Hallendorff
@hallendorff.bsky.social
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Raises many important questions. Does the resilience deter escalation but invite continuation below threshold? Does deterrence by denial actually work because it translates to strength? Is there credible deterrence by punishment in case the threshold is crossed?
Love these thought provoking write ups. 👍
alanderminna.bsky.social
This week’s short Europe Dispatch with @phillipspobrien.bsky.social:

Deterrence by denial doesn’t work in hybrid warfare because denying effect doesn’t stop Russia from continuing the attacks. What a nice life we all could have had if Russia had just become a normal country after the Cold War. Alas
The Resilience Dilemma
In this week’s Europe Dispatch, Minna Ålander reflects on the fact that deterrence by resilience clearly does not work.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Hallendorff
cerianbond.bsky.social
Like most of us, I probably call too much 'must-read'. This, however, really is must-read, from @tashecon.bsky.social @cepa.org. I've said for a long time that Europe can't afford to let Ukraine lose; now the financial costs of giving too little help earlier are soaring: cepa.org/article/ukra...
Ukraine: The Coming Storm
Ukraine must be properly financed by Europe or unthinkable consequences will follow. Decision-time is fast approaching.
cepa.org
Reposted by Hallendorff
Reposted by Hallendorff
foreignaffairs.com
“There is a seeming logic behind Trump’s decision to turn away from democratic states and toward dictatorial ones: a desire to establish three spheres of influence that encompass most of the world,” writes Phillips O’Brien.
How to Build a Post-American Liberal Order
The world’s democracies must work together—and constrain Washington.
www.foreignaffairs.com
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phillipspobrien.bsky.social
Latest article for @ForeignAffairs The US can no longer be considered a friend of democracy, as such the existing democratic states need to think strategically about protecting themselves and even starting a fightback. There is no point in pretending everything will be ok.
foreignaffairs.com
“There is a seeming logic behind Trump’s decision to turn away from democratic states and toward dictatorial ones: a desire to establish three spheres of influence that encompass most of the world,” writes Phillips O’Brien.
How to Build a Post-American Liberal Order
The world’s democracies must work together—and constrain Washington.
www.foreignaffairs.com
Reposted by Hallendorff
radiofreetom.bsky.social
Will ICE send guys to Boston looking for red hair and listening for brogues? Or stake out delis in Chicago to see who buys a kielbasa?
No. This is about profiling people by skin color and language.

www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/...
The Government Wants to See Your Papers
And the Supreme Court decides that the Fourth Amendment might not be for everyone.
www.theatlantic.com
Reposted by Hallendorff
Reposted by Hallendorff
alanderminna.bsky.social
First the EU delegation in Kyiv hit and now this.

It would be a great timing to say enough is enough and for Europe to deploy into Ukraine.
Reposted by Hallendorff
nytimes.com
The way that housing co-ops work in Switzerland may seem foreign to many. But the central idea is simple: What if homeownership had no profit motive and no capital gains? Advocates say their model could reshape how the world thinks about affordable housing. www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/r...
An apartment complex. A headline reads: "Did Switzerland Solve The Housing Crisis?"
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alanderminna.bsky.social
Just published a wholesome weekend read, taking stock of the ever-ongoing bilateral competition between Finland and Sweden. Including my personal score !

Jokes aside though - should Finland and Sweden reunite ?
Should Finland and Sweden reunite?
The ever-deteriorating state of world affairs has prompted the Nordic countries to set aside their sibling rivalry and start thinking about a reunion.
open.substack.com
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alanderminna.bsky.social
”Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has led to any number of unintended consequences, but none so quick and profound as the consolidation of the Nordic and Baltic regions under the NATO umbrella.

The Nordic and Baltic states have also been the most enthusiastic supporters of Ukraine.”
The Farther East One Goes in Europe, the More ‘West’ One Winds Up
Nordic and Baltic states are driving the continent toward a more robust engagement on Ukraine amid apprehension over Trump’s dance with Putin
newlinesmag.com
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cfiesler.bsky.social
So I’ve been thinking a lot about AI use by students re: the importance of learning how to do a thing before you let AI help you with that thing. And then I came across this new paper about de-skilling in a medical context. :-/
Important discussion. Without discipline, there is a significant risk of both automation complacency and/ deskilling for the human and degenerative impact on the AI tools. The former due to lack of practice/complacency, the latter due to degenerating quality of practice data (due to the former).
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gylesnamopaleen.bsky.social
Interesting article by @alanderminna.bsky.social‬ noting how far forward the EU has moved recently, over the war with Russia, including defence strategies & alliances with Indo-Pacific partners and UK.

And we have the retreating USA to thank for it!

1/3
title of article: "Where is Europe's ability to defend itself as America pulls back? Actually, it's doing better than you might think."

https://europeancorrespondent.com/en/r/europe-fills-the-void
Reposted by Hallendorff
alanderminna.bsky.social
I kicked off the @eurcorrespond.bsky.social defence desk today with an article taking stock of where Europe stands 6 months after JD Vance came to Munich and declared culture war on Europe.

The placating strategy to deal with Trump obfuscates that in fact, Europe has moved a lot.
Europe fills the void | The European Correspondent
europeancorrespondent.com
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petebuttigieg.bsky.social
The President sees a bad jobs report, and responds by getting rid of the person in charge of the statistics. This is how America becomes a third-rate country.
Reposted by Hallendorff
bartenderhemry.bsky.social
It's a bizarre and frankly alienating feeling realizing that if you know the basic fact that the murder rate has gone down significantly since 1990 you're in the ~90th+ percentile of fact-knowers
jeffasher.bsky.social
Once again, Gen X is super wrong, but they're confidently wrong.
Reposted by Hallendorff
jeffasher.bsky.social
Once again, Gen X is super wrong, but they're confidently wrong.
Reposted by Hallendorff
jeffasher.bsky.social
This @today.yougov.com poll is why I'm going to become the Joker.

The US murder rate in 2024 was likely down nearly 30 percent relative to 2020 and down nearly 50 percent relative to 1990.
Reposted by Hallendorff
alanderminna.bsky.social
This week in the Europe Dispatch with @phillipspobrien.bsky.social I look at the question of what matters more, optics or reality.

The EU-US trade deal was a great example of very bad optics of a partial nothingburger. In any case, the EU accepted a new economic reality where old rules don’t apply.
Optics vs Reality
In a Trumpian world, optics matter more than reality – but Europe still needs to deal with the reality as well, Minna Ålander writes in the Europe Dispatch.
open.substack.com