Improving Social Media Using L...
werkenbij.uva.nl
Reposted by Clint Claessen
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD

"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"

- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamics of mainstream and radical political rhetoric regarding anti-immigrant policies, highlighting differences in societal responses and enforcement norms based on the source of the rhetoric.
Reposted by Clint Claessen
Reposted by Clint Claessen
jonmladd.bsky.social
In poli sci, "the top 20% of departments produced 75% of all faculty and the bottom 50% accounted for less than 5% of all tenure track faculty members at a research university. 49 programs did not have a single graduate placed in a TT position at a PhD-granting department in the past 10 years."
Where You Earn Your PhD Matters | PS: Political Science & Politics | Cambridge Core
Where You Earn Your PhD Matters
www.cambridge.org
clint0475.bsky.social
🚨Check out our new Preprint & give Sean a follow! :)👇
seanhp.bsky.social
📢 New Preprint: "Don’t Look Up: Evaluating the Tradeoff between Performance and Sustainability of LLMs for Text Analysis."

Providing guidance for social scientists, we challenge the "bigger is better" narrative, instead encouraging social and environmental responsibility.

osf.io/preprints/so...
Reposted by Clint Claessen
tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social
Ook het voorstel van Jort Kelder voor een direct gekozen premier is helemaal niet verstandig. Het zou ons parlementaire stelsel opblazen.
www.volkskrant.nl/columns-opin...
Wie kiezers echt een stem op de macht wil geven, kiest liever voor effectievere en constructievere middelen.
Opinie: Een direct gekozen minister-president blaast het parlementaire stelsel op
Nederland mist een manier om kiezers invloed te geven op het belangrijkste politieke ambt. Maar een direct gekozen premier is niet de oplossing, betoogt politicoloog Tom van der Meer.
www.volkskrant.nl
Reposted by Clint Claessen
epssnet.bsky.social
EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵
Reposted by Clint Claessen
simonbrause.bsky.social
2024 was a turbulent year in German politics: four elections, a surging far right, and the coalition's collapse. Our new Political Data Yearbook piece (with @lucykinski.bsky.social) traces the events leading to the 2025 snap elections.

@hhu.de @sceus.bsky.social
pdyearbook.bsky.social
🆕 #Germany 2024 #PoliticalData
🗳️ @lucykinski.bsky.social & Simon D Brause report on a year of political upheaval with 4 major elections, as #AfD + #BSW gained support, the economic crisis deepened + snap elections were called for 2025 after the coalition collapsed. #OlafScholz
✍️ buff.ly/A1whugR
Reposted by Clint Claessen
gregsargent.bsky.social
Wow. A group of top scholars at Harvard just sent a letter to its president, Alan Garber, warning against surrendering to Trump.

Signatories include Steven Levitsky, Dani Rodrik, Ryan Enos, Theda Skocpol, and Steven Walt.

Someone forwarded it to me. Read it here:
Reposted by Clint Claessen
epssnet.bsky.social
The European Political Science Society is now accepting paper & panel proposals for its annual conference!

📢 Call for Papers: EPSS 2026 – Belfast

🗓️ June 18–20, 2026

📍 ICC Belfast

📬 Deadline: Nov 7, 2025

🧵
Reposted by Clint Claessen
Reposted by Clint Claessen
Reposted by Clint Claessen
hferrinholopes.bsky.social
Our paper has now been assigned a volume and issue number at JEPOP. Marco Lisi and I examine how spatial proximity, intra-party democracy, and party activism explain why some party members—often seen as their party’s most loyal voters—defect at the ballot box.

www.tandfonline.com/eprint/CMGCM...
Until another party do us part? Party members’ electoral disloyalty in Portugal
This article investigates whether and why party members sometimes vote for other parties. Although often taken as parties’ most loyal voters, recent evidence suggests that members’ vote is not unco...
www.tandfonline.com
Reposted by Clint Claessen
cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
#OpenAccess from the latest issue of @polanalysis.bsky.social -

Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging - cup.org/4leSKhe

- @glemens.bsky.social & @ainagallego.bsky.social

#LLM
A graphic featuring a red text "POLITICAL ANALYSIS" on a yellow background with the hashtag "OpenAccess" at the bottom.
Reposted by Clint Claessen
polstudies.bsky.social
How do populists define “the people”? @tiondelisa.bsky.social examines how right-wing populists construct ingroup identity through opposition. Read OPEN ACCESS: buff.ly/GEvXWhB

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social @sagepub.com #polsky #polsci #ECRs
Reposted by Clint Claessen
jochenrehmert.bsky.social
Another piece on candidate selection of mine is forthcoming in @thejop.bsky.social : Intra-party Competition, Geographic Responsiveness and Incumbent Deselection in Closed-List PR” (doi.org/10.1086/734244)
Intra-party Competition, Geographic Responsiveness and Incumbent Deselection in Closed-List PR | The Journal of Politics: Vol 0, No ja
doi.org