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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · 19d

Nice piece in @uk.theconversation.com by Nadir Jeevanjee about early models and their visionary predictions of climate change fingerprints (incl polar amp, land-ocean contrast, strato cooling). Also a timely homage to GFDL, driver of these early predictions 🌍

theconversation.com/5-forecasts-...

5 forecasts early climate models got right – the evidence is all around you

From rising global temperatures to the fast-warming Arctic, early climate models predicted the changes half a century ago.

theconversation.com

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Sep 5

We had a fantastic research 'away day' at East Sands in St Andrews, where we discussed the future of extreme temperatures as part of GLOBAL-EX project. A lunchtime swim + cheese toasties on the beach was an added bonus! @erc.europa.eu @ukri.org @earthscista.bsky.social @uniofstandrews.bsky.social

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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · Aug 17

“Human health can be seriously affected by high heat and humidity. Such a dramatic increase in the occurrence of these humid-heat events is bringing more societies into challenging, potentially life-threatening, situations.” - Dr. Kate Willett @metoffice.gov.uk

#ClimateEmergency 🥵

Global humidity reached record levels in 2024, says latest climate report

The latest report on global climate change highlights the impact of higher global temperatures on the water cycle, with atmospheric water vapour levels reaching record levels during 2024.

www.metoffice.gov.uk

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Aug 15

Scotland is under a wildfire warning 🔥🌡️, fuelled by a very dry spring. I talked to BBC World at One about wildfires in Scotland which involve humans behaving badly, grouse shooting, and more than a hint of climate change. From 27min 25sec: www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/... @earthscista.bsky.social

World at One - Zelensky lands in Berlin for calls with European leaders - BBC Sounds

Leaders discuss Ukraine ahead of US-Russia summit. Plus, Scottish wildfire warning issued.

www.bbc.co.uk

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John Marsham @johnmarsham.bsky.social · Aug 15

Two new exciting job opportunities at @universityofleeds.bsky.social machine-learning forecasting for West Africa.
ML is revolutionising forecasting, so this is a major opportunity.
jobs.leeds.ac.uk/vacancy.aspx...
jobs.leeds.ac.uk/vacancy.aspx...

Job Opportunity at University of Leeds: Research Fellow in African Sub-seasonal Weather Prediction

This role will be based on the university campus, with scope for it to be undertaken in a hybrid manner. We are also open to discussing flexible working arrangements.Are you an atmospheric scientist l...

jobs.leeds.ac.uk

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Simon Lee @simonleewx.com · Aug 14

Worth pointing out that thunderstorms and hail are very much not “unseasonal” in summer as reported here (hail isn’t wintry weather!) but quite dramatic scenes in Dundee and environs today www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Shopping centre evacuated after heavy rain and hail hit Dundee

A Dundee shopping centre is evacuated as water pours in and a road in Aberdeenshire is closed by a mudslide

www.bbc.co.uk

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Prof Richard Betts @richardabetts.bsky.social · Aug 11

"The Climate Change Committee, the government’s statutory adviser, has repeatedly highlighted a lack of urgent effort to adapt critical infrastructure, from water, transport and communication networks, to the fabric of our buildings"

www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...

Overheated homes: why UK housing is dangerously unprepared for impact of climate crisis

Building rules have been focused on keeping warm in winter and saving on energy bills, not cooling down

www.theguardian.com

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Aug 4

Deeply honoured that our research has been cited in the new DOE climate report

Gavin Schmidt @climateofgavin.bsky.social · Aug 1

AI in the DOE report? This ref (p29) is fake:

Lee, S., Byrne, M. P., Loikith, P. C., & O’Dell, C. W. (2024). Zonal contrasts of the tropical Pacific climate predicted by a global constraint. Climate Dynamics, 62(1–2), 229–246. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06741-7

www.realclimate.org/index.php/ar...

RealClimate: The Endangerment of the Endangerment Finding?

RealClimate: The EPA, along with the "Climate Working Group" (CWG) of usual suspects (plus Judith Curry and Ross McKitrick) at DOE, have just put out a document for public comment their attempt to res...

www.realclimate.org

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Aug 4

I am deeply honoured 😆

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Richard Allan @rpallanuk.bsky.social · Jul 29

Unprecedented continental drying since 2002 based on satellite data and dominated by high-latitude water losses, intense Central American/European #drought & groundwater depletion: doi.org/10.1126/scia...
Consistent with earlier work: doi.org/10.1007/s107...

Unprecedented continental drying, shrinking freshwater availability, and increasing land contributions to sea level rise

Drying continents, extreme drought, and groundwater depletion are shrinking water availability and increasing sea level rise.

doi.org

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Vikki Thompson @vikkithompson.bsky.social · Jul 8

📣 New paper:
💧💧💧 In July 2021 record breaking rainfall hit western Europe, we use ensemble boosting to explore different plausible storylines. These show it could have rained for longer, or over a larger area, or in a different place. Are we prepared?

doi.org/10.1038/s432...

Showing the rainfall of 14th July 2021 (upper left) and 5 alternative scenarios derived from a climate model, conditioned to the atmospheric circulation patterns of the observed event.
Similar to fig.6 of https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-025-02386-y

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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · Jul 8

The Western Mediterranean has been record warm recently, shown here for the June averages from ERA5.

This much warmth in the Mediterranean may predict a brutally hot summer for Europe.

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Map of sea surface temperature anomalies for June 2025 in the vicinity of Europe, showing exceptional warmth in the Western Mediterranean.

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Jul 8

As the UK prepares for an extended heatwave over coming days, interesting new @natgeosci.nature.com research suggests longer heatwaves as climate warms #climate #heatwave

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Accelerating increase in the duration of heatwaves under global warming - Nature Geoscience

The duration of long heatwaves increases at an accelerating rate with warming such that a large increase in the risk of long-lasting heatwaves results from relatively modest warming, according to an a...

www.nature.com

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Ed Hawkins @edhawkins.org · Jul 2

1°C of global warming does NOT mean that heatwaves 'just' get hotter by 1°C.

Over large parts of the UK, global warming means that heatwaves are 3-4°C warmer, with worse consequences for people and ecosystems.

UK maps showing changes in temperatures for typical summer days and hot summer days.

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Jun 30

www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

How unusual is this UK heat and is climate change to blame?

Scientists are clear that global warming is making heatwaves like this hotter and more likely.

www.bbc.co.uk

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Robert Rohde @rarohde.bsky.social · Jun 30

Western Europe summer high temperatures have increased ~2.6 °C (4.7 °F) during just the last 50 years.

That's in a world with only 1.4 °C of global warming.

Time series of average daily high temperatures in Western Europe during June to August from 1850 to 2024.

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Simon Lee @simonleewx.com · Jun 13

Some forecast models are showing the potential for record-breaking heat in the UK later in June 🌡️

Ensemble forecasts can help us better understand the extremes of the current climate. @hayleyjfowler.bsky.social, Paul Davies and I wrote about this last year theconversation.com/the-climate-...

The climate is changing so fast that we haven’t seen how bad extreme weather could get

Record heat, storms and floods reveal new extremes made possible by climate change.

theconversation.com

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Jun 13

Not a bad backdrop for pondering science at the Simons Symposium for Multi-Scale Physics ⚛️ I will be talking today about "Large-scale and local-scale influences on tropical land climate"
www.simonsfoundation.org/event/multi-...

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · Jun 3

Great to be visiting beautiful @ethz.ch for a few days of science! I will be presenting a seminar on elevation-dependent warming followed by examining a PhD on the water cycle in a changing climate 💦🌡️🌤️

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Rosie Fisher @rosieafisher.bsky.social · Jun 2

New #FATESmodel postdoc in Oslo! Come and join our team :) www.jobbnorge.no/en/available... Postdoctoral Research Fellow in terrestrial carbon cycle modelling (281332) | University of Oslo

Postdoctoral Research Fellow in terrestrial carbon cycle modelling (281332) | University of Oslo

Job title: Postdoctoral Research Fellow in terrestrial carbon cycle modelling (281332), Employer: University of Oslo, Deadline: Friday, August 15, 2025

www.jobbnorge.no

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NBC News @nbcnews.com · May 29

Harvard president receives standing ovation during commencement.

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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · May 29

My friend is in charge of the team that wrote the climate change adaptation plan for Switzerland and this is one of the things they expected.

Swiss village almost entirely destroyed after collapse of glacier buries it in mud

One person missing and Blatten devastated after huge cloud of ice and rubble inundates evacuated town

www.theguardian.com

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · May 24

Wonderful to be back (at a very soggy) @harvard.edu for the Continental Climate Workshop, where I gave a talk about elevation-dependent warming over land. It has been a bittersweet visit, given the unsettling and escalating situation at Harvard. Thinking about all those affected 🌍

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Mike Byrne @drmichaelbyrne.bsky.social · May 6

Attending the amazing 'Philosophy of Climate Science' workshop @uniofstandrews.bsky.social this week! Today I gave a talk on 'Theory and the future of (land-)climate science'. Want to know more? Checkout the paper: rdcu.be/dWEZI
@earthscista.bsky.social @standrewsphil.bsky.social

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Nature Geoscience @natgeosci.nature.com · Apr 29

⚒️ Article: Super-Clausius-Clapeyron scaling of extreme precipitation explained by shift from stratiform to convective rain type

@leibniz-zmt.bsky.social

www.nature.com/articles/s41...

Super-Clausius–Clapeyron scaling of extreme precipitation explained by shift from stratiform to convective rain type - Nature Geoscience

Warming-induced changes in extreme precipitation intensity that exceed the Clausius–Clapeyron scaling rate can be explained by a statistical shift from stratiform to convective precipitation, accordin...

www.nature.com

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