Stephen Wild
@stephenjwild.bsky.social
I try to put straight lines through things but usually fail. Try to be Bayesian when I can. Views my own. RT/like != endorsement.
Reposted by Stephen Wild
blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva... went and found the original post
An Adversarial or “Long and Squiggly” Test of the Plausibility of Parallel Trends in Difference-in-Differences Analysis
I argue that the difference-in-differences parallel trends assumption is more plausible when the levels are similar to start with, the number of pre-treatment periods is long, and the trend observed p...
blogs.worldbank.org
November 23, 2025 at 9:54 PM
blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva... went and found the original post
This is a very good paper (focused on infectious diseases and DiD) that looks at how DiD handles different specifications.
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
November 24, 2025 at 2:30 AM
This is a very good paper (focused on infectious diseases and DiD) that looks at how DiD handles different specifications.
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
Who here has a link to the actual court filings (ideally to the most recent ones)?
It’s really hard to defend industry academic collaborations with meta as earnest, if they’re internally burying evidence of harm.
www.reuters.com/sustainabili...
www.reuters.com/sustainabili...
November 23, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Who here has a link to the actual court filings (ideally to the most recent ones)?
Ridiculous take. Home Alone is clearly a child-friendly remake of Predator. I will not explain further.
Home Alone makes changes to the Die Hard formula that render it hard for me to enjoy. The McClain character should feel overawed. And in theory having Kevin be a child versus adults achieves that. But the thing is: Kevin is a god. It's not just Tom & Jerry. This is some random punks versus Anansi.
November 23, 2025 at 1:54 PM
Ridiculous take. Home Alone is clearly a child-friendly remake of Predator. I will not explain further.
Bat signal for you nerds
November 23, 2025 at 2:56 AM
Bat signal for you nerds
This is *not* what I learned from JFK 😡
November 22, 2025 at 11:54 PM
This is *not* what I learned from JFK 😡
November 22, 2025 at 9:35 PM
November 22, 2025 at 7:33 PM
My top 4 films made in the 80s (yes, this hard. So many left out!)
Raiders of the Lost Ark
Die Hard
Airplane!
Predator
Raiders of the Lost Ark
Die Hard
Airplane!
Predator
Name your top 4 80s films.
November 21, 2025 at 2:29 PM
My top 4 films made in the 80s (yes, this hard. So many left out!)
Raiders of the Lost Ark
Die Hard
Airplane!
Predator
Raiders of the Lost Ark
Die Hard
Airplane!
Predator
Paging the Bayesians and/or dataviz nerds
November 21, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Paging the Bayesians and/or dataviz nerds
The Grok thing is just so stupid
November 21, 2025 at 1:10 PM
The Grok thing is just so stupid
Reposted by Stephen Wild
Factor analysis and varimax have been widely misunderstood among statisticians. Two years ago, Muzhe Zeng and I had a discussion paper at JRSS-B that tried to clarify why factor analysis and varimax were actually decades ahead of their time
It’s free (with discussion) here:
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
It’s free (with discussion) here:
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
Vintage factor analysis with Varimax performs statistical inference
Abstract. In the 1930s, Psychologists began developing Multiple-Factor Analysis to decompose multivariate data into a small number of interpretable factors
doi.org
November 20, 2025 at 6:28 PM
Factor analysis and varimax have been widely misunderstood among statisticians. Two years ago, Muzhe Zeng and I had a discussion paper at JRSS-B that tried to clarify why factor analysis and varimax were actually decades ahead of their time
It’s free (with discussion) here:
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
It’s free (with discussion) here:
doi.org/10.1093/jrss...
Reposted by Stephen Wild
It’s never a bad time for this meme, but International Men’s Day might be the best time
November 19, 2025 at 7:19 PM
It’s never a bad time for this meme, but International Men’s Day might be the best time
*cranky old man voice*
The coverage of this and many responses to it have just been atrocious.
*end cranky old man voice*
The coverage of this and many responses to it have just been atrocious.
*end cranky old man voice*
One of the most upsetting articles I've read in a long time www.theargumentmag.com/p/when-grade...
UCSD report senate.ucsd.edu/media/740347...
We are failing a generation of kids.
UCSD report senate.ucsd.edu/media/740347...
We are failing a generation of kids.
When grades stop meaning anything
The UC San Diego math scandal is a warning
www.theargumentmag.com
November 19, 2025 at 2:39 PM
*cranky old man voice*
The coverage of this and many responses to it have just been atrocious.
*end cranky old man voice*
The coverage of this and many responses to it have just been atrocious.
*end cranky old man voice*
Incredible content. 10/10
cloudflare's on-duty IT staff bangs on the doors which I have padlocked from the inside as I calmly break open lava lamp after lava lamp and drink the contents
November 18, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Incredible content. 10/10
The Schitt's Creek gifs will continue until morale improves
November 17, 2025 at 12:44 PM
The Schitt's Creek gifs will continue until morale improves
Top 5 movie genres are:
Heist
Intelligence/espionage thriller
Road trip
Terrible B-movie action
Good B-movie action
Heist
Intelligence/espionage thriller
Road trip
Terrible B-movie action
Good B-movie action
Top 5 movie genres are:
heist
intelligence/espionage thriller
pitch perfect
cerebral ensemble oscar fodder drama
heist some more
heist
intelligence/espionage thriller
pitch perfect
cerebral ensemble oscar fodder drama
heist some more
Top 5 movie genres are:
People being shits at a dinner party
Rotting mansion, faded starlet/society beauty, high-camp fuckdown
Either nothing or everything happened, glacially slowly & visually stunningly
Woman is being haunted or maybe there’s actually a gross guy
Tilda Swinton hears a weird noise
People being shits at a dinner party
Rotting mansion, faded starlet/society beauty, high-camp fuckdown
Either nothing or everything happened, glacially slowly & visually stunningly
Woman is being haunted or maybe there’s actually a gross guy
Tilda Swinton hears a weird noise
November 16, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Top 5 movie genres are:
Heist
Intelligence/espionage thriller
Road trip
Terrible B-movie action
Good B-movie action
Heist
Intelligence/espionage thriller
Road trip
Terrible B-movie action
Good B-movie action
I second Sneakers and Spy Game (I have not seen the others).
I'll add:
Mission Impossible
Ronin
Argo
I'll add:
Mission Impossible
Ronin
Argo
This, but spy-movie-that-is-also-a-heist movie is the best. In that category I'd include
Sneakers
Spy Game (arguably; what is being stolen is a rescue of Tom Bishop)
Mission Impossible - Ghost Protocol
Andor Season 1, Ep 4-6
Sneakers
Spy Game (arguably; what is being stolen is a rescue of Tom Bishop)
Mission Impossible - Ghost Protocol
Andor Season 1, Ep 4-6
Top 5 movie genres are:
heist
intelligence/espionage thriller
pitch perfect
cerebral ensemble oscar fodder drama
heist some more
heist
intelligence/espionage thriller
pitch perfect
cerebral ensemble oscar fodder drama
heist some more
November 16, 2025 at 8:49 PM
I second Sneakers and Spy Game (I have not seen the others).
I'll add:
Mission Impossible
Ronin
Argo
I'll add:
Mission Impossible
Ronin
Argo
Still the most realistic scene, tbh
You know New York was a war zone in the early 90s because in home Alone 2 an insane guest with a gun opens fire in a hotel, and no one calls the cops. Just a regular day.
November 16, 2025 at 12:57 AM
Still the most realistic scene, tbh
Reposted by Stephen Wild
You know New York was a war zone in the early 90s because in home Alone 2 an insane guest with a gun opens fire in a hotel, and no one calls the cops. Just a regular day.
December 21, 2024 at 9:54 PM
You know New York was a war zone in the early 90s because in home Alone 2 an insane guest with a gun opens fire in a hotel, and no one calls the cops. Just a regular day.
Reposted by Stephen Wild
From a recent talk of mine.
November 15, 2025 at 9:43 PM
From a recent talk of mine.
The Schitt's Creek gifs will continue until morale improves
November 15, 2025 at 12:07 AM
The Schitt's Creek gifs will continue until morale improves
Reposted by Stephen Wild
Maybe you've missed the crushing, DAG-wielding critique. Of course, not by a star scholar... www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
Double machine learning and automated confounder selection: A cautionary tale
Double machine learning (DML) has become an increasingly popular tool for automated variable selection in high-dimensional settings. Even though the ability to deal with a large number of potential co...
www.degruyterbrill.com
November 14, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Maybe you've missed the crushing, DAG-wielding critique. Of course, not by a star scholar... www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...
It's easy to solve, really.
Future Bond is sent back in time to stop evil Bond from killing M as a child. Future bond learns the value of human life, so sacrifices himself in a vat of molten steel while young M watches tearfully.
Future Bond is sent back in time to stop evil Bond from killing M as a child. Future bond learns the value of human life, so sacrifices himself in a vat of molten steel while young M watches tearfully.
James Bond’s death in No Time to Die is causing a nightmare for the next film. Writers are stuck because Bond “was blown to pieces.”
Anthony Horowitz, author of three 007 novels, says:
“You can't have him wake up in shower and saying it was all a dream."
radaronline.com/p/james-bond...
Anthony Horowitz, author of three 007 novels, says:
“You can't have him wake up in shower and saying it was all a dream."
radaronline.com/p/james-bond...
November 11, 2025 at 1:43 PM
It's easy to solve, really.
Future Bond is sent back in time to stop evil Bond from killing M as a child. Future bond learns the value of human life, so sacrifices himself in a vat of molten steel while young M watches tearfully.
Future Bond is sent back in time to stop evil Bond from killing M as a child. Future bond learns the value of human life, so sacrifices himself in a vat of molten steel while young M watches tearfully.
The funniest part below is that the cover is for The Odyssey
*maximum alpha at 1.25x speed* continuously lives on in my head, unfortunately.
November 11, 2025 at 10:14 AM
The funniest part below is that the cover is for The Odyssey