Miles Moore
@milesalanmoore.bsky.social
PhD Student @ Univ. of Colorado Boulder (US) | DOE CSGF ‘25 | phenological plasticity, biostatistics, plant ecology #rstats
http://milesalanmoore.github.io
http://milesalanmoore.github.io
Reposted by Miles Moore
Climate drives variation in optimal phenology
Clark et al.
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/MCQ8GR...
Clark et al.
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/MCQ8GR...
December 10, 2025 at 6:09 PM
Climate drives variation in optimal phenology
Clark et al.
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/MCQ8GR...
Clark et al.
nph.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/share/MCQ8GR...
Reposted by Miles Moore
I wrote a blog post about a lecture introducing stability in ODE models and their numerical solution. The lecture transcript and code for figures are included.
nadiah.org/2025/12/04/m...
nadiah.org/2025/12/04/m...
Lecture notes on stability in the dynamics and Euler’s method
This semester, I had the opportunity to do 7 weeks of “interactive lectures” at QUT for MXB261 Modelling and Simulation Science, as well as one guest lecture on evolutionary game theory. In this blog ...
nadiah.org
December 4, 2025 at 10:49 PM
I wrote a blog post about a lecture introducing stability in ODE models and their numerical solution. The lecture transcript and code for figures are included.
nadiah.org/2025/12/04/m...
nadiah.org/2025/12/04/m...
Reposted by Miles Moore
Most people don’t know this but Abraham Lincoln’s close male friend who he shared a bed with actually designed the original Lincoln Bathroom
October 31, 2025 at 7:13 PM
Most people don’t know this but Abraham Lincoln’s close male friend who he shared a bed with actually designed the original Lincoln Bathroom
Reposted by Miles Moore
It's like LLMs in the past few months realized that little reprexes are cool, but people aren't realizing that and just going with the fake code. Can't wait for this to inevitably make it into published stuff.
Newest LLM tell/quirk in coding assignments this semester: instead of generating code based on the CSVs that I provide, LLMs have been inventing datasets with rnorm() and sample() (and an obligatory set.seed(42)) and then making plots with the fake data.
I'm so tired.
I'm so tired.
October 30, 2025 at 7:22 PM
It's like LLMs in the past few months realized that little reprexes are cool, but people aren't realizing that and just going with the fake code. Can't wait for this to inevitably make it into published stuff.
Reposted by Miles Moore
priorsense 1.1.1, for prior and likelihood sensitivity analysis, is now in CRAN (n-kall.github.io/priorsense/)
There is now an easier way to select which priors are power-scaled using the new prior tags feature in brms (2.22.11+), which allows focusing the analysis on specific priors.
1/3
There is now an easier way to select which priors are power-scaled using the new prior tags feature in brms (2.22.11+), which allows focusing the analysis on specific priors.
1/3
Prior Diagnostics and Sensitivity Analysis
Provides functions for prior and likelihood sensitivity analysis in Bayesian models. Currently it implements methods to determine the sensitivity of the posterior to power-scaling perturbations of the...
n-kall.github.io
April 24, 2025 at 6:04 PM
priorsense 1.1.1, for prior and likelihood sensitivity analysis, is now in CRAN (n-kall.github.io/priorsense/)
There is now an easier way to select which priors are power-scaled using the new prior tags feature in brms (2.22.11+), which allows focusing the analysis on specific priors.
1/3
There is now an easier way to select which priors are power-scaled using the new prior tags feature in brms (2.22.11+), which allows focusing the analysis on specific priors.
1/3
Reposted by Miles Moore
I've never met a good person who went out of their way to belittle waiters
Do you have any extremely niche, but serious, ethical stances?
October 19, 2025 at 2:27 PM
I've never met a good person who went out of their way to belittle waiters
Reposted by Miles Moore
On Wed Dec 10 join me to learn about what a regression model is, and what a regression model is not, while raising funds for World Central Kitchen and United Farm Workers. For details on how to register, sponsored registration possibilities, and more see betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
October 13, 2025 at 1:22 PM
On Wed Dec 10 join me to learn about what a regression model is, and what a regression model is not, while raising funds for World Central Kitchen and United Farm Workers. For details on how to register, sponsored registration possibilities, and more see betanalpha.github.io/courses/.
Reposted by Miles Moore
Reposted by Miles Moore
Our new pre-print is up on BioRxiv Ecology - goal was to better estimate how trait evolution impacts population dynamics & community composition. We (me, postdoc Ruben Hermann) used a Joint Species Distribution Models (HMSC) fit to simulated & empirical eco-evo data.
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
www.biorxiv.org
January 16, 2025 at 9:12 AM
Our new pre-print is up on BioRxiv Ecology - goal was to better estimate how trait evolution impacts population dynamics & community composition. We (me, postdoc Ruben Hermann) used a Joint Species Distribution Models (HMSC) fit to simulated & empirical eco-evo data.
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Reposted by Miles Moore
writing is thinking (code edition)
October 9, 2025 at 2:16 PM
writing is thinking (code edition)
Reposted by Miles Moore
Just because an LLM can produce a report with various figures & charts doesn't mean it is good at statistics.
Because good statistics is not about producing code.
It's about deep knowledge of study design & conduct. In my opinion, 95% of all data science problems come from poor questions & design.
Because good statistics is not about producing code.
It's about deep knowledge of study design & conduct. In my opinion, 95% of all data science problems come from poor questions & design.
Y'all. I just got ChatGPT to do everything in R for this manuscript. I mean EVERYTHING. And it's all legit and reproducible. I'm shook.
How are we mentoring our trainees in statistics now? Who needs to learn coding in R line by line, and who doesn't?
scienceforeveryone.science/statistics-i...
How are we mentoring our trainees in statistics now? Who needs to learn coding in R line by line, and who doesn't?
scienceforeveryone.science/statistics-i...
Statistics in the era of AI
How do we mentor, teach, and do stats when AI can do so much of the work?
scienceforeveryone.science
October 9, 2025 at 1:17 PM
Just because an LLM can produce a report with various figures & charts doesn't mean it is good at statistics.
Because good statistics is not about producing code.
It's about deep knowledge of study design & conduct. In my opinion, 95% of all data science problems come from poor questions & design.
Because good statistics is not about producing code.
It's about deep knowledge of study design & conduct. In my opinion, 95% of all data science problems come from poor questions & design.
Reposted by Miles Moore
Interested in simulating the kind of data that you might commonly find in evolutionary and ecological studies?
Then we have the R package for you - squidSim!!
Check our new preprint:
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Then we have the R package for you - squidSim!!
Check our new preprint:
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
squidSim: a flexible R package for structured and reproducible simulations in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology
ecoevorxiv.org
September 15, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Interested in simulating the kind of data that you might commonly find in evolutionary and ecological studies?
Then we have the R package for you - squidSim!!
Check our new preprint:
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Then we have the R package for you - squidSim!!
Check our new preprint:
ecoevorxiv.org/repository/v...
Reposted by Miles Moore
This only happens to you once
September 26, 2025 at 7:39 PM
This only happens to you once
Reposted by Miles Moore
Was reminded of this classic today - we are all Olaf when reading the scientific literature
September 29, 2025 at 4:02 PM
Was reminded of this classic today - we are all Olaf when reading the scientific literature
Reposted by Miles Moore
Are we doing simulations wrong? This paper convinced me we are. doi.org/10.1098/rstb... Usually we run 2 sets of "worlds" w and w-out intervention. Gives large uncertainties that include negative (harm) effects of interventions that are actually always positive (beneficial)!
October 2, 2025 at 7:36 AM
Are we doing simulations wrong? This paper convinced me we are. doi.org/10.1098/rstb... Usually we run 2 sets of "worlds" w and w-out intervention. Gives large uncertainties that include negative (harm) effects of interventions that are actually always positive (beneficial)!
I just submitted my first ever first author paper! Whoop! So cool
October 3, 2025 at 3:29 AM
I just submitted my first ever first author paper! Whoop! So cool
Reposted by Miles Moore
before and after today’s glacier collapse that buried 90% of blatten, switzerland
May 28, 2025 at 10:01 PM
before and after today’s glacier collapse that buried 90% of blatten, switzerland
Reposted by Miles Moore
Among my favorites, from @cameronpat.bsky.social
May 27, 2025 at 2:08 PM
Among my favorites, from @cameronpat.bsky.social
Reposted by Miles Moore
Knud Andreassen Baade, Norwegian (1808-1879), Norges vestkyst (On the West Coast of Norway), 1852, oil on canvas, Historisches Museum Bamberg, Germany
May 26, 2025 at 4:21 PM
Knud Andreassen Baade, Norwegian (1808-1879), Norges vestkyst (On the West Coast of Norway), 1852, oil on canvas, Historisches Museum Bamberg, Germany
Reposted by Miles Moore
Are you excited about the elegant philosophy of Bayesian inference, but struggling to see how it can be applied beyond the idealized examples in introductory texts and tutorials? Over the past few months I’ve released a series of demonstrative analysis that might help. 👇
October 8, 2024 at 3:04 PM
Are you excited about the elegant philosophy of Bayesian inference, but struggling to see how it can be applied beyond the idealized examples in introductory texts and tutorials? Over the past few months I’ve released a series of demonstrative analysis that might help. 👇
Reposted by Miles Moore
I completely re-worked my course "Introduction to Bayesian statistics with brms" and taught it for the 1st time this week. It is meant as a tutorial for ecologists, but should be general enough for other sciences as well
github.com/benjamin-ros...
#stats #Rstats #brms #Stan #Bayesian
github.com/benjamin-ros...
#stats #Rstats #brms #Stan #Bayesian
GitHub - benjamin-rosenbaum/bayesian-intro: Introduction to Bayesian statistics
Introduction to Bayesian statistics. Contribute to benjamin-rosenbaum/bayesian-intro development by creating an account on GitHub.
github.com
February 28, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Reposted by Miles Moore
We need to see science as a social compact where it serves the larger world, not our own interests.
As a first step, scientists must communicate to the larger world much better.
I wrote an essay about this in 2016, which still holds today.
globalecoguy.org/science-comm...
As a first step, scientists must communicate to the larger world much better.
I wrote an essay about this in 2016, which still holds today.
globalecoguy.org/science-comm...
Science Communication as a Moral Imperative
We need to do a much better job of encouraging scientists to be stronger communicators, and share the wonders of science, and the important…
globalecoguy.org
February 10, 2025 at 4:41 PM
We need to see science as a social compact where it serves the larger world, not our own interests.
As a first step, scientists must communicate to the larger world much better.
I wrote an essay about this in 2016, which still holds today.
globalecoguy.org/science-comm...
As a first step, scientists must communicate to the larger world much better.
I wrote an essay about this in 2016, which still holds today.
globalecoguy.org/science-comm...
Reposted by Miles Moore
Foundations and future directions for causal inference in ecological research, forthcoming w/ @katherinesiegel.bsky.social: tinyurl.com/4mm57zzd.
We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students
1/n
We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students
1/n
December 13, 2024 at 2:54 PM
Foundations and future directions for causal inference in ecological research, forthcoming w/ @katherinesiegel.bsky.social: tinyurl.com/4mm57zzd.
We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students
1/n
We wrote it based on our experience teaching causal inference to ecologists w/ some stuff we wish other papers had reviewed to share w/ the students
1/n
Reposted by Miles Moore
Mister Rogers never misses
January 2, 2025 at 8:38 PM
Mister Rogers never misses
Reposted by Miles Moore
New timeline, same problems, same solution
December 13, 2024 at 2:22 PM
New timeline, same problems, same solution