Vittorio Merola
@vittoriomerola.bsky.social
350 followers 420 following 53 posts
Political scientist at Durham University | Political behaviour, public opinion, political economy, political psychology - anything that helps me understand why people view the world the way they do
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Reposted by Vittorio Merola
cambup-polsci.cambridge.org
NEW - 'The Power of the Crowd: How the Public Can Both Spoil and Improve Social Media as a Source of Information'

This Cambridge Element by F. Stöckel, S. Stöckli, B.A. Lyons, H. Kroker & @jasonreifler.bsky.social is free to read for 2 weeks.

cup.org/4344Tyl

#cambridgeelements #politics #Polisky
Cover titled "The Power of the Crowd" by Sabrina Stöckli, Benjamin A. Lyons, and Hannah Krekler, published by Cambridge Elements in Political Science. The cover features a vibrant, multicolored geometric background.
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
paulisci.bsky.social
A Brief History of Men are Becoming Less Manly

🧵
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
poalab.bsky.social
A major step forward for large-scale survey research from our own Thomas Robinson & @patricksturg.bsky.social: SOCbot is a powerful AI tool for open-ended survey items—fast, cheap, reduces burden, and tackles longstanding measurement error in social science & labour stats
Paper: tinyurl.com/2yxcbshs
OSF
tinyurl.com
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
miguelpereira.bsky.social
Updated version of "The Effects of Participating in Government-Led Citizens’ Assemblies“ with @mcduarte.bsky.social and @jmfernandes86.bsky.social

Full draft: osf.io/preprints/so...
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
bjpols.bsky.social
#OpenAccess -

Believing What Politicians Communicate: Ideological Presentation of Self and Voters’ Perceptions of Politician Ideology - https://cup.org/4gTSToM

- @hjghassell.bsky.social, @michaelheseltine.bsky.social & @reuning.bsky.social

#FirstView
BJPolS abstract which discusses the relationship between politicians' communication and voter perceptions through social media content analysis between 2012 and 2022.
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
mduque.bsky.social
📢 Call for Papers!
We’re inviting submissions for the @politicalnetworks.bsky.social Online Colloquium (2025–26) (w/ @mtp.bsky.social)

🔹 Monthly, 1-hr sessions
🔹 Read-ahead format (no presentations)
🔹 Open to scholars in poli sci & related fields
🔹 Deadline: 17 Oct 2025

Learn more & submit here 👇
PolNet-PaCSS - Political Networks Online Colloquium
The Political Networks Online Colloquium aims to bring together a community of scholars to provide feedback on ongoing research about political networks. Each month we will meet for one hour to discus...
sites.google.com
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
That is what happens when sick people who get off on abusing others can act without impunity
oregonian.com
Federal officer blasts chemical spray into vocal but nonviolent Portland protester, video shows

The interaction illustrates how federal law enforcement officers do use aggressive tactics against protesters who yell and needle officers but don’t appear to present clear physical threats.
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
zeynsom.bsky.social
Still confused about EPSA vs. EPSS? Which conference should you go to? Here is a link to clarify things: epssnet.org/uncategorize... TL;DR: "EPSA" community will be in Belfast. Same community, new organisation, bigger mission; slightly new name; and a very different foundation @epssnet.bsky.social
a man with glasses says look can 't you see it 's obvious netflix
ALT: a man with glasses says look can 't you see it 's obvious netflix
media.tenor.com
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Perhaps we agree after all, in that case! :)
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Fair enough, I don't deny that this is perfectly compatible! It just doesn't seem like the optimal way to go about this to me, but that's just because I'm distrustful of any researcher that is convinced that they know the truth about something. I prefer a healthy mix of skepticism and curiosity!
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
But wouldn't it be better if the passion for research came from a desire to understand the world, instead of proving to others that one is right?

Maybe it's just me, but Geddes' idea sounds like a recipe for researcher bias. If priors are that strong, would you ever accept contradictory evidence?
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Not only is their brain sample in no way representative, but the entire correlational analysis effectively rests on a sample size of 17!

The Spirit Level came out 16 years ago - I thought we were past these kind of "findings" by now?!
Study links greater inequality to structural changes in children’s brains
Researchers say findings show inequality creates toxic environment and reducing it is ‘a public health imperative’
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
annerasmussen.bsky.social
🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social

Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are?

@simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions

Thread 🧵1/10
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
I'm sorry, but how is this different from what we did after 9/11?

The people tortured at black sites, held indefinitely w/o trial at Gitmo, or killed by drones were also targeted w/o public evidence by top officials.

OK, it's more brazen and the "enemy" is expanded, but it's still all subjective
brendannyhan.bsky.social
"The United States, created in opposition to monarchy, should never become a country where the president can order the indefinite imprisonment or the unilateral killing of people merely because he has deemed them to be criminals."
froomkin.bsky.social
NYT editorial board: "With these attacks, Mr. Trump has ordered the summary execution of people who are not at war with the United States in any traditional sense of the term and who may not even have been committing the crime of which he accused them." www.nytimes.com/2025/09/24/o...
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
mdigiuseppe.bsky.social
🚨🚨🚨 Survey Researchers! WE HAVE A HUGE PROBLEM!🚨🚨🚨

I have access to the Comet browser by Perplexity.

I asked it to pretend to be a human, take the survey, and give me feedback. IT DID!
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Seems like we should start demanding that people pre-register any projects based on LLM samples of "respondents", like with any other data (observational or experimental)
jamiecummins.bsky.social
Can large language models stand in for human participants?
Many social scientists seem to think so, and are already using "silicon samples" in research.

One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want.

THREAD 🧵
The threat of analytic flexibility in using large language models to simulate human data: A call to attention
Social scientists are now using large language models to create "silicon samples" - synthetic datasets intended to stand in for human respondents, aimed at revolutionising human subjects research. How...
arxiv.org
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
vincentab.bsky.social
Whoa—my book is up for pre-order!

𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭 & 𝐌𝐋 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐢𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData

The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of ± any model you fit

The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity.

tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8
Reposted by Vittorio Merola
versteegenluca.bsky.social
🚨New pre-print🚨

"Do citizens’ views of democracy and its actors vary with how they feel?”, @lilymasonphd.bsky.social and I ask in a new paper.
Why would they? While citizens widely endorse democracy in principle, temporary factors often shape their views. Also, work on “irrelevant events"

1/8🧵
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Cool! In that case, you have me convinced (which is rare!).

I would suggest mentioning that in the main paper, since it seems like maybe the most direct test of the theory.
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Obviously, there's an easy(ish) fix. If you can show that the results hold even when excluding all urban centres - meaning you only include rural/small town municipalities - then I would be much more convinced of your claims!
vittoriomerola.bsky.social
Maybe I'm wrong, but it seemed like you only dropped departure/arrival municipalities, not cities. Greater Paris has like 2,000 municipalities, so where do you draw the line?

My concern is about the theory only making sense for less urban areas, but the data relying a lot on urban areas/suburbs.