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The Trump administration’s threat to deploy troops in Portland is unlawful.

Here’s a thought.

Focus on protecting the healthcare of the American people.

Revisiting this piece I wrote in April 2025. "State Terror: A brief guide for Americans"
snyder.substack.com/p/state-terror

Interested in intergenerational mobility in the United States? Join the National Academies for a webinar on Economic and Social Mobility in the United States on Monday, September 22, at 2:00 p.m. ET.

More information & registration: www.nationalacademies.org/event/45575_... @nationalacademies.org

Thrilled to co-author 2 recent qualitative papers that perfectly demonstrate the importance of mixed methods research to inform US policy. In the first aptly titled "It's confusing as hell" we examined lived experiences of low-income people applying for the EITC. academic.oup.com/healthaffair... 1/

I wrote about what I think is a genuinely revealing document of elite depravity and impunity. It is shocking and sickening. But it's also a crucial moment. We're about to see what happens when conspiracy theorists actually get what they asked for but it turns out not to be what they want.

Ending publication of monthly Current Economic Statistics (CES) would violate the will of Congress as expressed federal law.

It would also violate OMB's Statistical Policy Directive 3, which governs all Principal Federal Economic Indicators, including the CES.
www.bls.gov/bls/statisti...

⚠️ New timely WP ⚠️ Rising wealth inequality and democratic backsliding at the US state-level #EconSky #Sociology #PolicySky
@stone-lis.bsky.social WP here: doi.org/10.31235/osf...

Very saddened to learn of the passing of Richard Alba, a towering figure in the sociology of immigration. His work shaped the understanding of assimilation, ethno-racial boundaries, and the changing American mainstream.
🔗 www.gc.cuny.edu/news/memoria...

welcome to Bluesky, @stefanie-deluca.bsky.social !

For an excellent take on polygenic scores & embryo selection read this great post by @drjenndowd.bsky.social.

"two first-rate economists, David Cutler and Ed Glaeser, have made a stab at estimating the impact of cuts at NIH. Their analysis suggests that these cuts might save $500 billion in federal spending over the next 25 years — while imposing more than $8 trillion in losses."

Two new papers on when and how school spending matters. With fabulous co-authors @greermellon.bsky.social @susannaloeb.bsky.social
Now if only the federal govt would fund schools appropriately...

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....

Compensation is inferred from behavior: hypogamous wives (more educated than their husbands) are more likely to take their husband's name than education-equal wives—a gap that persists and even slightly widens between 2000 and 2021.

*National* -- now and always!

Open access version of the article here: osf.io/preprints/so...

Thank you, @socarxiv.bsky.social

Declining birth rates are likely driven by "pregnancy avoidance" decisions - people repeatedly deciding that it's not a good time to get pregnant *right now* rather than deciding not to have any (more) children at all, as my colleagues and I show in a new paper. 1/ doi.org/10.1007/s111...

“Historically, no one lived past age 35”

"I’ve heard *so* many versions of this claim, including recently from a menopause doctor (implying menopause is not “natural” because noone lived long enough to go through it). Every time someone states this “fact,” a demographer loses a piece of their soul"

A *null* result I'm very proud of!

Led by Rustam Romaniuc, 35 coauthors from all over France tested nudge interventions to boost voter turnout.

None worked, and we are possibly not surprised -- but a well-powered null result *is* a result!

Paper:

kwnsfk27.r.eu-west-1.awstrack.me/L0/https:%2F...

New paper with @fabriberna.bsky.social - part of my PhD thesis!

Why are the negative educational consequences of parental separation stronger among high-SES children?

→ When high-SES parents separate, they lose their ability to compensate for their child’s low genetic propensity for education 🧬👪

Excellent explainer of COVID vaccines for kids by @drjenndowd.bsky.social

open.substack.com/pub/jenndowd...

“This bill would introduce the most significant & costliest new federal ed program in decades. It has virtually no quality-control measures, transparency provisions, protections against discrimination, or evidence to suggest that it’s likely to improve ed outcomes.”

A+ Jon Valant ECCA explainer

Breaking news: Contradicting HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the CDC continues to recommend the coronavirus vaccines for healthy children, according to new documentation posted to the agency's website.

That’s true! But the point might be increasingly important, as more people return to school and complete education later than the “normative” age