Lauren Gilbert
lgilbert.co
Lauren Gilbert
@lgilbert.co
researcher, writer, projects georg. currently: horizon scanning @ renaissance philanthropy; writer, laurenpolicy.com. formerly: open phil, qi, ucsd, caltech, etc.
so an idea I’ve seen floated around EA land is that you only get the swag after you’ve donated $5k, so you get a prestige signal

also I think I’ve donated $5k 😂
November 28, 2025 at 7:18 PM
no @malengo.org swag yet; @richardnerland.bsky.social, can you get on that?
November 28, 2025 at 5:49 PM
well reform is arguing there are too many immigrants
November 27, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
I've put some details in here. NB since this was written it's become clear that my figures are an overestimate because of:

1. More UK nationals emigrating than realised.
2. Work visa applications falling faster than expected.
3. The ILR policy being much harsher.

ukandeu.ac.uk/the-coming-c...
The coming collapse in immigration to the United Kingdom - UK in a changing Europe
James Bowes analyses the fall in net migration to the UK as a result of government policies and explores some of the political and economic consequences.
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 27, 2025 at 5:17 PM
the key here is to use the foe. The foe is a unit that is ten to the Fifty One Ergs (foe). 😂
November 18, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
And this from @lgilbert.co explains why these reductions will damage the public finances (3/3)

ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 18, 2025 at 12:32 PM
Reposted by Lauren Gilbert
"Migrants are also likely to be net fiscal contributors. Far from draining our welfare system, migrants are supporting the British state’s solvency."

While @lgilbert.co also argues that a collapse in immigration will harm the UK’s economic prospects

ukandeu.ac.uk/lower-migrat...
Lower migration is bad news for the UK economy - UK in a changing Europe
Lauren Gilbert argues that migrants to the UK are net fiscal contributors, adding much more to the economy than they take out, and that the recent collapse in immigration will harm the UK's economic p...
ukandeu.ac.uk
November 17, 2025 at 10:47 AM
I see you are the person who wants to commission the favorite child piece. 😂
November 8, 2025 at 6:43 AM
Oh, yes, those numbers! Those I did review. I crib shamelessly from the Migration Observatory.
November 6, 2025 at 7:12 PM
Do you have a source for this? (Not questioning; the post I linked is part of a living lit review so the plan is to update ~yearly with new info that has come out / I've found since the post was released.)
November 6, 2025 at 6:38 PM
Honestly, I'm surprised it was as high as 55%, since it's often around 60% stay long-term and I'd expect lower-than-usual stay rates within EU given free movement.
November 6, 2025 at 6:16 PM