Scott Clement
@sfcpoll.bsky.social
740 followers 350 following 280 posts
Washington Post polling team. "Public Sentiment Is Everything" - Abraham Lincoln
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Reposted by Scott Clement
jackjenkins.me
Gonna be thinking about this lede for a minute.
(RNS) — Last month, the Rev. David Black stood in front of a Chicago-area U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement facility and spread his arms wide. Adorned in all black and wearing a clerical collar, the pastor looked up at a group of masked, heavily armed ICE agents on the roof and began to pray.

“I invited them to repentance,” Black, a minister in the Presbyterian Church (USA), said in an interview. “I basically offered an altar call. I invited them to come and receive that salvation, and be part of the kingdom that is coming.”

But when Black began to lower his arms a few seconds later, the agents responded to his spiritual plea by firing pepper balls, or chemical agents that cause eye irritation and respiratory distress, video footage shows. One struck Black in the head, exploding into a puff of white pepper smoke and forcing him to his knees. Fellow demonstrators rushed to his aid, and as the pastor rubbed his face in pain, the agents continued to fire.

“We could hear them laughing,” Black said.
Reposted by Scott Clement
nathankalmoe.bsky.social
For lots more context beyond Elliott's essay, @lilymasonphd.bsky.social & I have a forthcoming article in POQ on best practices for measuring & interpreting violent political attitudes, w/ tons of new evidence.

Pre-print: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/9blbj...

Appendix: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/kc1i5...
Reposted by Scott Clement
sahilkapur.bsky.social
👀 Marjorie Taylor Greene breaks with Republicans on Obamacare funding, saying she’s not a fan of the law but demands action to prevent a premium hike. “I’m absolutely disgusted that health insurance premiums will DOUBLE if the tax credits expire this year.” She says GOP leaders don’t have a plan.
sfcpoll.bsky.social
How some veterans exploit $193 billion VA program, due to lax controls "The Post found that millions of the claims are for minor or treatable afflictions that rarely hinder employment, such as hair loss, jock itch and toenail fungus." www.washingtonpost.com/investigatio...
Reposted by Scott Clement
aedwardslevy.bsky.social
I'm excited for the public opinion researcher 50 years from now who's going to crack open the ol' Roper poll archives and find this question explaining to respondents what a "tush push" is

poll.qu.edu/poll-release... (poll is of adults in PA)
21. (If professional football super fan, fan or casual fan q17) The tush push is a football play typically used on very short yardage. The quarterback pushes forward with the ball while his teammates push him from behind. Do you think this play should be allowed in professional football or should be banned from the game?
Reposted by Scott Clement
kabirkhanna.bsky.social
Amit shutdown and persistent econonmic concerns, Trump approval rating back to its low point this term

New lows among women (36%), White people (49%), Trump voters (85%), Republicans (87%)

At 35%, approval on handling inflation also at a low

Just half say he is doing what he promised in 2024

1/3
Reposted by Scott Clement
opiniontoday.bsky.social
More than 8 in 10 Jewish Republicans support Israel’s military actions in Gaza, compared with about half of independents and roughly 3 in 10 Democrats.
(Naftali Bendavid, @sfcpoll.bsky.social and @emgusk.bsky.social, Washington Post-unlocked)
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
sfcpoll.bsky.social
Our Post poll finds 48% of American Jews rate Benjamin Netanyahu's leadership as "poor," up 20 points from a Pew survey in 2020. U.S. Jews also say Netanyahu deserves much more responsibility than Israel for the continuation of the Israel-Gaza war. Read more -> www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
sfcpoll.bsky.social
The story cited age differences for emotional attachment to Israel. 62% of Jews under 35 say Israel is vital vs. 88% of those ages 65+, while 47% of younger Jews say they have a lot/some in common with Israeli Jews vs. 62% of seniors. Other age groups are in the middle on all three questions.
sfcpoll.bsky.social
The sample included 815 Jewish adults. Tables in the results document show percentages, so 76 percent were Jewish by religion, 24 percent were Jews of no religion (identifying as Jewish in another way + being raised Jewish or having a Jewish parent).
www.washingtonpost.com/tablet/2025/...
Reposted by Scott Clement
pbump.com
This is a remarkable finding.
emgusk.bsky.social
Most American Jews say Israel has committed war crimes

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...
sfcpoll.bsky.social
Read overall results from The Post's Jewish Americans poll here (gift link) - wapo.st/42kNv8o
Huge thanks to @ssrsresearch.bsky.social for developing the methodology & carrying out the survey, and to @pewresearch.org for high-quality surveys of U.S. Jews that helped ensure ours was representative
Sept. 2-9, 2025, Washington Post Jewish Americans poll
Results from a nationwide survey of Jewish Americans on views of Israel, Gaza and other topics.
wapo.st
sfcpoll.bsky.social
Most Va. voters agree with Earle-Sears on transgender students participating in sports and accessing bathrooms based, though just 4% say that's their top voting issue. It's also not a clear GOP advantage - 42% trust Republicans on the issue, 41% Dems www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
sfcpoll.bsky.social
What's the most important issue for Virginia voters in the governor's election? We asked an open-ended question. Economy, education and a lot of other topics www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
sfcpoll.bsky.social
Spanberger leads by 27 points among political independents, the biggest factor in her advantage with one month to go. Democrats in the attorney general and LG races lead by 17 points with independents www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
sfcpoll.bsky.social
Just posted: Spanberger holds wide lead in Virginia governor’s race, Post-Schar School poll finds. Story with Gregory Schneider, Erin Cox and @emgusk.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...
Reposted by Scott Clement
baseballot.bsky.social
Clip and save
taniel.bsky.social
NEW: November general elections are around the corner, so it’s time to launch my cheat sheet of what’s on the ballot this fall!

I guide you thru the *185* elections I'm watching, & why: lawmakers, governors, judges, DAs, mayors, school boards, & dozens of ballot measures.

Explore, share, save:
Your Cheat Sheet to the 2025 General Elections - Bolts
Four contests have come to largely define the 2025 elections: the elections to lead New Jersey, Virginia, and New York City, plus California’s redistricting measure. But there’s so much else... Read M...
boltsmag.org