Liran Harsgor
@liranharsgor.bsky.social
690 followers 580 following 69 posts
Senior Lecturer l University of Haifa Political behavior, electoral politics, generational gaps, gender and politics, Israeli politics https://liran.harsgor.com/
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Reposted by Liran Harsgor
ortuttnauer.com
🚨New #polisky publication 🚨
In @ejprjournal.bsky.social, Reut Itzkovitch-Malka, @liranharsgor.bsky.social and I ask: when do voters back a party that's not their top pick, but has a real shot at being the the next PM's party?
The answer is a mix of preferences, expectations, and uncertainty

1/4
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
The effect of formateur expectations on vote choice: A comparative analysis
www.cambridge.org
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Do voters strategically attempt to affect the identity of the next prime minister?
In a new paper at @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we show they do!
Using @cses.bsky.social and German surveys, we find when and how "formateur optimization" is more likely to occur
@ortuttnauer.com
doi.org/10.1017/S147...
liranharsgor.bsky.social
I wish you could be there! ❤️
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Looking forward to have your submissions of gender-related papers to our section on elections, parties and voters at the #ECPG26.
Deadline: November 7
💪
ecpr.bsky.social
🌸 #ECPG26 @ecprgender.bsky.social Section seeking Panels and Papers ⤵️
✍️ Elections, Parties and Voters
🪑@cerifowler.bsky.social @liranharsgor.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social @jess-smith.bsky.social, Rosalind Shorrocks (@ox.ac.uk)
⌛👇 7 Nov

#Elections #Gendersky #PoliticalParties
Elections, Parties and Voters
European Conference on Politics and Gender, Newcastle University, 15 – 17 June 2026
buff.ly
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
bjpols.bsky.social
#OpenAccess from July 2025 -

Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV

- ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
cerifowler.bsky.social
Delighted to say I'm chairing a section at ECPG 2026 with @jess-smith.bsky.social @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social @gefjonoff.bsky.social and @liranharsgor.bsky.social on Elections, Parties, and Voters! Please send your abstracts in - full info here: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... @ecprgender.bsky.social
liranharsgor.bsky.social
My 12yo in the protests today, calling for a deal for the release of the hostages and ending the war in Gaza. I'm so proud of her.
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
avishaybsg.bsky.social
Peacemaking public sentiment can be bootstrapped. Evidence from a hopeful study by @liranharsgor.bsky.social and @ayakter.bsky.social
ayakter.bsky.social
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV

"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"

- ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
ayakter.bsky.social
The Oct 7 events & heartbreaking devastation in Gaza have deepened pessimism in the region. While it’s hard to imagine a way out now, our new @bjpols.bsky.social letter (w/ @liranharsgor.bsky.social) reaffirms that improving expectations for an agreement could raise support for compromises ▶️🧵1/10
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV

"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"

- ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Disentangling the Relationship Between Prospective Expectations and Policy Preferences in Violent Conflicts - cup.org/3IUnTrV

"...changes in prospective expectations do predict subsequent shifts in support for compromise"

- ‪@ayakter.bsky.social & @liranharsgor.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the importance of compromise in conflict resolution, analyzing data from Israel and two exogenous shocks over decades.
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
mbarnfield.bsky.social
I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies.

OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
Title page of article "Electoral Hope" in journal Political Studies.
liranharsgor.bsky.social
חובבת גדולה של שלמה ארצי. אנשים תמיד מתפלאים
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Yesterday I presented a new paper with Maria Grasso and @rosieshorrocks.bsky.social at #EPSA25 in the beautiful (and hot) city of Madrid.
Great panel, lovely place, and nice people around.
See you next year at EPSS!
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Thanks for sharing! I just presented the exit polls based graph in my presentation yesterday. This provides a better picture of the results
Reposted by Liran Harsgor
epssnet.bsky.social
🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Delighted to organize and chair this panel tomorrow. Promising research on cohorts, voting for radical right parties and satisfaction with democracy, with some really fascinating findings.

ecpr.eu/Events/Event...
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Thanks Maria! It was a pleasure having you in the workshop ☺️
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Ah, director's duty calls!
liranharsgor.bsky.social
While I was in the bathroom 😉
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Back to London after four days full of inspiring discussions on gender and generational gaps (and lots of coffee...)
Thank you to all the participants! It's been a pleasure directing this workshop 🤓

#ecprjs25
@ecpr.bsky.social
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Having a paper accepted to @bjpols.bsky.social while in London is a perfect match 🎉
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Summarizing Israeli politics in 2024 feels less like covering a year and more like telling the story of a decade, just in fast forward...
@roizur.bsky.social
liranharsgor.bsky.social
Party switching is one of the most impactful things MKs do, sometimes reshaping Israeli politics (hi Idit Silman).
Csaba Nikolenyi's book dives into this fascinating topic, and I had the pleasure of reviewing it for Israel Studies Review.

www.berghahnjournals.com/view/journal...