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Andrew Sinclair

@jandrewsinclair.bsky.social

4.3K followers 7.5K following 2.2K posts

Ast. Prof. of Gov't, Claremont McKenna College. Interested in political reform, public policy process, public administration, electoral institutions, and political behavior. Polling at the Rose Institute of State and Local Government.

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 8d

A theory. Everyone who cares about politics on bluesky ALSO needs to make a habit out of posting about their other interests and hobbies. Making bluesky work for many communities of interest will increase the political reach of the experts here.

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 5h

It looks like fun work! But very muddy!

Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Adam Rothman enjoys a good sandwich @adamrothman.bsky.social · 1d

One guest, a retired major general, was asked about Hegseth's dismissal of the rules of engagement. He answered: "The words the president and secretary of defense are those of potential war criminals."

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 5h

That's a really impressive photo, even in the highly competitive #HillfortsWednesday category!

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 5h

I like that #HillfortsWednesday is a thing.

Jon Hawke @archaeohawke.bsky.social · 6h

#HillfortsWednesday
Old Sarum was an Iron Age #Hillfort constructed around 400 BC during the Iron Age by creating enormous banks and ditches surrounding the hill.

The site was then used by the #Romans, who called it Sorviodunum

#Archaeology

📷 (Historic England Photo Library

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 6h

Beautiful place.

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 6h

“He has kept among us, in times of peace, Standing Armies without the Consent of our legislatures. He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power.”

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 6h

It’s the Rainbow Unicorn Rebellion! Quick, get an Abrams tank! We need to shoot and scoot before this dangerous character gets our brave (appropriately groomed) men!

Courtney Vaughn @courtneyvaughn.bsky.social · 9h

Streets are still closed off in front of the Portland ICE facility at 8:30pm. Protesters have gathered on a side street. Dance party in progress.

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 8h

lynnechester cathedral 🎶🗽 @lynnh1.bsky.social · 9h

Wow. Pam Bondi brought attack notes to the hearing today. Reuters photographer Jonathan Ernst captured them in these stunning photos that show her plan entire time was to try to smear Democratic senators — not provide actual information.

Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 10h

The First Amendment explicitly guarantees:

-the right of the people peaceably to assemble
-to petition the Government for a redress of grievances
-the free exercise of religion
-freedom of speech

If this priest had also been press, ICE would have violated all five 1A freedoms at once.

Kurt @flglchicago.bsky.social · 12h

Here’s video of the incident

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 10h

Phew! That was a long parliament!

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 10h

Making English Civil War Historians Great Again?

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 10h

John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social · 10h

Um, ICE just coldly shot an unarmed PRIEST in the head w a pepper ball when he (and everyone around him) clearly posed no threat.

For the crime of … complaining about government policy.

Core 1A speech.

With cameras rolling, they’re sniping priests for sport.

Kurt @flglchicago.bsky.social · 12h

Here’s video of the incident

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 12h

Hard to poll, though.

Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 13h

Cook Political poll find Prop 50 up 50% to 34% among registered voters in California: www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/hou...

Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Tiago Ventura @tiagoventura.bsky.social · 18h

How common are “survey professionals” - people who take dozens of online surveys for pay - across online panels, and do they harm data quality?

Our paper, FirstView at @politicalanalysis.bsky.social, tackles this question using browsing data from three U.S. samples (Facebook, YouGov, and Lucid):

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 19h

Really cool all the same!

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 19h

Have you thought about creating an injury-weighted version of the graph? So to adjust for who is currently available, as injuries add up?

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 19h

The #Broncos have been really fun to watch for this. —>

Ben Baldwin @rbsdm.com · 20h

Pass protection as measured by two independent sources

People keep telling me the Seahawks have much better pass protection than the Raiders and....no

Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Ben Baldwin @rbsdm.com · 20h

How often teams are calling pass plays on early downs when the game is close

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 19h

Lions. Lolz.

Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 19h

These are amazing, by the way. (From one plot-maker to another.)

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 19h

If you are interested in the #NFL — these are great graphs. I particularly like the logo-plot. Great design detail. A+

Ben Baldwin @rbsdm.com · 20h

Week 5 NFL Tiers

Weekly "Colts??" question

Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Steve Vladeck @stevevladeck.bsky.social · 1d

The federal government does and should have the authority to deploy troops into our cities—even without local consent—*when the circumstances actually warrant it.*

In @nytopinion.nytimes.com, me on why the real issue in Portland, Chicago, and elsewhere is the missing / contrived factual predicate:

Opinion | No, Trump Can’t Deploy Troops to Wherever He Wants

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 1d

"Forty-five percent" of US construction firms "report experiencing project delays due to shortages of their own, or subcontractors' workers."

A growing economic debacle. It does not have to be this way. Wise and visionary public policy can channel migration into lawful, orderly pathways.

Construction Workforce Shortages Are Leading Cause Of Project Delays As Immigration Enforcement Affects Nearly 1/3 Of Firms

92 Percent of Construction Firms Report Having a Hard Time Finding Workers to Hire, As 45 Percent of Firms Say Labor Shortages are Causing Project Delays, New Nationwide Industry Survey Finds

www.agc.org

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Reposted by Andrew Sinclair

Robert Mackey @robertmackey.bsky.social · 1d

The Oregon Republican Party tried to help Donald Trump make the case for military intervention in Portland with an image of a fiery protest — but since Portland is calm, they had to fabricate one by merging old photos of police in Ecuador and protesters in Brazil www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

Republicans post fake image of Oregon protest – using photos of South America

A federal judge had blocked Trump’s request to deploy California national guard to Portland

www.theguardian.com

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Andrew Sinclair @jandrewsinclair.bsky.social · 1d

At this rate, the #Broncos really might win the AFC West. On the schedule they have winnable games vs Jets, Giants, Raiders x2. Even splitting the remaining games with the high-quality teams—they’ll have a decent record, and the #chiefs and #chargers are good but clearly not invincible.