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AEA Information @aeainformation.bsky.social · Apr 22

Congratulations to Stefanie Stantcheva (@s-stantcheva.bsky.social) of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2025 John Bates Clark Medal! #econsky www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

Stefanie Stantcheva, Clark Medalist 2025

www.aeaweb.org

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Mar 26

It managed to get the details better when asked to fix the awkward elements, though it looks much less like me

Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Mar 26

It's not perfect, but I'm pretty impressed at 4o's first take of me posing at a beach with a beach ball (same shirt as in the reference photo).

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Robert Shrimsley @robertshrimsley.bsky.social · Feb 26

Democracy dies in deference

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Feb 12

I'm surprised you're not a fan. Overleaf allows for a *so much more* dynamic workflow than Word. Manually typing point values and p-values in a draft instead of using macros is almost guaranteed to produce errors (and lots of frustration).

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Feb 10

Agree!

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Feb 9

I don't think one is "better" than the other, traditional labs have many problems too. Plain vanilla experiments using convenience samples from "online labor markets" might become less relevant, but those are only a small subset of the broader category of online experiments

Paolo Crosetto @paolocrosetto.bsky.social · Feb 8

Very good reanalysis, that I hope opens a debate also on *lab* vs *online* experiments.

I strongly believe that labs are overall better.

I also think that labs will be *the only* real option going forward, the surge of AI-powered bots or simply subjects using AI to reply being inevitable.

George Wu @geowu.bsky.social · Feb 7

A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN.

The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.

The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Feb 8

Yes, in general, if you want to engineer a null, just make the experiment complicated

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European Research Council (ERC) @erc.europa.eu · Feb 7

Hello, Bluesky! ☀️

We fund frontier research in Europe—bold ideas, unexpected discoveries and science that shapes the future. So it’s only fitting we’ve landed here. Sorry for being late.

Follow us for updates on ERC funding, research policy, and our grantees' discoveries.

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Eric Topol @erictopol.bsky.social · Feb 4

New: The largest medical A.I. randomized controlled trial yet performed, enrolling >100,000 women undergoing mammography screening
The use of AI led to 29% higher detection of cancer, no increase of false positives, and reduced workload compared with radiologists w/o AI thelancet.com/journals/lan...

Screening performance and characteristics of breast cancer detected in the Mammography Screening with Artificial Intelligence trial (MASAI): a randomised, controlled, parallel-group, non-inferiority, ...

The findings suggest that AI contributes to the early detection of clinically relevant breast cancer and reduces screen-reading workload without increasing false positives.

thelancet.com

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Kevin A. Bryan @afinetheorem.bsky.social · Feb 3

The new OpenAI model announced today is quite wild. It is essentially Google's Deep Research idea with multistep reasoning, web search, *and* the o3 model underneath (as far as I know). It sometimes takes a half hour to answer. Let me show you an example. 1/x

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 29

I find it funny how these amateurs at OpenAI are basically begging us, their paying subscribers, to test out the competition, especially when the competition is *free* with *unlimited requests*

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 21

In my BSc course, "Incentives, Politics, and Behavior," I am introducing students to interesting topics at the research frontier and making them think critically about causal identification. Today, we're doing "From Extreme to Mainstream: The Erosion of Social Norms," which feels almost too relevant

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 17

After you've been "used" to o1, 4o feels like a degraded experience. It's much more *intelligent*: better answers, asks for clarifications when needed, and follows instructions. It might be overkill for some tasks, but I've started getting annoyed when I'm out of o1 requests

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 16

An interesting aspect of o1 vs. 4o is that the former *really* pays attention to your custom instructions, whereas 4o mostly doesn't care. Ask for short, pointed responses and o1 will deliver; 4o mostly doesn't notice. Important to change "legacy" instructions created for 4o

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 15

Priceless take

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Anders Kjelsrud @anderskjelsrud.bsky.social · Jan 7

**New working paper**

How does the under-representation of females in Economics affect the career trajectory of female Ph.D. students?

Sahar Parsa and I look at this in a new working paper by exploring sabbatical leaves taken by female professors at top-50 US Econ departments.

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Stefanie Stantcheva @s-stantcheva.bsky.social · Jan 7

How can open-ended survey questions reveal deeper insights into economic behavior? Our completely revised paper (with new title!) explores recent developments, practical applications & best practices for designing & analyzing these powerful questions. Read more socialeconomicslab.org/research/wor...

Understanding Economic Behavior Using Open-ended Survey Data - Social Economics Lab

We survey the recent literature in economics measuring what is on top of people’s minds using open-ended questions. We first provide an overview of studies in political economy, macroeconomics, financ...

socialeconomicslab.org

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Aaron Parnas @aaronparnas.bsky.social · Jan 4

Jeff Bezos never wanted this cartoon to become public.

He killed it, and as a result, pulitzer prize editorial cartoonist Ann Telnaes quit.

Make sure everyone sees this cartoon.

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 5

Congrats 🎉

Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Jan 3

You can just make a public version of your Overleaf document instead

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Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦 @stephenvaisey.com · Jan 2

Want to add a few questions to the General Social Survey? The 2026 module competition is open now! gss.norc.org/content/dam/...

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Sam Hirshman @hirshmansam.bsky.social · Dec 27

New paper: We combine evidence from a survey (correlational), bank spending data, and online experiments to show that job loss increases risk taking.

Joint work with @abbysussman.bsky.social, Carlos Vazquez-Hernandez, Daniel O'Leary, and Jennifer Trueblood

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences @pnas.org · Dec 27

Job loss increases financial risk-taking. People who lost their jobs during the pandemic were more likely to gamble and purchase more lottery tickets, on average, than people who had not lost their jobs. In PNAS: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Results from a cross-sectional survey showing the self-reported number of lottery tickets purchased.

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Ethan Mollick @emollick.bsky.social · Dec 22

Bluesky can be a fraught place to post about AI but it is worth noting that the buzz over o1 (& now o3) is not “hype.” We know o1 can actually do some very hard tasks (see my post) & o3 appears to represent a big further leap.

They aren’t AGI, but will matter. www.oneusefulthing.org/p/what-just-...

What just happened

A transformative month rewrites the capabilities of AI

www.oneusefulthing.org

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Ingar Haaland @ihaal.bsky.social · Dec 21

Alex, you aren't on the free tier?

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