Tim
timothyaugust.bsky.social
Tim
@timothyaugust.bsky.social
My journal
Reposted by Tim
Whatever strategy you’re about to suggest, we’ve thought about it. docs.google.com/document/d/1...
ChatGPT Harm Reduction for Writing Assignments
ChatGPT Harm Reduction for Writing Assignments Because this document has escaped containment, a couple points of explanation. I wrote this for myself and a few colleagues as we work out how to handle...
docs.google.com
October 28, 2025 at 1:02 PM
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Sweden, the place with the best historical data, finds that a larger percentage of births in the late 1800s (12%) were by mothers over age 40 than today (5%). I extremely did not know this

www.scb.se/hitta-statis...
October 24, 2025 at 2:55 PM
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60% of jobs in advanced economies face AI disruption. We're sleepwalking into a future where a handful of billionaires own all the AI infrastructure while millions lose their livelihoods.

But what if everyone received a monthly dividend funded by the engine driving AI?

Meet The AI Dividend 🧵
The AI Dividend: Turning Computational Power into Shared Prosperity
How to fund an AI Dividend from the engine of automation itself: make cloud computing a public utility, set prices above raw computational cost, and channel the difference into universal basic income.
open.substack.com
June 29, 2025 at 7:55 PM
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New paper: "Antisemitism, Anti-Zionism, and Title VI: A Guide for the Perplexed" — with @hellmandeborah.bsky.social.

Forthcoming in Harv L Rev Forum (ssrn.com/abstract=5271044)

This is one of the first systematic analyses of the wave of Title VI claims over campus antisemitism. A quick summary 🧵:
May 27, 2025 at 5:41 PM
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The best scientific evidence is that the 2020 BLM protests helped defeat Trump in the election. These protests are likely doing the same.

papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
June 9, 2025 at 12:10 AM
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Nice
Oh yeah nice one kid hook that hope for humanity right into my veins
May 8, 2025 at 8:28 PM
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Why are other countries' center-left parties more anti-Trump than the Democrats? A few reasons

-Poll chasing is Dem consultants/thought leaders' theory of politics

-gerontocracy

-US liberal elites more interested in partnering w/ right on against Gaza protests

-crypto conflicts of interest
This is two global elections in ONE WEEK where the conservative candidate trying to become prime minister not only led his party to a big loss but lost their own seat in parliament (!) in huge upsets. We are global pariahs unseen since the end of the Cold War and need stronger domestic opposition.
Australia re-elects Anthony Albanese as Labor rides anti-Trump wave to seal crushing win
Opposition leader Peter Dutton fails to dissociate himself from Trump-like rhetoric and policies – and loses his seat
www.theguardian.com
May 3, 2025 at 7:11 PM
April 26, 2025 at 5:20 AM
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The Democratic Party’s problems are not about being moderate or left. That’s a consultant and pundit red herring

The problems are in party organization, the culture of “it’s their turn” nominations, candidate recruitment, gerontocracy, inability to shape media topics, and coming off hella lame
March 14, 2025 at 3:00 PM
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🚨 New paper (with Kasey Rhee & Nico Studen). We use a new within-precinct design to isolate how ideology affects vote choice holding turnout fixed, analyzing 3.4M precinct observations across state & fed elections (2016-2022).

tldr: Ideological moderation affects vote shares, but not by much. 🧵⬇️
The Electoral Consequences of Ideological Persuasion: Evidence from a Within-Precinct Analysis of U.S. Elections
Most research on the electoral penalty of candidate ideology relies on betweendistrict or longitudinal comparisons, which are confounded by turnout and ballot c
papers.ssrn.com
March 11, 2025 at 8:58 PM
This K-Head came here illegally and received and continues to receive government money for his business and he has the audacity to scapegoat immigrants fleeing persecution so he can gut social security paid for by native born Americans
Musk: "The waste and fraud in entitlement spending -- that's the big one to eliminate. That's the half trillion, maybe 600 or 700 billion a year. That's also the mechanism by which Democrats attract & retain illegal immigrants by essentially paying them to come here & then turning them into voters."
March 11, 2025 at 3:25 PM
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If you're 60, 69.1% of all job growth since your birth occurred under Democratic administrations.

If you're 45, that number is 74.7%.

If you're under 30, the number is 100%.
March 6, 2025 at 10:57 AM
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March 6, 2025 at 12:20 PM
24 days left in corporate America—then it’s nothing but sun-kissed skin and a soul finally fed.
February 27, 2025 at 12:43 AM
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I suspect this is a HUGELY underestimated factor in radicalization. If you look at, say, QAnon boards, it’s not really folks looking for scapegoats for their dire material circumstances. It’s middle-class people with boring lives who want to imagine they’re in The Parallax View.
One of my best friends is from a sleepy, wealthy small town in the south-west of Germany. He said, so many of my parents’ neighbours are rich and bored, with little to complain about, and they’ve radicalised themselves at dinner parties and online. In their aimlessness, they’ve bonded over hate.
This isn’t some rant saying “Germany has learned nothing from its past” - the reality is more subtle than that. Middle-class Germans live and travel with an incredible amount of ease and comfort, and they just got…sleepy. Many of them dismissed the far-right’s rage as just another set of complaints.
February 24, 2025 at 9:43 AM
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Bannon, Musk, and the far-right have found that “defending Israel” is the perfect cover for their antisemitism.
Bannon: "The number one enemy to the people of Israel are American Jews who... do not support MAGA."

First Bannon does Hitler salute at CPAC.

Now he's making threats against American Jews who do not toe the party line.

Wake up, America.
February 23, 2025 at 4:02 PM
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We need a class action suit against Elon Musk for transferring our Social Security data to his private server.
I want him in prison!
February 23, 2025 at 2:40 AM
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4. Calvin Robinson
February 22, 2025 at 5:25 AM
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Loud silence again from the ADL on Bannon's Nazi salute yesterday
February 21, 2025 at 5:53 PM
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Updated Mediterranean lifestyle pyramid for kids & teens! Focus on fruits, veggies, whole grains, olive oil at every meal.
Add pulses, fish, dairy, nuts & eggs. Reduce meat, limit sweets.
Don't forget water, sleep, exercise & enjoying meals together
#mediterraneandiet #healthykids #nutrition 🧪🍎📃
February 17, 2025 at 2:04 PM
Red, White & Blue
February 16, 2025 at 5:38 PM
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No notes.
February 15, 2025 at 11:00 AM
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February 15, 2025 at 12:37 PM