Valentin Amrhein
@vamrhein.bsky.social
2.5K followers 2K following 49 posts
Ecology, conservation, statistics, reproducibility https://camargue.unibas.ch Retire statistical significance https://nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00857-9
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Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
sjryan3.bsky.social
Great to see our new paper "Health losses attributed to anthropogenic climate change" out in print today in @natclimate.nature.com, which builds on our landscaping project on climate-health attribution a couple of years ago, funded by @wellcometrust.bsky.social
colincarlson.bsky.social
🚨 NEW: Climate change is already causing 30,000 deaths per year - a global annual economic loss of $100-350B USD - but the true damage is probably 10x higher. Out TODAY in Nature Climate Change: the first systematic look at the science of "health impact attribution" 🔓 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
"Health losses attributed to anthropogenic climate change," a brief communication in the journal Nature Climate Change. There's a map showing regions of the world, and pie charts of relevant studies as they apply to different health impacts like "heat-related deaths" and "maternal and child health"
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
pbump.com
For Trump and his allies, renewable energy is akin to the new Cracker Barrel logo: something they oppose largely because it’s different and seems to be forced upon them. But unlike the logo, there’s no going back on wind and solar.
www.pbump.net/o/why-trump-...
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
vamrhein.bsky.social
Sabine Hossenfelder: "Scientific research is broken. This has been going on for decades, and the situation is not improving. It's getting worse."
youtu.be/9yPy3DeMUyI?...
Scientific research has big problems, and it's getting worse
YouTube video by Sabine Hossenfelder
youtu.be
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
johnholbein1.bsky.social
Wow.

Research findings with p-values marginally less than 0.05 attract 60 to 110% higher Altmetric scores than those with p-values marginally above 0.05.

p-hacking means more popular attention!

p-hacking FTW!
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
bou.org.uk
BOU @bou.org.uk · Jul 25
EARLY VIEW in IBIS

Breeding habitat preferences and niche partitioning of insectivorous songbirds in Alpine grasslands | onlinelibrary.wiley....

Yann Rime, Pius Korner, Barbara Helm, Valentin Amrhein, Christoph M. Meier | #ornithology 🪶
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
jcb.org
In a new Perspective article, Josh Morgan discusses how progress in cell biology is hindered by significance testing and the need for a shift to effect size estimation. rupress.org/jcb/article/...

#Technology #Reproducibility #CellCycle #CellDivision #Statistics
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
martinstendel.bsky.social
Extreme Greenland melting event right now: thawing over 80% of the surface. Seen before only once in the record melt summer 2012.

See more at @polarportal.bsky.social!
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
hos-asa.bsky.social
Time for your yearly reminder that “We need less research, better research, and research done for the right reasons”. #OTD 1948 Douglas Altman b (d 3 June 2018) “One of the most influential medical statisticians of the past 50 years” he led reforms in medical research reliability & reporting. 1/3
vamrhein.bsky.social
... The data generator thus incorporates without distinction all influences on the final data, such as selection bias and measurement errors—and it is the only object directly addressed by conventional interval estimates, p values, and other “superpopulation” inferences."
vamrhein.bsky.social
"An example would be predicting the patterns a survey (the data generator) will produce in the face of low response rates and the errors in the survey measurements, as opposed to predicting the actual distributions in the surveyed population. ...
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
cragcrest.bsky.social
"Bak-Coleman ‬and others say the reformers should have seen that their claims and concerns could be weaponized by antiscience movements, and done more to prevent that." I often write about sci reform & I'm genuinely curious, how do you "prevent that"?
www.science.org/content/arti...
Science’s reform movement should have seen Trump’s call for ‘gold standard science’ coming, critics say
Efforts to improve the rigor of research may have unwittingly handed the administration a way to attack science
www.science.org
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
markrubin.bsky.social
Science-wide replication crisis?

"The executive order should be a wake-up call for science reformers to communicate more carefully."
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
perkoch.bsky.social
Today nearly all new car sales in Norway are electric. That’s true even in Finnmark, the northernmost region in Europe’s northernmost country.

For us who live in the city, the most immediate benefit is cleaner air.

www.washingtonpost.com/climate-solu...

Copy: archive.ph/sHcnW
Most new cars in Norway are EVs. How a freezing country beat range anxiety.
A visit to the northernmost region in Europe’s northernmost country offers a window into how to make electric vehicles the car of choice.
www.washingtonpost.com
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
devezer.bsky.social
There is no "science-wide replication crisis" because every word in that phrase carries unfounded assumptions. 🧵

1. There is no evidence that progress has generally stalled in the sciences. Also, no one has actually tried to estimate replicability across fields.
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
koivulakari.bsky.social
Opera buffa? No, actually ruff male is dead serious in attracting females flying by to land at his lek. #waders #ornithology
Male ruff at his lek in standing position showing ornamental ruff an ear tufts.
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
moorejh.bsky.social
I understand why some feel uncomfortable with AI being used by students (I do). However, for better or worse, the tech is here & now baked into everything we do. We have no choice but to embrace it www.nytimes.com/2025/05/19/t... #artificialintelligence #learning #teaching #students #highschool
How Miami Schools Are Leading 100,000 Students Into the A.I. Future
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by Valentin Amrhein
shahfa.bsky.social
🧪 The peer review system is truly broken! 😵‍💫

An editor's perspective:
–Ever increasing number of manuscripts submitted for publication
–Authors want quick editorial decisions + fast peer review
–Reviewers are "too busy" to review
–Everyone wants to submit papers but no one wants to review

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