Kate Alexander-Shaw
@katealexandershaw.bsky.social
300 followers 380 following 23 posts
Political economist at LSE European Institute. Reports and Surveys co-editor at Political Quarterly. Into narrative, economic ideas and the comparative politics of crisis. Views all mine
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Reposted by Kate Alexander-Shaw
samfr.bsky.social
I just have no idea who the Tories think the audience is for full bore authoritarianism plus austerity. Very few who want the former want the latter.
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
A must-read this morning - JRF's @alfie-stirling.bsky.social on the crisis in UK living standards, and how politicians can (and must) respond
alfie-stirling.bsky.social
The latest OBR forecasts suggest the average family may end the current parliament financially worse off than they were at the start.

That's unlikely to be a survivable record to defend at the ballot box, but there may be a way to turn it around.

New piece from me for Political Quarterly.
Before the Boil: Addressing the UK's Living Standards Crisis
The UK faces a crisis in living standards. The current outlook for real disposable incomes is unprecedented, including rising inequality and the risk of a first parliament on record where the average...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Excellent from @dandrezner.bsky.social on Wall Street's under-reaction to Trump's erratic economic policies: "in this scenario, markets are not leading indicators but lagging indicators of how government policy affects the real economy"
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
I’m reminded of Andrew Marr’s observation that when a headline contains a question, the answer is nearly always ‘no’
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Side note: the new crop of undergrads were born in 2006-07, so teaching this stuff means finding ways to bring the pre-crisis era to life, for a generation who haven't seen either the politics or the economy be better
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
The political economy of the 2020s can all be traced back to the 2008 financial crisis - discuss
samfr.bsky.social
New post just out:

"The financial crisis theory of everything"

Why the 2008 crash was the WW1 of our generation that led to nearly all of the problems we have today - from the rise of the radical right to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

(£/free trial)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
The financial crisis theory of everything
Last month there was a fascinating poll from More in Common asking people to pick the main reason Britain is “on the wrong track”.
open.substack.com
Reposted by Kate Alexander-Shaw
samfr.bsky.social
New post just out:

"The Great VAT Panic"

The claims made by the right-wing press about VAT on private school fees were wildly wrong.

Why? What are the lessons about about (how not to) run a lobbying campaign? And what can government learn?

(£/free)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...
The Great VAT Panic
Or how not to run a campaign
open.substack.com
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Me: let’s take the kids travelling, I want them to be citizens of the world

Also me: pack the good teabags, while there is breath in my body I will not entertain Lipton Yellow Label
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
This thread is a masterpiece - chapeau, Zbig 😂
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
One additional observation: a process this dysfunctional burns so much goodwill between HMT officials and their departmental oppos. Once the dust settles you spend the next year trying to rebuild relationships and then do it all again
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Essential reading for Whitehall nerds. I worked on SR2004 and it was exactly this bonkers, and that's when there was lots of money in the system
samfr.bsky.social
Had so many messages from people across Whitehall this week saying this spending review has been exactly as set out in this post...
samfr.bsky.social
New post just out:

"What spending reviews are like from the inside"

I explain how demented they are.

And why this is the hardest one there's been so far.

(£/free trial)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/w...
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
📢 Coming this Wednesday - the next in this online series, with Quinn Slobodian. Really looking forward to this one - do sign up if you haven't already
vapunkt.bsky.social
‼️Save the date: Wednesday 4th of June we'll have Quinn Slobodian talk about his work at our @psabcpe.bsky.social online seminar series - sign up and share widely‼️
Reposted by Kate Alexander-Shaw
robertsaunders.bsky.social
Starmer doesn't seem to realise that, if you consistently accept the way your opponents frame a question, you'll find it hard to reject the answers that they give.

If you keep telling voters that Farage is right in his analysis, it will be hard to persuade them that he's wrong in his prescriptions.
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
If the renewable fuel of your politics is keeping people angry, your main goal is not to make things better; it's to win the blame game over why they are bad
ronfilipkowski.bsky.social
As the stock market continues to tank because of Trump’s policies, he blames Fed Chair Powell today, calling him “a major loser.”
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
This initial wrecking phase may dismantle federal agencies, but I suspect next phase replaces them with privately-owned firms delivering what used to be public functions (thinking here of Brett Christophers' chapter on contract rents in the UK). So macro impact may be reduced, but social impact...
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
"The electorate needs to believe that Labour is governing in pursuit of a shared purpose, not simply governing because it won." Good stuff from @craigpberry.bsky.social
Reposted by Kate Alexander-Shaw
theatlantic.com
The Constitution is clear that Donald Trump cannot run for a third term as president, Jonathan Chait writes. "But as Trump has repeatedly demonstrated, questions of the law and the Constitution ultimately reduce to power struggles."
Why Trump Says He’s ‘Not Joking’ About a Third Term
The prospect of smashing imagined limits on his power gives him an obvious thrill.
www.theatlantic.com
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Really thought-provoking, especially on whether Trump’s kick-over-the-sandcastles economic strategy is a paradigm shift or just a mess
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Really excellent seminar series coming up - first session tomorrow!
vapunkt.bsky.social
📢 Next week is our first seminar of the @psabcpe.bsky.social online series with fantastic @ankehassel.bsky.social talking about Growth Strategies And Welfare Reforms: How Nations Cope With Economic Transitions💡Please sign up 💻 & share widely ‼️
katealexandershaw.bsky.social
Congrats to all three of you!