Laurens Swinkels
@lswinkels.bsky.social
2.2K followers 1.9K following 250 posts
Associate Professor of Finance at Erasmus University Rotterdam and Executive Director at Robeco Asset Management. www.laurensswinkels.com #FinSky #EconSky 📍Oslo, Norway 🇳🇴
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Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
jasonfurman.bsky.social
Bernanke, Cochrane, Greenspan, Mankiw, Paulson, Rogoff, Romer, Rubin, Summers, Yellen, etc & me: "allowing the removal of Governor Lisa D. Cook while the challenge to her removal is pending would threaten that independence and erode public confidence in the Fed." www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/25...
www.supremecourt.gov
lswinkels.bsky.social
Our new report with capital market assumptions for the next five years: "The Stale Renaissance".

#FinSky #EconSky #Investing #Investment #Stocks #Bonds
5-year Expected Returns: The Stale Renaissance | Robeco Global
Robeco publishes Expected Returns 2026-2030
www.robeco.com
Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
tobyn.bsky.social
Post no one asked for on how to compare bond yields across currencies (more) properly. on.ft.com/48fJTIf
10yr govt bond yields asset swapped to USD to enable like-for-like comparison.
lswinkels.bsky.social
First thought that this was about stocks that Republican voters like, but the term red turns out to be related to something completely different, accounting related: "The Rise of Red Equity"

Link to paper: dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn...

#Investing #EconSky #FinSky #Stocks #Equities #Red
Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
justinwolfers.bsky.social
Lemme speak with directness and a sense of urgency about our most important economic threats, and what history teaches us about moments like this.
Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
tobyn.bsky.social
FX hedging sounds mysterious & intimidating/ super simple depending on your knowledge.

Its pretty basic maths informs massive capital allocations.

A no equation explainer: on.ft.com/4p7CwsD
Chart showing 10yr yield on core govt bonds plus the one month forward “hedging pick up” annualised for a USD investor.
Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
financialtimes.com
Opinion: On the assumption that a chaotic, incoherent trade war was baked in the cake, FT Alphaville’s main bet for a financial-economic calamity under Trump 2.0 has long been that he launches a full assault on the Fed. Well, it's here now. on.ft.com/3HRQKgo
lswinkels.bsky.social
Despite the US backtracking on its energy transition ambitions (trying to forbid emissions trading schemes for example), China seems to keep moving full speed ahead...

#Climate #Sustainability #China #Investing #Carbon #Emissions #Energy
China issues guideline to advance low-carbon transition, strengthen national carbon trading market
China has unveiled a guideline to accelerate the country's green and low-carbon transition and strengthen the construction of the national carbon trading market.
english.www.gov.cn
Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
voxeu.org
Measures of physical climate risk lead to slightly lower credit ratings. Ambitious CO2 reduction targets and actual emissions reductions have been reflected in higher ratings, but only since the 2015 Paris Agreement.
L Cappiello, G Ferrucci, A Maddaloni, V Veggente
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Graph showing the economic impact of temperature anomalies on sovereign credit ratings (credit rating notches).

Climate-related risks are increasingly recognised as an important threat to long-term fiscal sustainability. This column studies the extent to which credit rating agencies integrate these risks into their sovereign rating assessments. It finds that measures of physical risk lead to lower credit ratings, but the impacts are small in magnitude. Ambitious CO2 reduction targets and actual emission reductions have been reflected in higher ratings, but only since the 2015 Paris Agreement. These findings highlight the need for caution in using credit ratings for regulatory and macroeconomic policy, as they seem to only partially account for environmental considerations.
lswinkels.bsky.social
A practical way to approach lifecycle investing for retirement

Link to paper: doi.org/10.3386/w34166

#pension #retirement #finance #investing #econsky
Reposted by Laurens Swinkels
piie.com
Average US tariffs on Chinese exports now stand at 57.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods. China's average tariffs on US exports are at 32.6 percent and cover 100 percent of all goods, according to ‪@chadpbown.com‬ tracker update:
US-China Trade War Tariffs: An Up-to-Date Chart
www.piie.com
lswinkels.bsky.social
"The value of finance journals" by Professor Douglas Cumming

Link to paper: doi.org/10.48550/arX...

#finance #academic #journals #valuation
lswinkels.bsky.social
Morning walk in Vaasa 🇫🇮
lswinkels.bsky.social
It is called a ‘skolebolle’ - school bun - custard with bread and coconut sprinkles on top. The softdrink is some kind of alcohol free beer (vørterøl), typically consumed after exercise.
lswinkels.bsky.social
??? Risk sharing is the essence of financial markets…
lswinkels.bsky.social
In Scandinavia (also Europe), school starts in two weeks 😀
lswinkels.bsky.social
Despite the enormous abuse in the years before the Global Financial Crisis, CDOs still exist today as products to facilitate risk sharing in financial markets.