Sarastro
@financeguy.bsky.social
1.5K followers 640 following 630 posts
Institutional money manager 🇬🇧🇨🇭🇫🇷 Markets, energy, history, politics
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Reposted by Sarastro
acjsissons.bsky.social
I want to come back properly on this Economist piece that questions Britain's approach to net zero.

It gets three things wrong imo:

1. Ignoring periods of v cheap renewable energy
2. Misdiagnosing the relative costs of renewables
3. Looking backwards, not forwards.
Is Britain’s net-zero push to blame for its high energy prices?
A mighty rise in electricity costs has complicated the drive for clean power
www.economist.com
Reposted by Sarastro
commercialsolarguy.com
Large chunk of the world won’t care about oil embargoes very soon
electricfelix.bsky.social
@bhadrarukum.bsky.social:

“The EV revolution comes to Nepal.

Subsidies, hydroelectricity and a manufacturing powerhouse neighbor are moving the cars into Nepal faster than almost anywhere else.”
⚡️⚡️⚡️
#alwaysbecharging

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/28/b...
financeguy.bsky.social
Solar panels from $0.1/w ..
financeguy.bsky.social
Versus a cost in London of £2.50 per cubic metre or $3.40. I find this extraordinary
financeguy.bsky.social
I see that Hannah Daly concurs with your numbers so that’s about 4c cubic metre
financeguy.bsky.social
I don’t follow the maths .. if it takes 3KWh to make a cubic metre and it costs say $1.3 cents per kWh surely it would cost 1.3x3 or 3.9c cubic metre not $0.30 cubic metre ? Or did you mean 30Kwh per cubic metre ?
financeguy.bsky.social
This of course is a feature not a bug of open markets
Reposted by Sarastro
urbandispatch.bsky.social
Saudi Arabia is installing solar for 1.4 cents per kWh and is on pace for a 50% renewables electricity grid by 2030

In CT our standard offer rate is 9.7 cents per kWh for supply. Obviously we aren't a desert but it seems pretty feasible we can do a lot better than Natural Gas Ned is planning for
financeguy.bsky.social
Just take a look at the prices at which these deals cleared.. these are obviously for intermittent solar (without batteries) but all the same they represent interesting benchmarks for public procurement of solar power in sunny places
Reposted by Sarastro
trending-finance.bsky.social
Sunny deals: Solar prices shine! #finsky
financeguy.bsky.social
Just take a look at the prices at which these deals cleared.. these are obviously for intermittent solar (without batteries) but all the same they represent interesting benchmarks for public procurement of solar power in sunny places
Reposted by Sarastro
elkmovie.bsky.social
Desalination seems to currently use about 3 kWH per cubic meter, so at these prices, the water needed to grow a pound of almonds would cost you around $0.30
financeguy.bsky.social
Just take a look at the prices at which these deals cleared.. these are obviously for intermittent solar (without batteries) but all the same they represent interesting benchmarks for public procurement of solar power in sunny places
financeguy.bsky.social
At these levels we are within the envelope in which SA can have plentiful supplies of water from desalination at v low prices and it can probably manufacture synthetic (and renewable) fuels that can store energy for use in other areas at prices that are lower than the cost of oil or gas today.
financeguy.bsky.social
Just take a look at the prices at which these deals cleared.. these are obviously for intermittent solar (without batteries) but all the same they represent interesting benchmarks for public procurement of solar power in sunny places
financeguy.bsky.social
Yesterday the Saudi Government’s Renewables procurement body signed 7 agreements for PPAs with ACWA relating to 15 GW of solar power, the largest single deal that has been signed to date and significantly boosting the Kingdom’s plans to decarbonise its electricity grid by 2030.

on.ft.com/4eSvrYa
Saudi Arabia to boost renewable energy with $8bn investment
ACWA Power leads consortium that will build five solar and two wind projects in the kingdom
on.ft.com
Reposted by Sarastro
acjsissons.bsky.social
Sorry to wade into the air con wars again, but... I spoke to @jim.londoncentric.media last week about why more homes in London don't have air con.

The bottom line is: air con in Britain is almost always a heat pump, and heat pumps are good for the climate

www.londoncentric.media/p/why-london...
Why London homes don't have air con
Plus: Lego asks the London Conservatives to stop using yellow bricks to mock Sadiq Khan — and do you want to live in a former aircraft factory in Zone 3?
www.londoncentric.media
financeguy.bsky.social
“The UK’s sea level is rising faster than the global average and at an accelerating rate… Sea levels have risen by 13.4cm in the UK since 1993, compared with a global average of 10.6cm, according to the annual state of the UK climate report published on Monday.”

on.ft.com/4lzrgmM
UK sea level rising faster than global average, study finds
Britain is getting wetter and warmer as new temperature records become norm
on.ft.com
financeguy.bsky.social
Isn’t the problem that trees sequester carbon only for a period - as long as they live, after which the carbon is released back into the environment as they decay. The conditions under which the coal, oil and gas reserves were laid down in the distant past no longer exist.
Reposted by Sarastro
owejessen.de
"In a ... hint of past financial turmoil, mortgage defaults begin to rise, along with ... credit card delinquencies. But this time, it’s different. Unlike other financial disasters, the underlying cause of this one is not financial, it is physical, and it is not clear how it will ever end."
financeguy.bsky.social
This is thought provoking from the FT.

It’s already clear (as I have previously discussed in this stream) that insurance companies are raising premiums and withdrawing cover for housing in some US states given the frequency and intensity of wildfires, storms and hurricaines.

on.ft.com/46dSz0R
How the next financial crisis starts
The climate shocks that could trigger wider market turmoil
on.ft.com
financeguy.bsky.social
It’s a theory of course. But it’s plausible because the market is a discounting mechanism and long term costs of climate change translate into short term costs for corporates and societies through among other things the insurance markets.
financeguy.bsky.social
This isn’t just a US issue but the US housing market is a huge cog in the wheels of global financial stability.
financeguy.bsky.social
“If insurance is no longer available, other financial services become unavailable too,” he wrote in a LinkedIn post... “The economic value of entire regions — coastal, arid, wildfire-prone — will begin to vanish from financial ledgers,” he added. “Markets will reprice, rapidly and brutally.”