@dhommersen.bsky.social
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Jan 17 - Jan 30, 2026
SEVERE: MB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, NB, NL, North, ON, QC
HIGH: BC, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: MB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, NB, NL, North, ON, QC
HIGH: BC, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
January 22, 2026 at 12:50 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Jan 17 - Jan 30, 2026
SEVERE: MB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, NB, NL, North, ON, QC
HIGH: BC, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: MB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, NB, NL, North, ON, QC
HIGH: BC, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 11.0 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.2 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.8 x higher
-Deaths: 9.1 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 11.0 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.2 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.8 x higher
-Deaths: 9.1 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 10.0
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 521,500-682,700
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: VERY HIGH; 11.0X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.2X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 9.8X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 9.1X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreiass4hl4w3pxgltngtsuzct5etzxt4aphwrf7sxwtoblh4dnzmw5y@jpeg)
December 22, 2025 at 10:20 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 11.0 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.2 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.8 x higher
-Deaths: 9.1 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 11.0 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.2 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.8 x higher
-Deaths: 9.1 x higher
Reposted
The regional Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Canadian COVID Forecast Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 11.0 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.2 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.8 x higher
-Deaths: 9.1 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 55 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 11.0 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.2 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.8 x higher
-Deaths: 9.1 x higher
December 22, 2025 at 10:47 PM
The regional Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, MB, NB, North, QC, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, NS, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 55 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, MB, NB, North, QC, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, NS, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 55 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
December 22, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Dec 20, 2025 - Jan 2, 2026
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, MB, NB, North, QC, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, NS, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 55 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: none
VERY HIGH: AB, MB, NB, North, QC, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, NS, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 55 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted
War doesn’t just destroy buildings—it erases places where children learn, play, and grow. Bellingcat and journalists from @afp.com bureaus in Paris and Kyiv take a look at the lost spaces of youth in Ukraine. www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
How Russia’s Invasion is Impacting Ukraine’s Youth - bellingcat
Since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion, Ukrainian educational facilities and spaces used by children have been damaged in air strikes or closed because of them.
www.bellingcat.com
December 17, 2025 at 8:14 AM
War doesn’t just destroy buildings—it erases places where children learn, play, and grow. Bellingcat and journalists from @afp.com bureaus in Paris and Kyiv take a look at the lost spaces of youth in Ukraine. www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
Reposted
New from me!
After we reached out to the owner of these deepfake porn sites, they were removed offline and he deleted his socials.
Each time a site goes down, it's a win for me. Hopefully this guy never tries to get them up and running again.
Check out our investigation!
After we reached out to the owner of these deepfake porn sites, they were removed offline and he deleted his socials.
Each time a site goes down, it's a win for me. Hopefully this guy never tries to get them up and running again.
Check out our investigation!
Bellingcat’s @koltai.bsky.social uncovers the Hungarian national behind two deepfake porn websites. The key figure rakes in profits and vacations in luxury hotels in Dubai and Bali, whilst website visitors create sexually explicit images and videos.
www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
www.bellingcat.com/news/2025/12...
How We Found the Man Behind Two Deepfake Porn Sites
Business documents, website code and leaked data all led us back to one person profiting off non-consensual sexual imagery of women.
www.bellingcat.com
December 15, 2025 at 4:32 PM
New from me!
After we reached out to the owner of these deepfake porn sites, they were removed offline and he deleted his socials.
Each time a site goes down, it's a win for me. Hopefully this guy never tries to get them up and running again.
Check out our investigation!
After we reached out to the owner of these deepfake porn sites, they were removed offline and he deleted his socials.
Each time a site goes down, it's a win for me. Hopefully this guy never tries to get them up and running again.
Check out our investigation!
Reposted
See the full film – with FRONTLINE (PBS) reporters on the ground, exclusive interviews and open source analysis – here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=xxBY...
Strike on Iran: The Nuclear Question (full documentary) | FRONTLINE
YouTube video by FRONTLINE PBS | Official
www.youtube.com
December 17, 2025 at 12:53 PM
See the full film – with FRONTLINE (PBS) reporters on the ground, exclusive interviews and open source analysis – here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=xxBY...
If anyone has any contacts in Iceland, please let them know that Eric needs their help to do some investigative journalism:
exactly one person from Ísafjörður in Iceland listened to an episode of PressProgress Sources.
If this was you, and not someone using a VPN, please get in touch.
If this was you, and not someone using a VPN, please get in touch.
December 18, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 184 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 6.7 x higher
-Deaths: 10.2 x higher
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 184 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 6.7 x higher
-Deaths: 10.2 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Ontario's COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 8.2
About 1 of every 184 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 194,400-251,500
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.8X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.9X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 6.7X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 10.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreiabigavkwkehfegceh27nnmiegioef7wqoc3eo5owasyslglxlm6y@jpeg)
November 25, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 184 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 6.7 x higher
-Deaths: 10.2 x higher
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 184 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 6.7 x higher
-Deaths: 10.2 x higher
Reposted
The regional Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 161 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 8.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 8.2 x higher
-Deaths: 11.4 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 161 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 8.8 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 8.2 x higher
-Deaths: 11.4 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 9.4
About 1 of every 161 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 580,400-750,800
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 8.8X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.0X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 8.2X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 11.4X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreighpvc767vu5vijrifd3zugguoe3xwjkgbm6dc5nyryiluzvbcmdy@jpeg)
November 25, 2025 at 2:22 AM
The regional Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, ON, PEI, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 161 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, ON, PEI, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 161 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
November 25, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 22 - Dec 5, 2025
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, ON, PEI, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 161 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, NS, SK
HIGH: CAN, BC, NL, ON, PEI, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 161 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Hoping Finlay’s Law comes in to effect immediately! SO ANGRY WITH DOUG FORD AND SYLVIA JONES 🤬🤬🤬 They created this mess This did NOT NEED to happen to Finlay www.cbc.ca/news/marketp...
Canadians are leaving emergency departments before seeing a doctor — and coming back worse | CBC Shows
About half a million people left emergency departments across Canada before being seen by a doctor last year, according to data analysis by CBC’s Marketplace.
www.cbc.ca
November 23, 2025 at 1:43 AM
Hoping Finlay’s Law comes in to effect immediately! SO ANGRY WITH DOUG FORD AND SYLVIA JONES 🤬🤬🤬 They created this mess This did NOT NEED to happen to Finlay www.cbc.ca/news/marketp...
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 133 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.3 x higher
-Deaths: 11.7 x higher
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 133 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.3 x higher
-Deaths: 11.7 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Ontario's COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 9.2
About 1 of every 133 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 208,300-288,000
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 6.6X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.9X higher
Hospitalizations: HIGH; 9.3X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 11.7X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigh5nngzdygqzqv5qoqrqnzjm5sd77qezjnkrj4tjtd3mrgxkua7q@jpeg)
November 10, 2025 at 11:29 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 133 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.3 x higher
-Deaths: 11.7 x higher
ONTARIO
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 133 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 9.3 x higher
-Deaths: 11.7 x higher
Reposted
The regional Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Canadian COVID Forecast Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.0 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 10.4 x higher
-Deaths: 12.2 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 10.1
About 1 of every 118 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 583,200-806,200
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.6X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.0X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 10.4X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 12.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigcayvfpw3riiwc5ff4taetmai2egkpb4dyvp7ghhtvqirbpzm2vu@jpeg)
November 10, 2025 at 11:17 PM
The regional Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
November 10, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Nov 8 - Nov 21, 2025
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: AB
VERY HIGH: CAN, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, QC, SK
HIGH: BC, ON, PEI
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 118 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted
The national overview for the Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
October 27, 2025 at 11:36 PM
The national overview for the Canadian COVID forecast can be found here: bsky.app/profile/mori...
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
October 27, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NB, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NL, North, ON, PEI
HIGH: QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 126 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is VERY HIGH [decreasing] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 10.5
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 488,600-614,500
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 7.6X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 6.3X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 13.3X higher
Deaths: VERY HIGH; 10.5X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
AVOID indoor social gatherings
AVOID crowded non-essential places
Who is HIGH RISK
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigpeacmqptud5mnrujlgjyoctxg3fsgkav53qkhotpgzuczwiq2yu@jpeg)
October 27, 2025 at 10:33 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 25 - Nov 7, 2025
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
CANADA
VERY HIGH [decreasing]
About 1 of every 126 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 7.6 x higher
-Long COVID: 6.3 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 13.3 x higher
-Deaths: 10.5 x higher
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
October 15, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
SEVERE: NL, NS, SK
VERY HIGH: MB, NB, North, PEI
HIGH: CAN, AB, BC, ON, QC
MODERATE: none
About 1 in 95 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
![This image describes the Canadian COVID Forecast for the fourteen-day period between Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025, which is produced by COVID-19 Resources Canada. Canada’s COVID Forecast outlook is HIGH [no change] with a COVID INDEX SCORE of 8.9
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Estimated infections this week: 558,700-965,600
What these numbers mean: MODERATE 1-5, HIGH 5-10, VERY HIGH 10-15, SEVERE >15 COMPARED TO THE LOWEST POINT IN THE COVID PANDEMIC IN CANADA
How much higher are key indicators compared to the lowest point in the COVID pandemic in Canada?
Waste water, infections: HIGH; 6.1X higher
Long COVID: HIGH; 5.9X higher
Hospitalizations: VERY HIGH; 11.3X higher
Deaths: HIGH; 9.2X higher
HOW TO HELP:
EVERYONE:
UPDATE vaccines every 6 months
WEAR N95-type masks
Who is HIGH RISK?
People 60 and older, babies < 1 year, pregnant
ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at-risk OR no vaccine or infection in the last 6 months
Recommendations are based on the COVID-19 Risk Index from the Peterborough ON Public Health Unit
COVID-19 Resources Canada is a grassroots organization of volunteer scientists supporting Canadian COVID responses. Sources, data and methods for the COVID Index are available at www.Covid19Resources.ca](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:qbuobwdie7rzq4fburk63aft/bafkreigvlpwphipwsz3vxkdczvw35noac7v4tolew6ewwuawaqtki2h75i@jpeg)
October 15, 2025 at 12:43 AM
Canadian COVID Forecast Oct 11 - Oct 24, 2025
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
CANADA
HIGH [no change]
About 1 of every 95 people is infected.
Compared to lowest point of pandemic in Canada:
-Infections: 6.1 x higher
-Long COVID: 5.9 x higher
-Hospitalizations: 11.3 x higher
-Deaths: 9.2 x higher
Reposted
We know what you did all summer Canada, and you're still doing it. This isn't back-to-school.
Canadians choosing this gets us here. No hard msg for change keeps us here. Being Covid-aware isn't license for exception. Drive-by likes & reposts aren't enough.
MAKE CHANGES. Do MORE to stop the spread.
Canadians choosing this gets us here. No hard msg for change keeps us here. Being Covid-aware isn't license for exception. Drive-by likes & reposts aren't enough.
MAKE CHANGES. Do MORE to stop the spread.
September 16, 2025 at 8:02 PM
We know what you did all summer Canada, and you're still doing it. This isn't back-to-school.
Canadians choosing this gets us here. No hard msg for change keeps us here. Being Covid-aware isn't license for exception. Drive-by likes & reposts aren't enough.
MAKE CHANGES. Do MORE to stop the spread.
Canadians choosing this gets us here. No hard msg for change keeps us here. Being Covid-aware isn't license for exception. Drive-by likes & reposts aren't enough.
MAKE CHANGES. Do MORE to stop the spread.
Reposted
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
September 16, 2025 at 6:47 PM
Canadian COVID Forecast: Sep 13 - Sep 26, 2025
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Severe: NL, PEI, SK
Very high: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, North, NS, ON
High: QC
Moderate: none
About 1 in 81 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected.
Reposted
Discussions about our infographic are continuing with aerosol scentists, microbiologists, epidemiologists... A small international working group has been set up for this purpose. Below is the latest version. The work is far from finished, and some points are still being debated.
March 31, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Discussions about our infographic are continuing with aerosol scentists, microbiologists, epidemiologists... A small international working group has been set up for this purpose. Below is the latest version. The work is far from finished, and some points are still being debated.
