Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
@walesgovernance.bsky.social
1.7K followers 570 following 90 posts
Yn ymchwilio i gyfraith, llywodraeth, gwleidyddiaeth a chyllid cyhoeddus Cymru Researching the law, government, politics & public finances of Wales
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walesgovernance.bsky.social
Mae nifer o'n tîm yma ar Awyr Las! A number of our staff and researchers are here on Blue Sky. Follow below / Dilynwch!
go.bsky.app/74uRixD
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Ft. @LauraMcAllister on the electoral challenge for Welsh Labour:
“What you see is this perfect storm. Unfortunately for Labour, you’ve got public disillusion with the establishment in politics – and Labour is the establishment in Wales” #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru
www.telegraph.co.uk/gift/d2d49fe...
Labour’s Welsh economic disaster opens the door to Farage
With an employment rate of just 70.8pc, voters are losing faith in Keir Starmer’s party
www.telegraph.co.uk
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
welshpolitics.bsky.social
Here's our trailer for the pod with @lauramcallister30.bsky.social of @walesgovernance.bsky.social , Lauren McEvatt, and Lee Waters MS 👇
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Mae Dr Jones yn credu y bydd hyn yn “gwella tryloywder a chraffu ar system cyfiawnder troseddol Cymru... fodd bynnag mae llawer o ffynonellau data pwysig sydd wedi’u heithrio o hyd o’r datganiad heddiw." 2/3
www.gov.uk/government/p...
Welsh Justice Data: Annual Release 2025
Assorted prison statistics, broken down by Welsh and English origin addresses.
www.gov.uk
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Dr Jones believes this will “enhance transparency and scrutiny of the Welsh criminal justice system... however there remain many important sources of data excluded from today’s release." 2/3
www.gov.uk/government/p...
Welsh Justice Data: Annual Release 2025
Assorted prison statistics, broken down by Welsh and English origin addresses.
www.gov.uk
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
newyddion.s4c.cymru
'Ti’n gorfod pinsho dy hun.'

Mae arolwg barn newydd yn awgrymu fod cefnogaeth y Blaid Lafur yng Nghymru wedi syrthio i lefel is nag 'oedden ni’n dychmygu fyddai’n bosib' meddai'r Athro Richard Wyn Jones.

newyddion.s4c.cymru/article/30473
'Diwedd cyfnod yn hanes y Blaid Lafur yng Nghymru' yn ôl yr Athro Richard Wyn Jones
A hithau’n dymor y cynadleddau gwleidyddol, bydd yr Athro Richard Wyn Jones yn pwyso a mesur y cyfan ar raglen Y Byd yn ei Le.
newyddion.s4c.cymru
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Dr Joseph Phillips yn trafod y cynnydd o drais gwleidyddol yn yr UDA a lladd Charlie Kirk gyda BBC Radio Wales 👇

@polpsychjoe.bsky.social discusses the rise in political violence in the United States and the assassination of Charlie Kirk with @bbccymruwales.bsky.social Radio Wales 👇
walesgovernance.bsky.social
“It’s very, very difficult to exaggerate the historical significance of what’s going on here,” said @richardwynjones.bsky.social , “We’re seeing a potentially decisive break in Labour’s domination of Wales. They are in danger of falling into complete irrelevance.” #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru
‘We rely on Nigel now’: Labour’s Welsh collapse is trouble for Starmer
With Reform on the rise, the PM’s support in Caerphilly is as crumbly as its cheese. Losing a byelection in Labour heartlands could lead to an existential crisis
www.thetimes.com
walesgovernance.bsky.social
“Polling expert Dr Jac Larner said one of the problems facing Welsh Labour is that there is "a narrative building in Wales that if you want to stop Reform then the party you vote for is Plaid" and so many previous Labour voters are indicating they will vote tactically for Plaid Cymru in 2026.“
Senedd opinion poll a wake-up call for Welsh Labour, says ex-minister
A Welsh Labour grandee fears the party is facing "the biggest kicking in our history".
www.bbc.com
walesgovernance.bsky.social
🎤Digwyddiad CLlC 🗣️ 13/10/2025 am 18.00

Rydym yn falch o fod yn cynnal Lee Waters MS, @drhannahwhite.bsky.social (IfG), Yr Athro James Mitchell (Prifysgol Edinburgh), Yr Athro Mark Drakeford, a @kirsty-williams.bsky.social i drafod 'Gweithrediad Llywodraeth ddatganoledig yng Nghymru'.

Tocynnau👇
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Mae @pickardje.bsky.social yn cyfeirio at ein arolwg BARN Cymru diweddaraf yn yr FT a gwaith @jaclarner.bsky.social i dadansoddi'r canlyniadau.

Jim Pickard writes in Morning Call (get well soon @stephenkb.bsky.social!) about our latest poll with @itvcymruwales.bsky.social ahead of #Senedd26
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
golwg.360.cymru
Plaid Cymru a Reform UK ym mhell ar y blaen, yn ôl arolwg barn

Mae’r Athro Jac Larner o Ganolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru yn dweud bod yr arolwg yn darogan “ailstrwythuro o fewn gwleidyddiaeth yng Nghymru” #gwleidyddiaeth

✍️ Rhys Owen
Plaid Cymru a Reform UK ym mhell ar y blaen, yn ôl arolwg barn
Mae’r Athro Jac Larner o Ganolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru yn dweud bod yr arolwg yn darogan “ailstrwythuro o fewn gwleidyddiaeth yng Nghymru”
golwg.360.cymru
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Dyma blog James / This is James's Blog:
bsky.app/profile/jame...
jamesbreckwoldt.bsky.social
What Happened to Labour's 2024 Voters?

Using the recent wave of the @britishelectionstudy.com I look at people who voted Labour in 2024:
- How many are still with the party?
- How many have left?
- Why might that be?

TLDR: they've left because of economic issues/concerns, probably.
What Happened to Labour's 2024 Voters?
The who, what, when, how and huh of why Labour has lost so much support in such a short period of time
jamesbreckwoldt.substack.com
walesgovernance.bsky.social
Yn gynnwys canlyniadau ein arolwg BARN #Cymru gyda @itvcymruwales.bsky.social a blog diweddaraf @jamesbreckwoldt.bsky.social sy'n drafod ble mae pleidleiswyr Llafur 2024 yn mynd.

Including our latest #Wales polling and James Breckwoldt's blog on where Labour's 2024 voters are going, and why. 👇
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
a-b-evans.bsky.social
Lot of attention yesterday on Senedd component of the @walesgovernance.bsky.social @itvnews.bsky.social @yougov.co.uk poll, but the Westminster figures are also quite… striking

Reform 29%
Plaid 23%
Labour 18%
Cons 11%
Libdems 9%
Greens 7%
Other 4%

Seat projection from @cavendishcymru.bsky.social
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
jaclarner.bsky.social
Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵
walesgovernance.bsky.social
@jaclarner.bsky.social of the Wales Governance Centre said: "This latest ITV Wales poll confirms a trend leading into next year's Senedd election: the contest for the largest party is becoming a neck-and-neck battle between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK.” #Senedd26 #Wales #Cymru
Bombshell poll puts Wales on course to change beyond all recognition
It makes bleak reading for the Labour party in Wales
www.walesonline.co.uk
Reposted by Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru
a-b-evans.bsky.social
A write up of today's poll featuring analysis from @walesgovernance.bsky.social's @jaclarner.bsky.social can be found here www.itv.com/news/wales/2... #senedd #devolution
www.itv.com