Florian Foos
LightNews LightNews
florianfoos.bsky.social
Florian Foos
@florianfoos.bsky.social
4.8K followers 1.8K following 800 posts
Associate Professor in Political Behaviour at the LSE. I like campaigns and do experiments. http://www.florianfoos.net
Posts Replies Media Videos
Reposted by Florian Foos
bogatyrev.bsky.social
Today at 4pm GMT: @thchau.bsky.social is presenting "More than Tolerance" at the @lsegovernment.bsky.social Political Behaviour Seminar, organised together with @sarahobolt.bsky.social, @florianfoos.bsky.social & @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social. Join us in London or on Zoom!
More than Tolerance: Disentangling White Americans' Attitudes for Minority Cultural Maintenance Do votes for pro-assimilation policies reflect hostility toward minority cultures? While support for "English-only" laws is often interpreted as a desire to penalize minority traits, I argue these choices may instead reflect a positive preference for minority cultural maintenance and an even more positive preference over minorities acquiring dominant group traits. I provide a formal conceptual framework and test this using a pre-registered pilot survey containing a belief elicitation task and a discrete choice experiment (N=580 US non-Hispanic Whites). The aim is to disentangle policy choices from underlying cultural preferences and beliefs on policy efficacy. First, contrary to expectations of unalloyed hostility, respondents display a significant, positive willingness-to-pay (WTP) for maintaining student Spanish proficiency: a preference that holds even among Trump voters and supporters of restrictive language policies. Second, this support is structurally conditional: the WTP for Spanish drops significantly when minority proficiency threatens to exceed dominant language proficiency (a "kink" in preferences). The conditionality holds even among subgroups such as Harris voters and those who support bilingual policies. Finally, I show that policy choice is strongly predicted by instrumental beliefs: voters choose English Immersion not because they undervalue Spanish, but because they believe Bilingual Education fails to teach English. These findings suggest pro-assimilation policy choices among non-Hispanic White voters may not reflect a desire to penalize minority traits, but rather a stronger relative preference for dominant group traits and beliefs about policy constraints. I conclude with questions and possible directions for follow-ups.
February 12, 2026 at 2:41 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
danbischof.bsky.social
🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social):

We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys.

Short version:
It mostly doesn’t.

w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social

URL: osf.io/preprints/os...
February 12, 2026 at 1:06 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
polstudies.bsky.social
IN NEW ISSUE: How do UK political elites reconcile with a low trust environment? @chrisbutlerpol.bsky.social, @drjennings.bsky.social & Gerry Stoker examine this question in @polstudies.bsky.social: buff.ly/3E6DkuS (OPEN ACCESS)

@polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #polsky
February 11, 2026 at 10:26 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
ryancbriggs.net
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
February 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
duncanmcdonnell.com
We’ve just released the Youth Wing Membership Survey (YOUMEM) dataset:
dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/ha...

It’s the largest comparative study of party youth wing members ever conducted, with survey responses from over 5,000 members of 12 centre-left and centre-right youth wings in 6 countries. 🧵
dataverse.harvard.edu
February 9, 2026 at 11:42 AM
Reposted by Florian Foos
bogatyrev.bsky.social
Today at 4pm GMT: Elisa Wirsching (@lsegovernment.bsky.social) is presenting "The Political Consequences of Police Slowdowns" at our Political Behaviour Seminar, organised together with @sarahobolt.bsky.social, @florianfoos.bsky.social &
@mathiaspoertner.bsky.social. Join us in London or on Zoom!
February 5, 2026 at 12:47 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
poalab.bsky.social
The latest episode, hosted by Sarina Sharma-Welsh in conversation with @miguelpereira.bsky.social, is about how politicians learn what voters want, why elite blind spots persist, and how representation can get distorted.

Listen here: pod.link/1851725697/e...
pod.link
February 5, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
poalab.bsky.social
The third episode features @sarahobolt.bsky.social in a discussion of political entrepreneurs such as Farage and Trump and how they are disrupting traditional party system.

Listen here: pod.link/1851725697/e...
pod.link
February 5, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
poalab.bsky.social
The second episode is with Dr Elisa Wirsching, discussing power struggles between politicians and public servants and explore how everyday decisions — and even elections — can be shaped by the clash between them.

Listen here: pod.link/1851725697/e...
pod.link
February 5, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
poalab.bsky.social
The first episode is a discussion on the effect of campaigns with @florianfoos.bsky.social. They discuss how the relationship between political elites and citizens is evolving, whether persuasion still happens, and how it might happen.

Listen here: pod.link/1851725697/e...
pod.link
February 5, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
poalab.bsky.social
We’re delighted to announce that the Politically In/Sane podcast is now part of POAL!

Hosted by Marc Bokobza, the podcast dives into Political Behaviour, exploring how people think, feel, and act politically with insights from prominent experts.

Find it here: www.poal.co.uk/events/
February 5, 2026 at 1:02 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
catherinedevries.bsky.social
After a short hiatus, Respect the Marble is back:

catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/introducin...

Introducing a new series The Long Carve:

about how to decide which ideas deserves our long-term writing attention,

& how we learn to keep writing when the outcome is unknown and uncertain.

🧵
Introducing The Long Carve: What Deserves Your Four Thousand Weeks?
A series about choosing and staying with one idea long enough for it to change you
catherineeunicedevries.substack.com
February 3, 2026 at 10:47 AM
Reposted by Florian Foos
karstendonnay.bsky.social
⬇️ Please repost in your networks, thank you!

@csmapnyu.org @jatucker.bsky.social @solmg.bsky.social @henryhenryhenry.com @benansell.bsky.social @nachristakis.bsky.social @dingdingpeng.the100.ci @claesdevreese.bsky.social @dgrand.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social @fil.bsky.social
karstendonnay.bsky.social Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 15d
🚨Job alert 🚨

I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026.

If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026.

📤 Please share widely!

www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
www.ipz.uzh.ch
February 3, 2026 at 7:51 AM
Reposted by Florian Foos
tylerreny.bsky.social
I am chairing the Emerging Scholar Award committee for the APSA EPOVB section this year. Send in your submissions (self-nominations welcomed!) with a cv to me and the committee (@wzcmarsh.bsky.social and Holli Semetko) by March 1 for consideration! More info here: apsanet.org/membership/o...
Section32 - American Political Science Association (APSA)
Elections, Public Opinion, and Voting Behavior (Section 32) The purpose of this section is to promote interest in teaching and research on elections,
apsanet.org
February 2, 2026 at 6:52 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social -

Potential and Pitfalls of Audio as Data for Political Research: Alignment, Features, and Classification Models - https://cup.org/4t9JG1r

- @r-mestre.bsky.social & Matt Ryan

#FirstView
Red and yellow image with the text "Political Analysis" in white and "#OpenAccess" in red.
January 30, 2026 at 12:20 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
miguelpereira.bsky.social
PEEP is back this year🤌 ! The 4th Political Economy of Europe APSA Pre-Conference will be hosted at Harvard on Sept 2, the day before APSA.

We welcome observational, experimental and formal theory work focused on Europe. Deadline: March 1st.

forms.gle/V6NEy4AfnSs7...
PEEP 2026 - Submission
Please complete this form if you would like to attend the 2026 Political Economy of Europe APSA Pre-Conference. The pre-conference will be held on Wednesday September 2, 2026 (the day before APSA) at ...
forms.gle
January 30, 2026 at 12:01 PM
florianfoos.bsky.social
Excited about chairing @bogatyrev.bsky.social in the @lsegovernment.bsky.social Political Behaviour Seminar at 4pm today. Konstantin will present his paper "Shifting Ground". Come along if you are in London, or join us on Zoom: www.lse.ac.uk/government/r...
January 29, 2026 at 11:12 AM
Reposted by Florian Foos
mathiaspoertner.bsky.social
Excited to welcome Kenneth F. Greene at the LSE Latin American Politics Seminar series today *12:00 - 1:30 pm UK time* (in-person and online). He will present parts of his new book “Against the Machine: Why Party Competition Disrupts Vote Buying” @lsegovernment.bsky.social
January 29, 2026 at 10:23 AM
Reposted by Florian Foos
johnholbein1.bsky.social
If someone paid you $4.75 every night you slept 7+ hours, would you sleep more?

And--more importantly--would that increase in sleep change your behavior in other meaningful ways?

This new paper ran an experiment to find out.
January 28, 2026 at 7:45 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
robfordmancs.bsky.social
New Swingometer! The Gorton and Denton By-election: A tale of Two Manchesters

open.substack.com/pub/swingome...
The Gorton and Denton by-election: a tale of two Manchesters?
Unpopular incumbent + fragmented opposition + unusual seat = unpredictable contest
open.substack.com
January 28, 2026 at 7:21 PM
florianfoos.bsky.social
This is just ridiculous. There is no political space for a party that has the same positions as Reform. This space is taken. There is a space for a centre-right political party in the UK, but it’s currently vacant: www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Centrist ideas no longer wanted in Conservative party, says Kemi Badenoch
Party leader tells MPs that one-nation Tories doubting her rightward direction ‘need to get out of the way’
www.theguardian.com
January 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
miriamsorace.bsky.social
📢 JOB ALERT! Postdoc opportunity in Political Behaviour & Political Economy (UKRI‑funded) - Please do share with anyone who might be a great fit. If you’re interested or would like to know more, please feel free to get in touch!! jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Quantitative Political Behaviour and Political Economy:Whiteknights Reading UK
The closing date for applications is 23.59 on 22nd February 2026
jobs.reading.ac.uk
January 26, 2026 at 4:37 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
aecoppock.bsky.social
🎺 Call for proposals 🎺

1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment
2️⃣ run a novel experiment

on repdata.com

3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies
4️⃣ publish your study

details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_...
applications open Feb 1

please repost!
Call for Proposals: Data Collection for Replication+Novel Political Science Survey Experiments Alexander Coppock and Mary McGrath January 27, 2026 We invite proposals for a survey experiment replication+novel design competition. Se- lected replication+novel design survey experiments will be conducted on large samples of American respondents, quota sampled to match U.S. Census margins and filtered for quality and attention by the survey sample provider Rep Data (repdata.com). Each proposal consists of two parts: (1) a replication study of an existing, previously published survey experiment, and (2) a novel experimental design on a topic of the authors’ choosing. The replication studies and reanalyses of the existing studies will be combined into a meta-paper to be co-authored by all authors of accepted proposals along with the princi- pal investigators (Coppock and McGrath). As a condition for acceptance, authors commit to sharing the data and producing a write-up of the findings from their novel design for submission to a scholarly journal, and public posting of a working paper pre-publication.
January 27, 2026 at 10:16 PM
florianfoos.bsky.social
🤪
January 27, 2026 at 7:10 PM
Reposted by Florian Foos
ftraposo.bsky.social
We’re excited to invite researchers, postdocs, PhD students, and professors to the Political Economy and Political Science Early Career Workshop at LSE, taking place this Friday afternoon (30th January).
Full details can be found in the programme below. We would be delighted to see you there!
January 26, 2026 at 9:58 AM