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Matt Grossmann

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by Matt Grossmann — Reposted by: David R. Miller

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Companies are hiring many more internal policy specialists than lobbyists; it is a much larger investment in politics and internal expertise
www.andrewbenjaminhall.com/HallSun25.pdf
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by Matt Grossmann

by Barry C. Burden — Reposted by: Matt Grossmann, Samuel Workman, David Darmofal

bcburden.bsky.social
The 2024 @electionstudies.bsky.social has the share of "pure independents" in the US at its lowest level since 1952 (7%)
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by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
I will be at UChicago, Northwestern, & Lake Forest briefly this week. And for the first trip since 2019, I'll be returning to Missouri this weekend (including seeing Mizzou-Bama & Chiefs-Lions). Hope to catch up with many folks soon.
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by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
There is increasing political polarization in colleges' student bodies. Both liberal & conservative students prefer institutions with more like-minded peers and are willing to pay thousands of dollars more to avoid students from the other side
edworkingpapers.com/ai25-1280
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by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
The "We Must Do Something. This Is Something" shutdown still seems unlikely to gain anything that wasn't winnable before. But it also seems unlikely to do any electoral damage. Public & market reaction is extremely limited. Still depends on how Dem base responds to end.
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by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by: Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by: Matt Grossmann, Christian Gollier, Rafael H. M. Pereira , and 1 more

Reposted by: Matt Grossmann, Justin H. Kirkland, Nathan P. Kalmoe

reuning.bsky.social
New paper with @hjghassell.bsky.social and @michaelheseltine.bsky.social out in @bjpols.bsky.social.

We develop measures of voter perceptions of candidate ideology and candidate messaging ideology and find that perception's are related to what candidates say www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
Plot showing perception of voter ideology of candidates overtime. It is separated by House and Senate. Republicans are drifting slightly to be more conservative, Democrats are mostly staying in one place. Plot showing messaging ideology of candidates overtime. It is separated by House and Senate. There is increasing separation between parties over time, with Republicans becoming messaging more moderately during the Trump era and then shifting to the right during Biden.
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Reposted by: Matt Grossmann, Lionel Page, Dirk Pilat , and 3 more

by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

by Thomas Wood — Reposted by: Matt Grossmann, Ben H. Ansell, Will Jennings , and 7 more

thomasjwood.bsky.social
The last time I posted the income relationship to presidential vote among White respondents to the @electionstudies.bsky.social ANES, people asked for additional estimates among all voters.

Updated estimates here:
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Reposted by: Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

Reposted by: Matt Grossmann

Reposted by: Matt Grossmann, Karen Benjamin Guzzo

scientificdiscovery.dev
Most graphs of the fertility rate depict the 'period fertility rate', which is based on a single year's data and doesn't necessarily reflect how many children women actually have across their lifetimes.

I've used data from the Human Fertility Database to show the cumulative number instead:
Cohort fertility rates for the United States, by age 40, 45 and 50.
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Reposted by: Matt Grossmann

Reposted by: Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
spending has long more closely matched presidential budget requests than provided for in enacted appropriations, driven by presidents spending less than Congress
appropriates 1970s-era reforms did not eliminate these deviations.
drive.google.com/file/d/1bTy4...
Angell Who Has The Power of the Purse.pdf
drive.google.com
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by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
The Trump admin is only making one pocket rescission request, focused on foreign aid? What about the other unspent $, like at NIH & NSF? Is it going to be spent on something by this month? Is there another impoundment path they are trying?
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by Matt Grossmann

by Matt Grossmann

mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Join us at 9am for a live edition of the Science of Politics podcast. We'll talk shutdown politics, Democratic Party factions, repositioning, the 2026 elections, & long-term prospects for liberalism & renewal
mattgrossmann.bsky.social
Matt Grossmann @mattgrossmann.bsky.social · 27d
Join us in person in DC or online for a live edition of the Science of Politics podcast with @mattyglesias.bsky.social & Steven Teles on whether & how the Democratic Party will revive.
Thursday, 9/25 at 9am
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