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Reposted by Elena Leuschner

Stefanie Bailer @stefaniebailer.bsky.social · 3d

Die ZEIT berichtet über eine Studie, an der ich gemeinsam mit Christian Breunig (Uni Konstanz) und dem POLPOP-Team um Stefaan Walgrave (Uni Antwerpen) beteiligt war.

www.zeit.de/2025/42/mein...

@polisciunibas.bsky.social

@dgw.philhist.unibas.ch

@unibas.ch

www.zeit.de

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Bernd Schlipphak @bschlipphak.bsky.social · 14d

@ifpolms.bsky.social, the winter term always sees our lecture series on #sustainability & #democracy! This year's focus is on the perspective of citizens, with a great line-up of external and internal presenters.

Participants from other departments @uni-muenster.de & other unis are very welcome!

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EUI Department of Political and Social Sciences @eui-sps.bsky.social · 16d

We are delighted to share that our alumnus @mwegemann.bsky.social received an Honourable Mention in the 2025 Ernst B. Haas Best Dissertation Award by @apsa.bsky.social’s European Politics and Society section.

His dissertation was recognised among the best works on European politics and society!

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Francisca Castro @fcastrog.bsky.social · 18d

A few weeks ago I arrived from fieldwork in Peru, where I was collecting archival data on the internal armed conflict. Today I finally have a new version of this paper examining how the conflict affected and continues to affect the success of female politicians francisca-castro.com/research/wor...

francisca-castro.com

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Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · 20d

I regret to inform you I found *another* paper by (some of) these authors with similar errors...

🧵

Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · Sep 8

⛏️ After a LOT of digging, here's what I found:

🚩 5 estimates outside their CI
🚩 46 estimate-CI duplicates
🚩 20+ cases of asymmetric CIs
🚩 17 values rounded to 4 decimal places (all others 3dp)
🚩 >50% of all estimates and confidence intervals are multiples of 0.008 (???)

(CI = confidence interval)

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Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · Sep 8

Blog post: github.com/sophieehill/...

TL;DR: There are a LOT of errors/inconsistencies in the results reported in this paper (estimates outside CIs, sign errors, duplicates, asymmetric CIs). Even in the abstract itself!

This suggests manual editing of results tables.

Which is not good...

🧵

Summary
Unfortunately, this example is not an isolated issue.

Across 9 appendix tables with 256 regression coefficients, I find:

5 cases of estimates outside their reported confidence interval
46 duplicates (i.e. estimate/CI combinations with an identical match in the same table)
At least 20 cases of asymmetric confidence intervals, which cannot be explained as rounding errors
17 values rounded to 4 decimal places (all others to 3 decimal places), indicating manual editing of tables
Over 50% of all estimates and confidence intervals are multiples of 0.008
It is difficult to diagnose exactly what is going on without access to the underlying data and code.

However, two broad conclusions can be drawn:

There are many errors and inconsistencies in the results which appear to be the result of manual editing.
There are strange patterns in the results which, if genuine, should have been noted and explained by the authors.

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Lisa Zehnter @tiondelisa.bsky.social · 21d

Aha.

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Peter Luca Versteegen @versteegenluca.bsky.social · 21d

🚨New pre-print🚨

"Do citizens’ views of democracy and its actors vary with how they feel?”, @lilymasonphd.bsky.social and I ask in a new paper.
Why would they? While citizens widely endorse democracy in principle, temporary factors often shape their views. Also, work on “irrelevant events"

1/8🧵

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 27d

Excited to be here for my first APSA.

If you're around at 12, I'll be presenting some experimental work from my @princetonupress.bsky.social book on LGBTQ+ voters

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Alexander Horn @alexanderhorn.bsky.social · 27d

Today at 2 and tomorrow at 12, these two panels take place at @apsa.bsky.social. The papers are so intriguing that I finished reading them pre-arrival! 😱 @leoahrens.bsky.social & me also present. Including work on the class biases in pledge breaking

#APSA2025 #polisky @apsainequality.bsky.social ‬

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Jennifer Oser @jenny-oser.bsky.social · 27d

⬇️#APSA2025 colleagues interested in political participation & representation! ‪@elenaleuschner.bsky.social ✨will present Fri 2pm tinyurl.com/ylpnhh9w our paper, structured as a Registered Report, with a survey to Swedish politicians planned for spring 2026 - happy to share the paper for comments!

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Michael Hankinson @hankinson.bsky.social · 28d

On Friday at #APSA, I'll be presenting new research on how political geography shapes the siting of collective goods. We use the consolidation of municipalities in Denmark to show how the distribution of entire electorate affects where wind energy is politically viable.

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Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · Sep 8

Somehow, it's already time for #APSA2025! Presenting the newest version of my paper w @jenny-oser.bsky.social + @jesperlindqvist.bsky.social on political participation and politicians' perceptions of public opinion.

Happy to meet during the conference, so please reach out!
@apsa.bsky.social

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Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · Sep 8

Somehow, it's already time for #APSA2025! Presenting the newest version of my paper w @jenny-oser.bsky.social + @jesperlindqvist.bsky.social on political participation and politicians' perceptions of public opinion.

Happy to meet during the conference, so please reach out!
@apsa.bsky.social

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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · Sep 8

I don’t understand why European politicians feel the need to imitate Trump to curry favour with the voters. Trump is hopelessly unpopular in most of Europe.

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Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · Aug 29

It's terrifying to me that, as German students, we learn (in depth!) every bit of information included in this piece in school. And yet, it feels so relevant to read about it again today.

Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · Aug 28

A new piece I wrote appearing in FOREIGN AFFAIRS today

www.foreignaffairs.com/germany/warn...

Warnings From Weimar

Why bargaining with authoritarians fails.

www.foreignaffairs.com

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Marianne Dahl @mariannedahl.bsky.social · Aug 29

📊 New dataset and paper alert!
We’re proud to launch the Opposition Movements and Groups (OMG) Dataset, 1789–2019: a global dataset covering 1,452 mass mobilization movements. It was just published in Comparative Political Studies. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Below follows a 🧵

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Bernd Schlipphak @bschlipphak.bsky.social · Aug 26

Together with the great colleagues @i4replication.bsky.social, we are organizing the first Münster replication games (28/11/25)! Highly recommended to junior & senior scholars. Joint project together with #MueCOS & #CDSC @uni-muenster.de. More info/registration: indico.uni-muenster.de/event/3526/

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Steffen Mau @steffenmau.bsky.social · Aug 28

Dieser Text von Jens Jessen (den ich sonst sehr schätze) bedient leider allerüblichste talking points und lässt analytischen Tiefgang vermissen. Was könnte man nicht alles zur Stärke der Rechten und zur Schwäche der Linken sagen, wenn man in die Materie eindringen würde… www.zeit.de/2025/37/poli...

Politische Extreme: Selber schuld?

Leider kämpft die politische Linke nicht mehr um die Mitte, sondern gegen sie. Zur Freude der Rechten.

www.zeit.de

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Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · Aug 22

Thank you!

Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · Aug 21

This looks great, thank you!

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Elena Leuschner @elenaleuschner.bsky.social · Aug 21

Q for all of you:

I am building a text classifier w OpenAI to categorize administrative texts. We aren't planning on having training data for the model. For research purposes, I see the limitation that I won't be able to report any validation metrics.

Are there some best practices to follow?

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Florian Foos @florianfoos.bsky.social · Aug 20

📢 Call for Papers – London Experimental Seminar Series (LESS) in Political Science @lsegovernment.bsky.social.
We are launching a new forum for experimental political science research: First seminar: 19/11/2025. Deadline: 31/08/2025. Submit here: forms.gle/ZUJcBbZoDoaY...

London Experimental Seminar Series in Political Science

We are inviting submissions for the London Experimental Seminar Series in Political Science (LESS), a new forum for discussing experimental political science research among researchers at London unive...

forms.gle

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Abrar Bawati @abrarbawati.bsky.social · Apr 16

We’re excited to present the Swedish Municipal Council Database! This open-access resource contains our hand-coded data for all local politicians in Sweden’s democratic local elections over 100 years!

With 🤩 @josefinemagnusson.bsky.social, @johannarickne.bsky.social, and Moa Frödin Gruneau.

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Hanne Fjelde @hannefjelde.bsky.social · Aug 19

I am hiring! 1-2 post-docs to join my project on political violence in democracies at @uupeace.bsky.social!

UppsalaPeaceConflict @uupeace.bsky.social · Aug 14

We are looking for 1–2 postdoctoral researchers to join the project “Political Violence in Democracies”, led by @hannefjelde.bsky.social

📌 Full-time, 2-year postdoctoral position
📆 Start Date: Dec 1, (or by agreement)
📍 Location: Uppsala
⏳ Apply by: Oct 1

Read more: www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...

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