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David Roberts @volts.wtf · 2h

Today on Volts: hey listen up! The most important election of the year is happening in Georgia next month. Two seats on the (currently all-GOP) Public Service Commission are up & rising electricity prices are on everyone's mind. This is a bellwether for next year's governor & midterm elections!

Pay attention to the most important political race of 2025

With energy affordability set to dominate national politics, Peter Hubbard and Brionté McCorkle explain why a down-ballot Georgia race is ground zero for the fight.

www.volts.wtf

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MLC @chicyph80.bsky.social · 6h

Fantastic news to wake up to!!! Fairbanks, Alaska has dumped their Trumpian Mayor and a Dem flipped that Mayoral office last night!

We love to see it! 😍😍👏👏

Mayor David Pruhs concedes mayoral race to Mindy O'Neall

City of Fairbanks Mayor David Pruhs conceded the mayoral race to candidate Mindy O’Neall Tuesday night during a watch party at Bobby’s Downtown Restaurant.

www.newsminer.com

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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 13h

With roughly 60 percent reporting, Fairbanks' Republican Mayor David Pruhs is trailing his Democratic challenger Mindy O'Neall 54% to 46%.

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 12h

The Jayapal school of political campaigning

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 14h

Jack Burning money on digital.

@socialconcarne.bsky.social, who does this remind us of?

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 14h

“He vastly outspent Sherrill on digital ads, putting $3.6 million behind internet messaging to Sherrill’s $970,645” newjerseymonitor.com/2025/10/07/n...

Democrat Mikie Sherrill holds cash lead in NJ governor's race • New Jersey Monitor

Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D) has outraised ex-Assemblyman Jack Ciattarelli (R) so far, but both are set to max out their public matching funds.

newjerseymonitor.com

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Senator Andy Kim @kim.senate.gov · 1d

Absolutely ridiculous.

We must guarantee back pay after this shutdown that Trump and Republicans led us into.

Our federal workers rely on their paychecks to pay rent, support their families, and feed their kids, just like the rest of us. They deserve better.

Axios @axios.com · 1d

SCOOP: Furloughed federal workers aren't guaranteed compensation for their forced time off during the government shutdown, according to a draft White House memo described to Axios by three sources.

Scoop: White House memo says furloughed federal workers aren't entitled to backpay

A move to deny backpay to up to 750,000 furloughed workers would dramatically escalate Trump's pressure on Democrats to end the shutdown.

www.axios.com

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

Throwback to Catherine Cortez-Masto’s Succession ad against Adam Laxalt

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

*Wood-Ridge

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

Also, if Latinos *are* Rebounding for Dems, and it’s not just a mirage, this district (with its decent Latino Population in Fairview, & Passaic City + Some in Cliffside Park) will be one of the swing seats where it’s most acutely felt.

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

There are 2 things I will mention about LD-36
1) It’s bluer on the state legislative level because of a mixture of Dem Orthodox block voting in Passaic city & the Cliffside Park/Wood-Bridge (and Fairview?) Machines
2) The presence of Edgewater & Rutherford Liberals.

Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · Jul 31

The 2023 NJ LD-36 Election, a contest between Senate Budget Chair Paul Sarlo, and Veteran Chris Auriemma saw Sarlo landslide Auriema in this Clinton+18.1%, Biden+13.7%, and Trump +4.5% Seat by a comanding 23.3%—the third best electoral performance of his career.

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · Jul 31

The 2023 NJ LD-36 Election, a contest between Senate Budget Chair Paul Sarlo, and Veteran Chris Auriemma saw Sarlo landslide Auriema in this Clinton+18.1%, Biden+13.7%, and Trump +4.5% Seat by a comanding 23.3%—the third best electoral performance of his career.

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

We’re missing the LD-03 Rs, LD-25 Dems & LD-11 Dems of the races that matter.

Also not sure what’s going on with LD-39 Dems, Labruno’s is in, saying he spent 2K, — no joint committee though

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

A couple R-1s are in now. www.njelecefilesearch.com/SearchCandid...

Search Candidate or Committee Filing Reports - ELEC Reports and Data Search system

www.njelecefilesearch.com

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

The most likely explanation is regular old margin of error, but national polls, in that time had him losing ground (also highlights that Spanberger is in as good, if not a better place than September — due to underfunding Trump’s disapproval by less). www.natesilver.net/p/trump-appr...

How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.

www.natesilver.net

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 1d

Most interesting tidbit in the poll is how Trump gained 4% in approval

September
- ❌ Dissaprove 58% (-19%)
- ✅ Approve: 39%

October

- ❌ Dissaprove 56% (-15%)
- ✅ Approve: 41%

Sam Shirazi @samshirazi.bsky.social · 1d

New CNU Wason Center poll of Virginia

*Before texts story*

Gov

Spanberger (D) 52%
Earle-Sears (R) 42%

LG

Hashmi (D) 48%
Reid (R) 39%

AG

Jones (D) 49%
Miyares (R) 43%

House of Delegates

Dem 51%
GOP 44%

Trump Approval

👎 56%
👍 41%

Youngkin Approval

👍 50%
👎 42%

Blue Virginia @bluevirginia.bsky.social · 1d

New Wason Center Virginia Poll: Spanberger Leads 52%-42% (+10); Hashmi 48%-39% (+9); Jones 49%-43% (+6); Slightly Tighter Than Wason’s Last Poll on 9/18 (This poll was conducted 9/29 -10/1, so prior to the most recent news...) bluevirginia.us/2025/10/new-...

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Marxist-Glonzoist @primaryschool.bsky.social · 1d

what do people think about letting Trump send out more stimmies? said the absolute dumbest Democrat serving in federal office

Ro Khanna @rokhanna.bsky.social · 4d

What do people think about giving working class Americans a $2000 tariff relief check for the unfair tax that has driven their grocery and housing prices up?

Unusual Whales @unusualwhales.bsky.social · 4d

BREAKING: Representative Ro Khanna, a California Democrat, is proposing $2,000 payments to Americans making under $100,000

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Sam Shirazi @samshirazi.bsky.social · 1d

New CNU Wason Center poll of Virginia

*Before texts story*

Gov

Spanberger (D) 52%
Earle-Sears (R) 42%

LG

Hashmi (D) 48%
Reid (R) 39%

AG

Jones (D) 49%
Miyares (R) 43%

House of Delegates

Dem 51%
GOP 44%

Trump Approval

👎 56%
👍 41%

Youngkin Approval

👍 50%
👎 42%

Blue Virginia @bluevirginia.bsky.social · 1d

New Wason Center Virginia Poll: Spanberger Leads 52%-42% (+10); Hashmi 48%-39% (+9); Jones 49%-43% (+6); Slightly Tighter Than Wason’s Last Poll on 9/18 (This poll was conducted 9/29 -10/1, so prior to the most recent news...) bluevirginia.us/2025/10/new-...

New Wason Center Virginia Poll: Spanberger Leads 52%-42% (+10); Hashmi 48%-39% (+9); Jones 49%-43% (+6); Slightly Tighter Than Wason’s Last Poll on 9/18

The last poll by CNU's Wason Center, on September 18, had the Virginia statewide races as follows: Abigail Spanberger 52%-Winsome Earle-Sears 40% (+12 points); Ghazala Hashmi 48%-John Reid 37% (+11 po...

bluevirginia.us

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Joe @electionsjoe.bsky.social · 2d

FOUR WEEKS UNTIL ELECTION DAY, 2025 NJ General Mail Vote by County Visualized!

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 2d

This is partly because of how they ran.

Baraka = Progressive Machine reform/affiliate (Aka the Brian Stack, without the turnout machine).
Fulop = wholesale Anti-establishment progressive with Sacco connections.

Baraka’s made him friends, Fulop made him enemies & his “friends” lost.

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 2d

He has no allies in NJ/Hudson and I doubt the alliance with Sacco world will be worth anything by November so he’s probably going to do this & tweet for the next few years.

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 2d

We really do forget just how awful Scott Garret was, also Pascrell Clocked his blatant insanity (2016 Almanac of American Politics)

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Brendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 2d

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Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 2d

The only poll that has shown Sherrill tied is Emerson. There was a recent independent poll that Showed Spanberger leading by three.

Most independent polls have Sherrill leading by 7-9% throughout the last month.

Which gets to the point that the difference in the average of the polls is ~2-3%

Sage Of Time🇵🇷 @sageoftime.bsky.social · 2d

And (not to hit Magenta, whose correct in his interpretation) MOST of that comes from Trump’s approval being stronger in NJ than VA.

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