Scholar

Brian Schaffner

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Brian Frederick Schaffner is an American political scientist. He is the Newhouse Professor of Civic studies at Tufts University and… more

H-index: 32
Political science 61%
Sociology 13%
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Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner, Geoffrey Robinson

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...
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Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
in a new @goodauth.bsky.social post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
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by Brian Schaffner — Reposted by: Alfred G. Cuzán

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the @nytimes.com!
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by Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
enic wants to cash out sooner rather than later?
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by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
the 2024 election was also a watershed moment among non-voters who, for the first time since we've been collecting data preferred the republican nominee over the democrat. this means increasing turnout would likely have made Trump's victory bigger.
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by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
it is especially striking to see how non-religious the Democratic Party has become over the past two decades
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by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
the trends when it comes to religion are especially notable. non-evangelical vote preferences have remained stable over time, but democrats continue to lose vote share among evangelicals, especially black and hispanic evangelicals
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by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
we see significant shifts away from the democrats among both black and hispanic voters

for black voters, these shifts came particularly among born again christians and men

among Hispanic voters, the rightward shift was mostly isolated to those living in urban areas
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by Brian Schaffner

bfschaffner.bsky.social
we have also released a report on the 2024 election that CES RA Caroline Soler took the lead on and did an amazing job with.

an overview of the report can be found on the CES blog here: sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...

the full report is here: tinyurl.com/ces24report

some highlights...
Trump built his support in 2024 by taking advantage of cracks in the Democratic Party’s coalition – Cooperative Election Study Blog
sites.tufts.edu
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by Brian Schaffner — Reposted by: Brian Schaffner, Brendan Nyhan, Robert C. Richards

bfschaffner.bsky.social
🚨🚨🚨 The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available!
Microdata: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...

Or easy interactive analysis of the data on...
vote choice: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters: cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
doi.org
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by Brian Schaffner — Reposted by: Brian Schaffner, John Holbein, Matt Grossmann

by Brian Schaffner — Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

by Brian Schaffner — Reposted by: Brian Schaffner, Brendan Nyhan

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

Reposted by: Brian Schaffner

References

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