F. Javier Rubio
@fjrubio.bsky.social
870 followers 380 following 51 posts
Lecturer at the Department of Statistical Science of UCL. All opinions my own. 🇲🇽🇬🇧 https://sites.google.com/site/fjavierrubio67/ #rstats #JuliaLang #Bayesian #Statistics #Biostatistics
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fjrubio.bsky.social
New R package PTCMGH: The PTCMGH R package implements promotion time cure models with a general hazard structure. The package, along with a tutorial for simulating and fitting these models, can be found at:

github.com/FJRubio67/PT...

rpubs.com/FJRubio/PTCMGH

#rstats #survival
GitHub - FJRubio67/PTCMGH: Promotion Time Cure Models with a General Hazard structure
Promotion Time Cure Models with a General Hazard structure - FJRubio67/PTCMGH
github.com
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
adrianraftery.bsky.social
The new Bayesian Social Sciences section of @isba-bayesian.bsky.social has just been created: bss-isba.github.io. The committee is myself as chair, @robinryder.bsky.social, chair elect from 2027, @nialfriel.bsky.social, program chair, @monjalexander.bsky.social, Treasurer, EJWagenmakers, Secretary.
Home - BSS-ISBA
bss-isba.github.io
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
chrisrackauckas.bsky.social
DifferentialEquations.jl is many things, and lots of people only use a small portion of it. Check out the JuliaCon 2025 workshop: introduces many aspects of the packages that the developers feel are underutilized and under-understood!

#julialang #sciml

www.youtube.com/watch?v=lSGF...
A Deep Dive Into DifferentialEquations.jl | JuliaCon Global 2025 | Rackauckas, Smith
YouTube video by The Julia Programming Language
www.youtube.com
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The subsequent webinar will be on:

📅 November 5, 2025 (4:00 PM UTC | 11:00 AM EST | 5:00 PM CET)
“Model Uncertainty and Missing Data: An Objective Bayesian Perspective”
by G. García-Donato, M. Eugenia Castellanos, S. Cabras, A. Quirós, and A. Forte
doi.org/10.1214/25-B...
Model Uncertainty and Missing Data: An Objective Bayesian Perspective
The interplay between missing data and model uncertainty—two classic statistical problems—leads to primary questions that we formally address from an objective Bayesian perspective. For the general regression problem, we discuss the probabilistic justification of Rubin’s rules applied to the usual components of Bayesian variable selection, arguing that prior predictive marginals should be central to the pursued methodology. In the regression settings, we explore the conditions of prior distributions that make the missing data mechanism ignorable, provided that it is missing at random or completely at random. Moreover, when comparing multiple linear models, we provide a complete methodology for dealing with special cases, such as variable selection or uncertainty regarding model errors. In numerous simulation experiments, we demonstrate that our method outperforms or equals others, in consistently producing results close to those obtained using the full dataset. In general, the difference increases with the percentage of missing data and the correlation between the variables used for imputation. Finally, we summarize possible directions for future research.
doi.org
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
isba-bayesian.bsky.social
The 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐒𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐞𝐭𝐲 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐁𝐚𝐲𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬 (𝐈𝐒𝐁𝐀) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.

𝘐𝘚𝘉𝘈 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘷𝘪𝘥𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘯 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘯𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘶𝘯𝘪𝘵𝘺 𝘧𝘰𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘰𝘴𝘦 𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘦𝘥 𝘪𝘯 𝘉𝘢𝘺𝘦𝘴𝘪𝘢𝘯 𝘢𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘺𝘴𝘪𝘴 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘪𝘵𝘴 𝘢𝘱𝘱𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘴.

Find us across the web:
linktr.ee/ISBAbayesian
International Society for Bayesian Analysis | The International Society for Bayesian Analysis (ISBA) was founded in 1992 to promote the development and application of Bayesian analysis.
bayesian.org
fjrubio.bsky.social
Most cancer patients face comorbidities that complicate survival. We use Bayesian machine learning (BART) in a relative survival framework to estimate excess hazard, uncover vulnerable subgroups, and identify drivers of inequalities in colon cancer survival.
fjrubio.bsky.social
New paper, with P. Basak, A.R. Linero, and C. Maringe, accepted in JASA A&CS

"Understanding Inequalities in Cancer Survival Using Bayesian Machine Learning"

doi.org/10.1080/0162...

#inequalities #cancer #survival #Bayesian #MachineLearning @icon-lshtm.bsky.social @statisticsucl.bsky.social
fjrubio.bsky.social
The effect of the shape (skewness) parameter in skew-symmetric models: Part II

rpubs.com/FJRubio/Disc...

Based on a recently proposed discrepancy measures, it shows that in certain models, such as the skew-normal, the influence of the shape parameter is negligible across a broad interval around 0.
RPubs - The effect of the shape (skewness) parameter in skew-symmetric models, Part II
rpubs.com
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
avehtari.bsky.social
Reminder that all three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use (and the fourth will be, too)
avehtari.bsky.social
All three books I've co-authored are freely available online for non-commercial use:

- #Bayesian Data Analysis, 3rd ed (aka BDA3) at stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/book/

- #Regression and Other Stories at avehtari.github.io/ROS-Examples/

- Active Statistics at avehtari.github.io/ActiveStatis...
The cover of Bayesian Data Analysis book The cover of Regression and Other Stories book The cover of Active Statistics book
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
statisticsucl.bsky.social
🚨3 Departmental PhD Studentships have now become available. The deadline for applications will be 31 of July. Available for overseas and home students.

www.ucl.ac.uk/statistics/p...
Research Studentships
www.ucl.ac.uk
fjrubio.bsky.social
The latest issue of the ISBA bulletin, containing a call for contributed discussions for two papers:
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
fjrubio.bsky.social
Call for discussion papers 2025: Innovative usages of natural experiments and causal inference in statistics and data science👇

rss.org.uk/news-publica...
Call for discussion papers 2025: Innovative usages of natural experiments and causal inference in st
rss.org.uk
fjrubio.bsky.social
Interesting to see cancer epidemiology papers in the top 10:
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio
warwickstats.bsky.social
3 year PDRA position in the OCEAN project (https://oceanerc.com/) to work at Warwick with Gareth Roberts, Adam Johansen and other OCEAN Researchers on a range of topics around scalable distributed computation. Deadline 10th April 2025 at 11.55pm UK time. Details at
warwick-careers.tal....
fjrubio.bsky.social
Or, to clarify notation:
Reposted by F. Javier Rubio