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Molleindustria - Wishlist FUTURE? NO THANKS!
@molleindustria.org
Game maker, professor at Carnegie Mellon University. My employer has many, often contradicting, views. Currently making Future? No Thanks!
he/him
The tension between the godless, unforgiving, procedurally generated environments and the possibility space for warm, goofy, heroic human interactions is truly extraordinary.
January 12, 2026 at 5:57 PM
I benefited from imperial privilege, I shall suffer the consequences too
January 12, 2026 at 5:18 PM
I wonder if Maduro could have avoided being kidnapped by setting alerts for these kinds of bets on Polymarket.

There’s no "wisdom of the crowds" at work here.
These trades are basically anonymized, financially incentivized national security leaks.
January 5, 2026 at 6:57 PM
The PAM was controversial at the time. Many disliked the idea of possibly creating financial incentives for assassinations and such. It was shut down and the director resigned.

Fast-forward to today and it’s totally normal to do insider trading on coups and tragedies.

www.axios.com/2026/01/03/m...
Someone made $400K by predicting Maduro's capture. Here's what happened
The winnings come as the rules governing prediction markets are still evolving.
www.axios.com
January 5, 2026 at 6:49 PM
sure
January 5, 2026 at 6:48 PM
Where Next was inspired by an actual DARPA proposal called Policy Analysis Market, an online exchange to forecast political events in the Middle East.

It was based on the neoliberal idea that markets are better at collecting information than any intelligence agency

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Policy_...
January 5, 2026 at 6:37 PM
Keep in mind that after 9/11, London, and Madrid, Italy was thought to be the next likely target of Islamic terrorism.

If anything, the project mapped a very Western-centric paranoia.

In reality, most subsequent attacks happened in the Global South, in places like Bali.
January 5, 2026 at 6:26 PM
In Where Next, you basically placed a marker on a map (Google Maps had just opened its APIs). You could choose the type of attack and add a comment.

There was no money involved, but when a real attack happened, the user with the closest guess would win a T-shirt.
January 5, 2026 at 6:18 PM
It was a collaboration with guerrigliamarketing (mainly Andrea Natella) which later gained worldwide notoriety with the “This Man” project.

We wanted it to look crass and commercial so we parodied a popular online betting company.

We quickly received a cease-and-desist letter and changed the logo.
January 5, 2026 at 6:10 PM
sorry i couldn't resist
January 5, 2026 at 4:22 PM
*I’m joking, but a whole strand of cultural intervention and satire hits a wall the moment they say "Yes, we are the villains, what are you going to do about it?"
January 4, 2026 at 5:10 PM