Thomas Frölicher
@froeltho.bsky.social
3K followers 520 following 72 posts
Professor in Climate and Environmental Physics @unibern, Lead Author @IPCC_CH SROCC, Views are my own
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froeltho.bsky.social
By linking Antarctic sea ice, cloud cover, deep ocean temperatures, and global warming, our new study led by @linusvogt.bsky.social finds that ocean heat uptake and thermal sea level rise by 2100 could be 3–14% higher, and global surface warming 3–7% greater than previously thought👇
linusvogt.bsky.social
🚨🌊 New highlight paper out today in Earth System Dynamics!

We find an observational constraint implying more future global ocean heat uptake, cloud feedback, and warming than the CMIP6 mean.

This contrasts with previous estimates based on past warming trends.

🔗 esd.copernicus.org/articles/16/...
Increased future ocean heat uptake constrained by Antarctic sea ice extent
Abstract. The ocean takes up over 90 % of the excess heat stored in the Earth system as a result of anthropogenic climate change, which has led to sea level rise and an intensification of marine extre...
esd.copernicus.org
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
rahmstorf.bsky.social
You can still apply!
If you know someone who might be interested, tell her or him about this! 🌊
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
zacklabe.com
The massive extreme marine heatwave continues to stretch across the entire northern Pacific Ocean. In fact, the magnitude of the sea surface temperature anomalies even grew in August 2025 compared to earlier in the summer. Yikes... 🫠

Data from OISSTv2.1 (psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded...). 🌊
Global map showing sea surface temperature anomalies in August 2025 relative to 1982 to 2010. Most areas are warmer than average. Red is shown for warmer sea surface temperatures, and blue is shown for colder sea surface temperatures. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1.
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
froeltho.bsky.social
🌊 Nacht der Forschung 2025 | University of Bern 🌊
What a fantastic evening! Thank you to the entire ocean modeling team and friends for their incredible effort. For one night, the Kuppelraum transformed into a "true" ocean, full of energy, visited by many, and filled with inspiring conversations.
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
unibe.ch
Der Weltklimarat ‪@ipcc.bsky.social‬ hat Thomas Frölicher #unibern zum Koordinierenden Leitautor der Arbeitsgruppe I des nächsten Weltklimaberichts ernannt. Er leitet das Kapitel über #Kipppunkte im Erdsystem. Mehr über seine Forschung: www.uniaktuell.unibe.ch/2025/uno_oze....
@froeltho.bsky.social
Thomas Frölicher
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
julianop.bsky.social
🚨 Our latest paper on how #climatechange will affect the distribution of shared fish stocks like #tuna and #billfishes across international borders is out now! 🐟🌍

Read the #OpenAccess article & IOF story below 👇

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
unibe.ch
8 Jahre, 8 #Hitzerekorde im #Ozean – 2025 dürfte der nächste folgen. Klimaforscher Thomas Frölicher erklärt, warum das auch die #Schweiz betrifft und wo dennoch Hoffnung besteht: www.uniaktuell.unibe.ch/2025/uno_oze....

@froeltho.bsky.social
Ozean am Limit: Die globale Ozeantemperatur hat acht Jahre in Folge den Vorjahresrekord übertroffen – auch 2025 dürfte ein neuer Höchstwert folgen.
froeltho.bsky.social
Have you ever wondered why a landlocked country like Switzerland should care about the health of the ocean? Check out our new 2-pager👇

Frölicher, T., & Jaccard, S. (2025). Why Switzerland Needs a Healthy Ocean: Global Interdependence and National Responsibility. Zenodo. lnkd.in/eMp5hN5d
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
altagliabue.bsky.social
New work by Lester Kwiatkowski and colleagues suggests that the reduction in coral reef calcification due to climate change may end up enhancing the ocean carbon sink by up to 1.25 Gt CO2 yr-1 by mid century (by even more by 2300) 🌊

www.pnas.org/doi/full/10....
PNAS
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), a peer reviewed journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) - an authoritative source of high-impact, original research that broadly spans...
www.pnas.org
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
jpgattuso.bsky.social
A large number of products are available here: kdrive.infomaniak.com/app/share/20...
- Recommendations to Heads of State and Governments, summary in 6 UN languages
- Urgent call for coral reefs
- Policy brief "Knowledge for a thriving ocean"
- Manifesto
- Correspondence on US federal cuts 🌊
#OOSC
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
jpgattuso.bsky.social
‼️ Please disseminate widely: the manifesto of the One Ocean Science Congress #OOSC is open for digital signature:
forms.ifremer.fr/pdg/oosc-man...

#ScienceForTheOcean 🌊
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
jpgattuso.bsky.social
My co-chair François Houllier and I are delighted with this resounding success, after 2 years of preparation and many hurdles to overcome.

The recommendations will be presented to Heads of State and Governments tomorrow, the day before #UNOC starts.

#OOSC #ScienceForTheOcean
froeltho.bsky.social
The One Ocean Science Congress has started! Exciting four days ahead #OOSC25
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
met4cast.net
This is phenomenal.

Sea surface temperatures are >5C above average to the west of the UK and around Iceland. It's the strongest area of anomalous warmth on the planet at the moment.

It's the warmest in recorded history for northwest Europe.
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
revkin.bsky.social
#standupforscience2025. The sidewalk open house and NASA GISS swag giveaway is on at 2880 Broadway NY NY til 4 pm ET. Photos from a NASA scientist. 🌎🧪 matters.
froeltho.bsky.social
I also can‘t see any indication at the moment that this would be temporary.
froeltho.bsky.social
New study led by @lilianschuster.bsky.social finds that temporarily overshooting +1.5°C leads to irreversible glacier loss and long-term changes in water runoff. Some fast-responding glaciers may regrow, but this could lead to water scarcity centuries later, a phenomenon called ‘trough water’.👇
lilianschuster.bsky.social
🏔️🌍🌎🌏 New study warns: Even if we only temporarily exceed 1.5 °C, mountain glaciers face irreversible losses lasting centuries. Such an overshoot reduces glacier runoff, specifically in regions where some glaciers regrow.

Further interested? Check out our new publication: doi.org/10.1038/s415...
Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5 °C - Nature Climate Change
How mountain glaciers will react to temporarily overshooting 1.5 °C of warming is poorly understood. Here the authors show irreversible global glacier loss for centuries after overshoot, implying long...
doi.org
froeltho.bsky.social
Sixty-six percent of the entire planet is deep ocean (≥200 m), and a new study shows that less than 0.001%, a total area approximately a tenth of the size of 🇨🇭 has been visualized observed. There is soooo much to be discovered! www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
How little we’ve seen: A visual coverage estimate of the deep seafloor
In decades of deep-sea exploration, humans have observed only 0.001% of the deep seafloor, leaving 66% of planet Earth unseen.
www.science.org
froeltho.bsky.social
Really enjoyed the discussion on communicating tipping points at NASA GISS! It’s a tough topic, but I agree with the panel—we can do better than we have so far. Thanks for organizing it @aromanou.bsky.social and colleagues!
froeltho.bsky.social
Compound events in the (subsurface) ocean and how they change under climate change. 👇
natlegrix.bsky.social
🌊🔥 Marine heatwaves often do not occur in isolation—they frequently coincide with extreme conditions in ocean acidity and oxygen levels.

In our new paper, we assess the distribution and projected changes of these compound ocean extremes within the top 2000 meters of the ocean.
Surface and Subsurface Compound Marine Heatwave and Biogeochemical Extremes Under Climate Change
Extreme conditions in temperature, acidity and oxygen frequently coincide at the sea surface and in large parts of the subsurface ocean Subsurface compound events are often linked to vertical wat...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
diudicone.bsky.social
Here a new point of view on the response of the global ocean to climate change.

In short: we cannot separate temperature from the rest when we look at trends in the dynamics.

It is just a starting point. With the great Bruno Buongiorno Nardelli.

www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...
A dynamical geography of observed trends in the global ocean
An empirical analysis of upper ocean physics reveals the factors that shape the seascape evolution in response to global warming.
www.science.org
Reposted by Thomas Frölicher
forumbasiliense.bsky.social
Am 29. April sprechen Alexander Proelss und Thomas Frölicher über „Meeres-Wissenschaften und Internationales Recht im Klimawandel“.

🗓️ 29. April | 🕓 16:15–17:45
📍 Hörsaal 001, Kollegienhaus, Universität Basel