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Paul Hünermund

@p-hunermund.com

9.6K followers 2.1K following 4.4K posts

Professor of Technology and Economic Policy | Co-founder of causalscience.org | Associate Editor at Journal of Causal Inference | Executive Team at Academy of Management TIM Division

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 7d

I'm pleased to share that we've received a record number of submissions for #CDSM2025. I look forward to putting together a strong program in the coming days. 📈

Pre-register for the conference at: causalscience.org ✅

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1h

Competitor to the Multipla

Claas Gefroi @claasgefroi.bsky.social · 1h

Habe gerade in Hamburg auf der Straße den neuen Fiat Topolino gesehen und bin schockverliebt. ❤️

Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1h

You win grants by lowering expectations?

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1h

Blueskyism existed before this platform

sKelly 🦴💀🎃 @tealwaistcoat.bsky.social · 10h

lmao

Wikipedia: In December 2007, she criticised the BBC and its television programme Doctor Who for including an episode with a starship "cruise liner" called the Titanic which was similar in appearance to the historical liner. Speaking from her nursing home, she said: "The Titanic was a tragedy which tore so many families apart. I lost my father and he lies on that wreck. I think it is disrespectful to make entertainment of such a tragedy." A spokeswoman for the show said: "No offence was intended. 'Voyage of the Damned' is set on a spaceship called The Titanic and not a boat."

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Reposted by Paul Hünermund

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.bsky.social · 2h

Interesting paper by Hainmueller, @moritz-marbach.com, Hangartner, @niklas-harder.bsky.social, and Vallizadeh on the huge positive effect of the Germany’s Fast-Track Employment Program "Jobturbo" on Ukrainians integration in the labor market osf.io/preprints/so...

OSF

osf.io

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1h

That's why you have a respectable job these days.

Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1h

I must have slept through that one in macroeconomics, but what is a normatively "desirable" savings rate? Fifteen percent doesn't strike me that high at first glance.

Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 1h

Desperately want to make it to @thelouvreof.bsky.social, don't you?

Reposted by Paul Hünermund

austin @aparker.io · 7h

huh. 7M parameters that gets 45% on ARC-AGI-1 sounds too good to be true

arxiv.org/abs/2510.04871

Less is More: Recursive Reasoning with Tiny Networks

Hierarchical Reasoning Model (HRM) is a novel approach using two small neural networks recursing at different frequencies. This biologically inspired method beats Large Language models (LLMs) on hard ...

arxiv.org

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 17h

I guess... but only in Germany.

Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 19h

"Listenfähigkeit" is also sad as a concept.

Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 22h

Yes, how to justify ignorability? 😉

Reposted by Paul Hünermund

Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · 22h

Working on writing up a short note (and blog post) trying to explain the distinction between model-based and design-based identification.

Any questions regarding this that are burning for you?

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 22h

Everyone knows that you're poor and miserable if you list "lecturer in the UK" in your CV.

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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 23h

The "AP (tneure track)"? That's just implied internationally.

Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 23h

Yes! But also, on Monday we'll all be "humbled" to discover that our advisor, coauthor, or the guy who once sat two seats away from us at a conference dinner has won the Nobel Prize.

Robert (Bob) Kubinec @rmkubinec.bsky.social · 1d

The Nobel Prize is the wrong way to think about science.

My heroes aren't the people with the endowed chairs at the Ivies. They are the people who do the hard work, day in and day out, and who would take a bullet rather than inflate research findings or block others' competing research.