OMXS30 for now, Stockholm.
Not investment advice.
#stockmarket
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
This created uncertainty and market participants hate uncertainty.
#data #econometrics #economy #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
It also depends on US data releases after so many days. There could be a <0 shock there.
Swedish news is good, though.
This created uncertainty and market participants hate uncertainty.
#data #econometrics #economy #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
OMXS30 opened at a new ATH.
We went long below that and sold at the current max.
Although the daily RSI allows it, it would be rare to see the same price pattern for a 3rd day in a row.
#data #econometrics #economy #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
OMXS30 opened at a new ATH.
We went long below that and sold at the current max.
Although the daily RSI allows it, it would be rare to see the same price pattern for a 3rd day in a row.
#data #econometrics #economy #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Were it following history, it should be falling this week but instead it's increasing.
Just fyi.
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Were it following history, it should be falling this week but instead it's increasing.
Just fyi.
Attention is needed in the imminent release of US data.
The White House announced some data may never be released!!!
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Attention is needed in the imminent release of US data.
The White House announced some data may never be released!!!
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
A classic signal.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
A classic signal.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Jack Dorsey is more of an economist than most economists we know (we are econometricians).
www.tradingview.com/news/cointel...
Jack Dorsey is more of an economist than most economists we know (we are econometricians).
www.tradingview.com/news/cointel...
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
It also reached a new intraday ATH.
We went long and sold with a profit.
It should finish above the opening price in the absence of a <0 shock.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Yesterday, Tuesday, the Rini produced a bull (M13 valid and Type IV).
We will categorize Monday's signal as a bull, too, from now on (M13 valid, >0 shock).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Yesterday, Tuesday, the Rini produced a bull (M13 valid and Type IV).
We will categorize Monday's signal as a bull, too, from now on (M13 valid, >0 shock).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Two wrong signals can be avoided.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
Two wrong signals can be avoided.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The M3 condition that locates minima and signifies a bull switched on 10 times so far in 2025, nine of which were correct!
This is a 90% prediction success.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #unemployment #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing #VIX #trading
The one variable that does not matter for daily close/open prices and the range is volume.
Plausible explanations:
1. Indeed, it does not matter for the daily measures (but perhaps matters for intraday moves, lower data than daily).
2. The functions of volume we tried do not matter.
The one variable that does not matter for daily close/open prices and the range is volume.
Plausible explanations:
1. Indeed, it does not matter for the daily measures (but perhaps matters for intraday moves, lower data than daily).
2. The functions of volume we tried do not matter.
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Monday 10.11.25.
The baseline Rini signal is bearish as the opening price is too high reflecting reaction to US gov. shutdown coming to an end.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
When OMXS30 is in what we call a "perfect bullish alignment" (PBUA), backtesting dictates which types of investors should be considered.
Why?
Becasue Type I
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Looks like a bull Horst trade in the absence of a <0 shock:
Opens + and closes even higher than the opening price.
We will re-evaluate close to the opening.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Otherwise this was a bullish day (for Bitcoin and US indices as well).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
Otherwise this was a bullish day (for Bitcoin and US indices as well).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
The Rini baseline signal is weak, leaning bearish.
We avoid trading weak signals as a principle as they imply the index is susceptible to shocks and easily flips direction.
So far it looks bullish.
If it's wrong, then it's wrong.
The model will be wrong as well.
The Rini M3 for Ethereum does not have the same predictive success as for Bitcoin.
BUT we can trade the Bitcoin M3 (bull) for Ethereum as well because this period they move together.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
The Rini M3 for Ethereum does not have the same predictive success as for Bitcoin.
BUT we can trade the Bitcoin M3 (bull) for Ethereum as well because this period they move together.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Another correct Rini prediction.
Mistake not to trade this one.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
Another correct Rini prediction.
Mistake not to trade this one.
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
We will see tomorrow if it remains a bull, i.e. if the M3 is correct.
#bitcoin
Not saying it will reach that price - just that we would buy there.
Just an opinion.
Not saying it will reach that price - just that we would buy there.
Just an opinion.
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
We opened a small long position this morning.
We will adjust accordingly if needed.
If not today, then soon the M3 will be correct.
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
Rates will remain there for a while.
The Rini signal is a bull but we prefer to stay out due to uncertainty from the US.
According to the Rini intervals it is less likely the index reaches 2737.
Looks confined around -1% and downwards.
The Rini absolute min is at 2700 (-2%).
#data #econometrics #economy #inflation #gold #silver #bitcoin #ethereum #investing $VIX #trading