Holly Day
@hollyday1993.bsky.social
Social researcher, Ipsos (Manchester).
City fan, pollster, quizzer, sports enthusiast
City fan, pollster, quizzer, sports enthusiast
Turquoise tide*? (*With all of the contextual caveats associated with these locals)
May 2, 2025 at 3:53 PM
Turquoise tide*? (*With all of the contextual caveats associated with these locals)
Reform gaining across the North, South, East and West of England with significant swings
✔️1st by-election victory
✔️1st mayorality
✔️1st (and the rest) County Council control
They'll now face the test of delivery and accountability on key public services for voters
✔️1st by-election victory
✔️1st mayorality
✔️1st (and the rest) County Council control
They'll now face the test of delivery and accountability on key public services for voters
May 2, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Reform gaining across the North, South, East and West of England with significant swings
✔️1st by-election victory
✔️1st mayorality
✔️1st (and the rest) County Council control
They'll now face the test of delivery and accountability on key public services for voters
✔️1st by-election victory
✔️1st mayorality
✔️1st (and the rest) County Council control
They'll now face the test of delivery and accountability on key public services for voters
📉Wow. As reported by BBC, lowest ever combined Projected National Share for Con/Lab, and individual low points for both parties too.
How will party leaders respond and react once the dust settles?
How will party leaders respond and react once the dust settles?
BBC PROJECTED NATIONAL SHARES:
Reform 30
Lab 20
Lib Dem 17
Cons 15
Greens 11
Oth 7
Reform's 30 is best ever for a third party, exceeding high water mark of LDs in mid 2000s. Cons 15 (and 4th) worst ever. Lab 20 joint worst ever.
Reform 30
Lab 20
Lib Dem 17
Cons 15
Greens 11
Oth 7
Reform's 30 is best ever for a third party, exceeding high water mark of LDs in mid 2000s. Cons 15 (and 4th) worst ever. Lab 20 joint worst ever.
May 2, 2025 at 3:50 PM
📉Wow. As reported by BBC, lowest ever combined Projected National Share for Con/Lab, and individual low points for both parties too.
How will party leaders respond and react once the dust settles?
How will party leaders respond and react once the dust settles?
Conservatives and Labour are losing most heavily where they performed well previously, leading to big Reform gains.
Professor Sir John Curtice: "Cons vote down 36pts on avg in wards where their vote was more than 65% in 2021. Labour down 22pts on avg in wards where they won more than 40% in 2021".
Professor Sir John Curtice: "Cons vote down 36pts on avg in wards where their vote was more than 65% in 2021. Labour down 22pts on avg in wards where they won more than 40% in 2021".
May 2, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Conservatives and Labour are losing most heavily where they performed well previously, leading to big Reform gains.
Professor Sir John Curtice: "Cons vote down 36pts on avg in wards where their vote was more than 65% in 2021. Labour down 22pts on avg in wards where they won more than 40% in 2021".
Professor Sir John Curtice: "Cons vote down 36pts on avg in wards where their vote was more than 65% in 2021. Labour down 22pts on avg in wards where they won more than 40% in 2021".
🎙️NEW Political Press Box: I joined @iansilvera.bsky.social to discuss:
📉How does @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling work?
📊How are politicians faring in the polls?
⚖️What issues matter?
📚Is education an important cleavage?
🗳️And what to look out for in the Local Elections👇
pod.link/1743479757/e...
📉How does @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling work?
📊How are politicians faring in the polls?
⚖️What issues matter?
📚Is education an important cleavage?
🗳️And what to look out for in the Local Elections👇
pod.link/1743479757/e...
The Political Press Box
A conversation with journalists, pollsters and academics about politics and the media. Hosted by Ian Silvera, editor of Tech, Power & Media, the podcast aims to provide a behind-the-scenes glimpse int...
pod.link
April 23, 2025 at 11:25 AM
🎙️NEW Political Press Box: I joined @iansilvera.bsky.social to discuss:
📉How does @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling work?
📊How are politicians faring in the polls?
⚖️What issues matter?
📚Is education an important cleavage?
🗳️And what to look out for in the Local Elections👇
pod.link/1743479757/e...
📉How does @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling work?
📊How are politicians faring in the polls?
⚖️What issues matter?
📚Is education an important cleavage?
🗳️And what to look out for in the Local Elections👇
pod.link/1743479757/e...
Timely that I wrote an article for @theipaper.com a week or so ago on this very subject!
A pact or merger could prove challenging for both parties given @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows there is not much love lost between these two voting coalitions inews.co.uk/opinion/poll...
A pact or merger could prove challenging for both parties given @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows there is not much love lost between these two voting coalitions inews.co.uk/opinion/poll...
April 23, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Timely that I wrote an article for @theipaper.com a week or so ago on this very subject!
A pact or merger could prove challenging for both parties given @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows there is not much love lost between these two voting coalitions inews.co.uk/opinion/poll...
A pact or merger could prove challenging for both parties given @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social polling shows there is not much love lost between these two voting coalitions inews.co.uk/opinion/poll...
Reposted by Holly Day
Substantial shift in British public opinion towards the US
Only 3 in 10 Britons now agree there is currently a 'special relationship' between the US and UK - a 17-point drop from May 2024.
(1)
Only 3 in 10 Britons now agree there is currently a 'special relationship' between the US and UK - a 17-point drop from May 2024.
(1)
April 9, 2025 at 10:12 AM
Substantial shift in British public opinion towards the US
Only 3 in 10 Britons now agree there is currently a 'special relationship' between the US and UK - a 17-point drop from May 2024.
(1)
Only 3 in 10 Britons now agree there is currently a 'special relationship' between the US and UK - a 17-point drop from May 2024.
(1)
🚨NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Economic concern and cost of living worries impacted by tariffs:
📉2 in 3 think that tariffs will have a negative impact on the UK economy
🪙2 in 5 think they'll negatively impact personal finances.
Full dataset and write up here: www.ipsos.com/en-uk/propor...
Economic concern and cost of living worries impacted by tariffs:
📉2 in 3 think that tariffs will have a negative impact on the UK economy
🪙2 in 5 think they'll negatively impact personal finances.
Full dataset and write up here: www.ipsos.com/en-uk/propor...
The proportion of Britons saying there isn’t a “special relationship” with the US doubles in one year amidst concern over tariffs
Only three in ten (30%) Britons now agree there is a "special relationship" between the US and UK - a significant 17-point drop from previous year.
www.ipsos.com
April 9, 2025 at 3:12 PM
🚨NEW from @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social
Economic concern and cost of living worries impacted by tariffs:
📉2 in 3 think that tariffs will have a negative impact on the UK economy
🪙2 in 5 think they'll negatively impact personal finances.
Full dataset and write up here: www.ipsos.com/en-uk/propor...
Economic concern and cost of living worries impacted by tariffs:
📉2 in 3 think that tariffs will have a negative impact on the UK economy
🪙2 in 5 think they'll negatively impact personal finances.
Full dataset and write up here: www.ipsos.com/en-uk/propor...
With local elections fast approaching, I've written for @theipaper.com on the prospect of a future Reform/Conservative merger (using @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data.
Voters aren't chess pieces but could the right unite to prevent a second Labour term? t.co/RumEfdqnzN
Voters aren't chess pieces but could the right unite to prevent a second Labour term? t.co/RumEfdqnzN
https://inews.co.uk/opinion/polling-expert-tories-lose-millions-votes-team-up-reform-3621348
t.co
April 9, 2025 at 12:53 PM
With local elections fast approaching, I've written for @theipaper.com on the prospect of a future Reform/Conservative merger (using @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social data.
Voters aren't chess pieces but could the right unite to prevent a second Labour term? t.co/RumEfdqnzN
Voters aren't chess pieces but could the right unite to prevent a second Labour term? t.co/RumEfdqnzN
🪩Back by popular demand after a busy news week last week, I'll be revealing all at 3:15pm on BBC Radio 5 Live with Matt Chorley, featuring a little light-hearted Ipsos UK polling💃
🪩The BBC Strictly Come Dancing 20th anniversary series is in full swing, but how do the public think politicians would fare?
Mixed track record previously…tune into BBC Radio 5 Live shortly with Matt Chorley to hear some exclusive Ipsos UK
polling from me! 💃
Mixed track record previously…tune into BBC Radio 5 Live shortly with Matt Chorley to hear some exclusive Ipsos UK
polling from me! 💃
October 4, 2024 at 1:07 PM
🪩Back by popular demand after a busy news week last week, I'll be revealing all at 3:15pm on BBC Radio 5 Live with Matt Chorley, featuring a little light-hearted Ipsos UK polling💃
Reposted by Holly Day
Check out the latest Ipsos Politics Talk podcast where myself @hollyday1993.bsky.social and @stephenkb.bsky.social take a deep dive look at the numbers youtu.be/w-p_Clywtl0?...
Ipsos UK Podcast: Politics Talk - Stephen Bush on Starmer's falling ratings and Labour conference
YouTube video by Ipsos UK
youtu.be
September 20, 2024 at 11:04 AM
Check out the latest Ipsos Politics Talk podcast where myself @hollyday1993.bsky.social and @stephenkb.bsky.social take a deep dive look at the numbers youtu.be/w-p_Clywtl0?...
🪩The BBC Strictly Come Dancing 20th anniversary series is in full swing, but how do the public think politicians would fare?
Mixed track record previously…tune into BBC Radio 5 Live shortly with Matt Chorley to hear some exclusive Ipsos UK
polling from me! 💃
Mixed track record previously…tune into BBC Radio 5 Live shortly with Matt Chorley to hear some exclusive Ipsos UK
polling from me! 💃
September 27, 2024 at 1:32 PM
🪩The BBC Strictly Come Dancing 20th anniversary series is in full swing, but how do the public think politicians would fare?
Mixed track record previously…tune into BBC Radio 5 Live shortly with Matt Chorley to hear some exclusive Ipsos UK
polling from me! 💃
Mixed track record previously…tune into BBC Radio 5 Live shortly with Matt Chorley to hear some exclusive Ipsos UK
polling from me! 💃