Valentin Daur
@valentindaur.bsky.social
880 followers 330 following 33 posts
Postdoc at LMU Munich | PhD from Aarhus University Public Opinion | Party Competition | Political Communication | Far Right Parties | Survey Experiments
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Reposted by Valentin Daur
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL

"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"

- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the effects of extensive media exposure on public perceptions and normalization. It references specific research surveys conducted on Sky News UK and Australia, analyzing changes in public attitudes and policy effects due to media strategies.
Reposted by Valentin Daur
bjpols.bsky.social
NEW -

How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD

"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"

- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
BJPolS abstract discussing the dynamics of mainstream and radical political rhetoric regarding anti-immigrant policies, highlighting differences in societal responses and enforcement norms based on the source of the rhetoric.
Reposted by Valentin Daur
tobiasrisse.bsky.social
🚨 Publication alert @fpajrnl.bsky.social

In this article, I examine how democracy affects states' arms control preferences. I find that democracy facilitates support for conventional, but not nuclear arms control. For more info, see abstract below or full article: academic.oup.com/fpa/article/...
valentindaur.bsky.social
Check out this new article by my friend and co-author @tobiasrisse.bsky.social! Amazing work!
tobiasrisse.bsky.social
Out now @intlinteractions.bsky.social:
In my new article, I find that rivalries with major powers tend to decrease minor powers' support for arms control. Why? See abstract below 👇 or here for the full article: doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2025.2518394

#armscontrol
#conflictsky
#polisky 🗺
Reposted by Valentin Daur
kunkakom.bsky.social
🚨 We're hiring! Join us at @LMU_Muenchen for the DFG-funded project "Democratic Persuasion: How to Make the Case for Democracy."

Interested in making scholarly & societal impact?

We’re looking for:
🔹 1 Postdoc (100%)
🔹 1 PhD researcher (70%)
Starting: Oct 2025 | Apply by: July 8
More info ⬇️ (1/7)
Reposted by Valentin Daur
ardenthistorian.bsky.social
Ich habe mit @tabouchadi.bsky.social für @volksverpetzer.de über den Forschungsstand zum Ausgrenzen rechtsextremer Parteien, ihrer Normalisierung in Politik und Medien und darüber gesprochen, was sich ändern muss, um die weitere Unterwanderung unserer Demokratie zu verhindern.
Klare Forschungslage: AfD Ausgrenzen funktioniert
Die Forschung widerspricht der Relativierung der Tagesschau: Eine Normalisierung der AfD stärkt Rechtsextremismus.
www.volksverpetzer.de
Reposted by Valentin Daur
garritzmannj.bsky.social
I AM HIRING 2 postdocs (5 years) in my @erc.europa.eu project "The Politics of the Latent Educational Cleavage" at @goetheuni.bsky.social @infer-frankfurt.bsky.social!

German call: www.fb03.uni-frankfurt.de/170856927.pdf
English call: www.goethe-university-frankfurt.de/170858269.pdf

Please share
valentindaur.bsky.social
That's great news! Huge congrats, Alex!
Reposted by Valentin Daur
markuskollberg.bsky.social
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓

I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social

Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
Reposted by Valentin Daur
ammassarisofia.bsky.social
I’m over the moon that my 1st book, based on my PhD, will be published w/ Oxford University Press.

“Grassroots Women in the Populist Radical Right” investigates women’s involvement in PRR parties as party members.

I already have a full draft, so I hope I can share this labour of love w/ you soon 💜
valentindaur.bsky.social
This is amazing, what an achievement! Huge congrats, Sofia!! :)
Reposted by Valentin Daur
valentimvicente.bsky.social
Very happy that our paper (w/ @dziblatt.bsky.social & E Dinas) has been accepted @bjpols.bsky.social .

We've seen the center right increasingly adopt far-right rhetoric.

Our experiment in 🇩🇪 finds that this erodes anti-prejudice norms *more* than when the far-right employs similar rhetoric.

1/3
Abstract: How does anti-immigrant rhetoric by mainstream politicians affect norms of tolerance? How does this compare to similar statements made by radical-right politicians? Drawing on experimental evidence, we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians. Subsample analyses suggests that this is because statements by mainstream-right politicians erode norm perceptions of right-wing individuals, while those by radical-right politicians induce backlash among left-wing individuals, who hold closer to the norm in place. The latter effect (backlash by the left) disappears when similar statements are made by mainstream right politicians. We argue that this difference occurs because mainstream politicians represent the views of a larger part of the population or have a higher status. Our results highlight the pivotal role of mainstream politicians in enforcing or eroding democratic norms, and that similar political statements can have different effects depending on their sender.
Reposted by Valentin Daur
martingross.bsky.social
‼️PostDoc (100% 2.5 years) @lmumuenchen.bsky.social

@dfg.de project "How Mainstream Parties Deal with Conflict: Rules, Practices, Media Exposure" (PIs: Nicole Bolleyer & I)

⏰Start: 01.10.2025
⏳Deadline: 06.04.2025
🎤Interviews: 14./15.05.2025

job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/1...

#Academicsky #Polisky
Job ad for a postdoctoral position at LMU Munich.
Reposted by Valentin Daur
eavigano.bsky.social
🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts

www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...

Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
Reposted by Valentin Daur
valentimvicente.bsky.social
On this note, here is a thread with recent research on what normalization is and how it happens.

It includes links to references, from my work and that of others.

I tried to tag the authors whenever they are on here, in case you are interested in following their work.

1/8
casmudde.bsky.social
No country is immune to the far right.

No country is immune to the normalization of the far right.
valentindaur.bsky.social
…to avoid further (and arguably unintended) strengthening of AfD—and, in turn, the (again unintended) risk of harming democracy. (6/6)
valentindaur.bsky.social
Given these far-reaching public opinion/normalization effects—and the fact that CDU is legitimizing AfD at a time when the party is more extreme than ever—in my view, CDU would be well-advised to make yesterday’s collaboration a singular instance… (5/6)
valentindaur.bsky.social
In my recently published article, I show that (a) voters follow mainstream party legitimization, (b) returning to delegitimization has little effect, (c) legitimization is no less effective even when a third party continues to delegitimize, and (d) legitimization resonates beyond co-partisans. (4/6)
valentindaur.bsky.social
Instead, most mainstream right parties have, at some point, moved toward legitimizing them (i.e., portraying them as democratic through collaboration). (3/6)
valentindaur.bsky.social
CDU’s shift follows a pattern seen in many other countries. In fact, few electorally successful far-right parties have been delegitimized (i.e., portrayed as undemocratic, for instance, via a cordon sanitaire) by the mainstream right for an extended period. (2/6)